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Netherlands vs Bulgaria Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 97-70
25-29 26-12 16-14 30-15
Position#56
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#71
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeWorld Cup· Topsportcentrum Almere
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
L
56-72
56
72
-16
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 65
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 65
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
68avg 65
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
53-63
53
63
-10
49avg 65
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
14-16
8-23
17-15
23-28
18-27
25-16
28-27
12-16
27-16
19-30
14-12
21-21
24-25
16-30
13-20
25-10
12-17
17-14
23-29
14-20
15-11
21-18
19-24
18-18
5-16
16-14
14-15
21-12
13-23
18-14
13-15
22-15
22-17
18-21
19-17
10-19
21-20
17-30
22-14
147.4Avg total
71.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.072.3144.3-0.367%
Season at home (1)65.064.0129.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)75.576.5152.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)71.176.3147.4-5.230%
Last 5 (5)67.670.6138.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)70.479.1149.5-8.712%
vs Similar (3)71.778.3150.0-6.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulgaria
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
62-85
62
85
-23
44avg 68
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 68
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
72avg 68
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 68
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
25-25
16-14
16-19
22-29
21-21
12-12
15-22
7-19
21-8
11-18
28-17
16-20
11-24
25-21
10-20
21-22
27-19
19-25
19-24
25-22
9-17
24-15
12-16
21-28
14-34
22-13
28-19
14-24
14-24
25-28
23-12
15-22
17-22
21-18
17-19
23-17
15-20
24-22
25-19
157.9Avg total
76.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.782.3160.0-4.733%
Season at home (2)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
Season away (1)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.981.0157.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)79.883.6163.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.286.6165.8-7.325%
vs Similar (10)76.979.2156.1-2.340%
vs Weaker (8)81.672.4154.0+9.275%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
NetherlandsBulgaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A26/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
World Cup
71.9Avg total
35.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.575.7-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.338.675.9-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)35.240.275.4-5.119%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.571.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.539.676.1-3.127%-
vs Similar (3)30.741.372.0-10.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.032.076.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/08
World Cup
79.6Avg total
36.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.178.8-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.037.777.7+2.369%-
Last 30 away (14)37.342.880.1-5.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.079.6-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.446.079.4-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.343.879.1-8.442%-
vs Similar (10)40.438.979.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker (8)41.836.077.8+5.862%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
-12.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 20 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands
LWWLLWLLLL
Bulgaria
WLLLWLLWLW
#56
League position
#71
-7.9
Net rating
-0.1
97.5
Offensive rating
107.9
105.3
Defensive rating
108.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
23.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.5%
3-point %
34.0%
81.8%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Netherlands   ■ Bulgaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Netherlands wins
0
Bulgaria wins
DateGameScore
09/08/25Bulgaria v Netherlands70-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/25AAustria70-83
09/08/25ABulgaria81-70
02/08/25HAustria65-64
24/02/25AGreece53-63
21/02/25HGreat Britain69-73
24/11/24HCzech Republic77-70
21/11/24ACzech Republic74-96
26/02/24HGreece72-74
23/02/24AGreat Britain94-98
26/02/23AUkraine56-72
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HAustria87-78
09/08/25HNetherlands70-81
06/08/25AAustria76-88
23/02/25AGermany85-94
20/02/25HSweden81-77 OT
25/11/24HMontenegro86-90
22/11/24AMontenegro62-85
25/02/24HGermany67-62
22/02/24ASweden70-84
02/08/23AAustria85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game72.065.075.5
Allowed / game72.364.076.5
Point differential-0.3+1.0-1.0
Avg total144.3129.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bulgaria
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.778.576.0
Allowed / game82.379.588.0
Point differential-4.7-1.0-12.0
Avg total160.0158.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Switzerland108280%75.962.3+13.6
4 Ukraine43175%78.871.8+7.0
5 Romania86275%77.171.9+5.2
6 Netherlands32167%72.072.3-0.3
7 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
8 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
9 Hungary42250%80.270.5+9.8
10 Denmark42250%78.880.0-1.2
11 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
12 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
13 Bulgaria31233%77.782.3-4.7
14 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
15 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
16 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
17 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
18 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
19 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
20 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
21 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
22 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands2526163097
Bulgaria2912141570
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