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Aros Basket vs Malbas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-88
25-30 16-18 19-21 18-19
Position#13
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#2
Record11-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game77.0
SwedenSuperettan· Kristiansborgshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aros Basket v Malbas
01 Feb 2026
AROS78
MALB88
21 Sep 2024
AROS66
MALB70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
92-60
92
60
+32
90avg 72
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
49avg 72
H02/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 72
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
99-86
99
86
+13
95avg 72
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
90avg 72
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 72
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
97-110 OT
97
110
-13
91avg 72
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 72
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 72
H24/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
32-16
23-9
22-17
14-30
6-12
21-11
23-21
21-23
20-23
15-17
21-22
29-28
27-16
20-24
23-18
12-26
34-26
16-26
29-18
18-20
22-17
10-26
30-24
18-23
25-28
25-18
24-23
15-20
21-28
29-24
18-25
24-15
21-27
12-20
18-22
18-18
18-27
22-24
18-22
170.4Avg total
83.4Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.786.8166.5-7.120%
Season at home (6)83.386.3169.7-3.017%
Season away (9)77.287.1164.3-9.922%
Last 10 (10)83.487.0170.4-3.620%
Last 5 (5)82.293.8176.0-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.388.7168.0-9.320%
vs Similar (10)77.476.0153.4+1.450%
vs Weaker (5)87.086.0173.0+1.060%
This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 74
A23/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
63avg 74
H29/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 74
H07/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
79-72
79
72
+7
62avg 74
A13/12
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
90avg 74
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
58avg 74
H11/01
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
95-69
95
69
+26
no box
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
84-61
84
61
+23
no box
A18/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 74
H25/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
97-87
97
87
+10
89avg 74
A31/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-18
20-18
23-25
18-19
21-28
28-13
14-12
15-28
29-21
26-12
18-32
18-18
26-20
14-17
21-13
18-22
26-14
25-17
19-23
24-25
18-20
14-22
21-18
19-14
29-19
18-13
19-21
29-16
26-13
21-18
21-13
16-17
23-24
23-13
14-25
31-14
20-27
26-19
33-19
18-22
161.0Avg total
84.8Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.477.0162.4+8.469%
Season at home (8)84.577.0161.5+7.562%
Season away (8)86.477.0163.4+9.475%
Last 10 (10)84.876.2161.0+8.670%
Last 5 (5)87.873.4161.2+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.088.0156.0-20.00%
vs Similar (8)78.172.1150.2+6.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.775.0160.7+10.875%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Aros BasketMalbas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
20-42
20
42
-22
H02/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Superettan
85.1Avg total
41.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.382.8-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.242.381.5-3.225%-
Last 30 away (18)39.843.983.7-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.185.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.684.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.745.384.0-6.513%-
vs Similar (10)37.539.677.1-2.150%-
vs Weaker (5)46.044.890.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A23/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H29/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H07/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/12
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/01
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A18/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H25/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A31/01
Superettan
80.5Avg total
43.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.479.1+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.581.7+4.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.336.376.5+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)43.936.680.5+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.681.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.050.081.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.536.276.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.436.579.9+6.870%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.5
56.2%
50.7%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.4
27.2%
30.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.4
70.9%
67.0%13.4
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.5
50.0%
50.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.3
30.2%
30.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.513.1
60.9%
67.0%13.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aros Basket
LLLLLLWLLW
Malbas
WWWWLWWWLL
#13
League position
#2
-5.7
Net rating
+2.7
97.9
Offensive rating
98.9
103.6
Defensive rating
96.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
20.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.2%
3-point %
30.2%
65.7%
Assist %
54.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 98.9Defence103.6 · 96.3Shooting50.1% · 48.2%3-point %27.2% · 30.2%Ball care20.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Aros Basket   ■ Malbas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aros Basket wins
2
Malbas wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Malbas v Aros Basket80-73
06/04/25Malbas v Aros Basket60-92
21/09/24Aros Basket v Malbas66-70
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HAIK Basket76-91
17/01/26AOckelbo75-84
20/12/25AHuddinge83-97
13/12/25HHuddinge97-110 OT
06/12/25HAlvik80-87
29/11/25HFryshuset Basket91-96
22/11/25ABlackeberg99-86
15/11/25AEskilstuna77-85
02/11/25HWetterbygden Stars64-74
31/10/25HOckelbo92-60
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AHuddinge97-87
25/01/26HDjurgarden91-76
18/01/26AAIK Basket84-61
17/01/26ASollentuna95-69
11/01/26HOckelbo72-74
20/12/25ATrelleborg94-79
13/12/25AWetterbygden Stars79-72
07/12/25HEskilstuna91-83
29/11/25HHuddinge78-81
23/11/25AFryshuset Basket67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %20%17%22%
Points / game79.783.377.2
Allowed / game86.886.387.1
Point differential-7.1-3.0-9.9
Avg total166.5169.7164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%17%0%
Malbas
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%62%75%
Points / game85.484.586.4
Allowed / game77.077.077.0
Point differential+8.4+7.5+9.4
Avg total162.4161.5163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%38%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket1916384%87.680.4+7.3
2 Malbas1611569%85.477.0+8.4
3 Wetterbygden Stars1711665%79.578.4+1.1
4 Huddinge1911858%87.986.8+1.1
5 Alvik1810856%78.180.7-2.6
6 Djurgarden179853%81.578.5+3.1
7 Sollentuna168850%78.878.0+0.8
8 Eskilstuna168850%84.984.8+0.1
9 Trelleborg178947%83.483.2+0.2
10 IK Eos1881044%81.880.4+1.4
11 Ockelbo1771041%76.078.7-2.7
12 AIK Basket1551033%76.778.4-1.7
13 Aros Basket1531220%79.786.8-7.1
14 Blackeberg1631319%77.288.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aros Basket2516191878
Malbas3018211988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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