PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Army hosts Marist on 17 November 2026 in an NCAA contest, with the Pythia model favouring Army at 75% to 25%, reflecting Army's higher points per game of 74.3 versus Marist's 70.3 and a better defensive average of 62.7 to 70.7. Army has gone 1-2 this season, scoring 74.3 and allowing 62.7, while Marist is also 1-2, with 70.3 points for and 70.7 against. At home Army is undefeated 1-0, posting 118.0 points and 41.0 allowed, whereas Marist's road record is 0-1, 61.0 points and 63.0 allowed. In the last five Army won once and lost four, including a 118-41 home win over Mount St. Marys and a 55-63 loss to New Haven; Marist won twice and lost three, with an 88-80 home win over UMBC and a 61-63 loss to UMass Lowell. Their head-to-head tally stands 5 meetings, Marist 3 wins to Army's 2, most recently Marist 76-65 on 21 November 2025. Pythia projects a 76-68 score, 143.9 total points, a 4-point spread for Army, and a 75% chance of Army covering, with a 4% overtime probability. The game will hinge on Army's recent 118-41 outburst at home.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 74.3 | 62.7 | 137.0 | +11.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 118.0 | 41.0 | 159.0 | +77.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 52.5 | 73.5 | 126.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.9 | 72.9 | 143.8 | -2.0 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 71.0 | 67.2 | 138.2 | +3.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 66.6 | 78.1 | 144.7 | -11.6 | 21% |
| vs Similar (13) | 75.6 | 77.0 | 152.6 | -1.4 | 46% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 55.0 | 63.0 | 118.0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 70.3 | 70.7 | 141.0 | -0.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 75.0 | 74.5 | 149.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 61.0 | 63.0 | 124.0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 66.9 | 68.9 | 135.8 | -2.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 69.0 | 69.0 | 138.0 | +0.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 61.5 | 66.0 | 127.5 | -4.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 64.0 | 68.3 | 132.3 | -4.3 | 31% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 75.5 | 62.1 | 137.6 | +13.3 | 93% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.5 | 34.5 | 67.0 | -2.0 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.0 | 33.7 | 67.7 | +0.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 31.0 | 35.3 | 66.3 | -4.3 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 28.9 | 31.8 | 60.7 | -2.9 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 27.8 | 26.4 | 54.2 | +1.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 30.3 | 37.0 | 67.3 | -6.7 | 21% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 33.5 | 34.9 | 68.4 | -1.5 | 46% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 19.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | -5.0 | 0% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.1 | 29.6 | 63.6 | +4.5 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.9 | 27.4 | 62.3 | +7.5 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 33.3 | 31.7 | 65.0 | +1.5 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.9 | 32.3 | 65.2 | +0.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.8 | 30.2 | 63.0 | +2.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 28.0 | 28.0 | 56.0 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 33.3 | 31.2 | 64.5 | +2.2 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker (15) | 35.5 | 28.4 | 63.9 | +7.1 | 73% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 | Marist v Army | 76-65 |
| 16/11/24 | Marist v Army | 91-88 OT |
| 07/11/23 | Army v Marist | 55-71 |
| 27/11/21 | Army v Marist | 65-61 |
| 01/12/19 | Marist v Army | 64-66 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | New Haven Chargers | 55-63 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Mount St. Marys Knights | 118-41 |
| 02/11/26 | A | Duke | 50-84 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Bucknell | 55-65 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Lafayette | 77-83 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Bucknell | 73-75 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Navy | 63-81 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Loyola Maryland | 87-77 |
| 14/02/26 | A | American University | 63-75 |
| 11/02/26 | H | Boston University | 68-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | UMass Lowell | 61-63 |
| 06/11/26 | H | UMBC Retrievers | 88-80 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Dartmouth | 62-69 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Merrimack Warriors | 57-58 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Quinnipiac | 77-75 |
| 01/03/26 | H | St. Peters | 56-63 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Sacred Heart | 65-63 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Manhattan | 84-70 |
| 15/02/26 | H | Siena | 63-67 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Merrimack Warriors | 56-81 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 74.3 | 118.0 | 52.5 |
| Allowed / game | 62.7 | 41.0 | 73.5 |
| Point differential | +11.7 | +77.0 | -21.0 |
| Avg total | 137.0 | 159.0 | 126.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.3 | 75.0 | 61.0 |
| Allowed / game | 70.7 | 74.5 | 63.0 |
| Point differential | -0.3 | +0.5 | -2.0 |
| Avg total | 141.0 | 149.5 | 124.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Navy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 72.0 | 68.2 | +3.8 |
| 2 |  Boston University | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.3 | 74.7 | -1.3 |
| 3 |  Lafayette | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 79.8 | 64.4 | +15.4 |
| 4 | Army | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.3 | 62.7 | +11.7 |
| 5 |  Loyola Maryland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 70.7 | +3.0 |
| 6 |  Lehigh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 73.7 | -9.3 |
| 7 |  American University | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.0 | 75.0 | -11.0 |
| 8 |  Colgate | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 69.7 | 85.7 | -16.0 |
| 9 |  Bucknell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 63.3 | 91.0 | -27.7 |
| 10 |  Holy Cross | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 64.0 | 92.7 | -28.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacred Heart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 88.0 | 64.7 | +23.3 |
| 2 |  Siena | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 79.0 | +6.3 |
| 3 |  Merrimack Warriors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 65.7 | 60.0 | +5.7 |
| 4 |  Quinnipiac | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 68.0 | 76.0 | -8.0 |
| 5 |  Iona | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 66.2 | 71.5 | -5.2 |
| 6 |  Mount St. Mary's | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 60.0 | 77.0 | -17.0 |
| 7 | Marist | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.3 | 70.7 | -0.3 |
| 8 |  Canisius | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.3 | 81.7 | -7.3 |
| 9 |  Manhattan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 73.0 | -8.7 |
| 10 |  Fairfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 59.0 | 75.7 | -16.7 |
| 11 |  Rider | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.5 | 72.2 | -7.8 |
| 12 |  St. Peters | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 47.5 | 63.8 | -16.2 |
| 13 |  Niagara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 56.5 | 82.0 | -25.5 |
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