Astana 2 vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 68-71

14-20 19-17 12-10 23-24

Position#5

Record14-16

FormWLLLW

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game76.5

Astana 2

Aktobe 🏆

Position#3

Record18-12

FormWWLWL

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game81.8

National LeagueNational League - Quarter-finals

Other2023-24

Meetings · Astana 2 v Aktobe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana 2 winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aktobe winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana 2

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 Form2

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

68-48

+20

62avg 72

H28/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

95-66

+29

62avg 72

H29/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

67-89

-22

48avg 72

A01/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

70-84

-14

64avg 72

A02/03

National League

Almaty

78-97

-19

73avg 72

A05/03

National League

Almaty

92-73

+19

96avg 72

A06/03

National League

Atyrau

52-71

-19

46avg 72

A13/03

National League

Atyrau

60-83

-23

59avg 72

A14/03

National League

Aktobe

66-74

-8

60avg 72

A02/04

National League

Aktobe

86-82

95avg 72

A03/04

National League

13-20

18-4

22-5

15-19

28-19

27-20

14-13

26-14

15-24

15-26

18-17

19-22

9-22

24-14

17-26

20-22

22-27

17-29

27-15

12-26

29-24

25-9

23-13

15-27

13-26

14-13

12-20

13-12

10-19

27-17

8-26

15-21

21-7

21-22

16-22

8-23

29-12

19-19

14-17

24-34

150.1Avg total

73.4Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	76.9	76.5	153.5	+0.4	47%
Season at home (14)	76.6	70.3	146.9	+6.4	64%
Season away (16)	77.2	82.0	159.2	-4.8	31%
Last 10 (10)	73.4	76.7	150.1	-3.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	76.6	147.8	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	67.7	77.1	144.8	-9.4	25%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	75.0	81.8	156.8	-6.8	17%
vs Weaker (12)	87.2	73.3	160.5	+13.8	83%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Almaty

100-91

100

99avg 79

H05/02

National League

Almaty

85-90

-5

75avg 79

H06/02

National League

Pavlodar

81-67

+14

78avg 79

H12/02

National League

Pavlodar

96-77

+19

96avg 79

H13/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

99-81

+18

101avg 79

A05/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

89-58

+31

94avg 79

A06/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

95-88

88avg 79

H13/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

87-91

-4

69avg 79

H14/03

National League

Astana 2

74-66

71avg 79

H02/04

National League

Astana 2

82-86

-4

69avg 79

H03/04

National League

30-20

27-20

19-28

24-23

25-26

22-19

23-29

15-16

21-15

18-18

19-16

23-18

23-17

28-21

30-10

15-29

25-15

25-21

22-22

27-23

20-14

31-13

21-21

17-10

19-21

28-18

25-30

23-19

23-25

22-20

24-22

18-24

7-21

22-21

22-16

23-8

12-29

19-19

17-14

34-24

168.3Avg total

88.8Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	85.1	81.8	166.9	+3.4	60%
Season at home (16)	86.8	84.4	171.2	+2.4	62%
Season away (14)	83.2	78.8	162.0	+4.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	88.8	79.5	168.3	+9.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	77.8	163.2	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	80.1	89.6	169.8	-9.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	83.7	82.6	166.3	+1.1	60%
vs Weaker (12)	89.7	75.8	165.5	+13.8	83%

This opponent (Astana 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Astana 2Aktobe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.8	39.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.9	21.2	37.2	-5.3	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.1	19.6	43.7	+4.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.4	42.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	25.9	46.4	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	15.8	34.1	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.4	17.1	34.5	+0.3	58%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.2	17.7	38.8	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.4	42.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	19.0	43.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.2	17.7	41.9	+6.6	83%	-

Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

31-24

H28/01

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

55-39

+16

H29/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

30-50

-20

A01/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

33-36

-3

A02/03

National League

Almaty

39-56

-17

A05/03

National League

Almaty

54-33

+21

A06/03

National League

Atyrau

27-39

-12

A13/03

National League

Atyrau

37-36

A14/03

National League

Aktobe

42-29

+13

A02/04

National League

Aktobe

48-31

+17

A03/04

National League

76.9Avg total

39.6Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	35.3	73.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	41.1	81.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	37.3	76.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	33.6	75.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	33.3	38.3	71.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.5	34.8	76.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	45.4	40.2	85.6	+5.2	75%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almaty

57-40

+17

H05/02

National League

Almaty

47-45

H06/02

National League

Pavlodar

39-33

H12/02

National League

Pavlodar

51-38

+13

H13/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

50-36

+14

A05/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

51-27

+24

A06/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-39

H13/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

45-45

H14/03

National League

Astana 2

29-42

-13

H02/04

National League

Astana 2

31-48

-17

H03/04

National League

84.0Avg total

44.7Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	42.7	85.4	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	44.6	87.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	40.5	82.6	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	39.3	84.0	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.2	80.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.1	48.6	90.8	-6.5	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.3	44.4	82.7	-6.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	46.8	37.2	84.0	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (Astana 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.7	36.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.3	35.9	+3.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	17.4	34.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.6	34.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.8	19.7	36.4	-2.9	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.7	18.8	36.5	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.9	15.1	36.0	+5.8	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	22.0	38.7	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	23.4	38.4	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	15.2	26.7	41.8	-11.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.5	18.3	42.8	+6.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.9	74.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	40.4	76.5	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	39.4	73.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	43.0	72.6	-13.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.3	38.8	73.1	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	32.8	45.5	78.3	-12.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.8	33.2	74.9	+8.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.7	80.5	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	39.0	81.4	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	38.3	79.4	+2.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	40.2	84.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.6	82.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.8	39.9	76.6	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.5	37.8	82.3	+6.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.9	38.6	81.5	+4.3	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana 2 wins

Aktobe wins

Date	Game	Score
03/04/24	Aktobe v Astana 2	82-86
02/04/24	Aktobe v Astana 2	74-66
24/01/24	Aktobe v Astana 2	87-82 OT
23/01/24	Aktobe v Astana 2	82-70
19/10/23	Astana 2 v Aktobe	72-83
18/10/23	Astana 2 v Aktobe	74-83
27/03/19	Aktobe v Astana 2	104-53
02/03/19	Aktobe v Astana 2	63-52 OT
03/02/19	Aktobe v Astana 2	58-32
09/12/18	Astana 2 v Aktobe	83-81

Astana 2last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/04/24	A	Aktobe	86-82
02/04/24	A	Aktobe	66-74
14/03/24	A	Atyrau	60-83
13/03/24	A	Atyrau	52-71
06/03/24	A	Almaty	92-73
05/03/24	A	Almaty	78-97
02/03/24	A	Irbis Almaty	70-84
01/03/24	A	Irbis Almaty	67-89
29/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	95-66
28/01/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	68-48

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/04/24	H	Astana 2	82-86
02/04/24	H	Astana 2	74-66
14/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	87-91
13/03/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	95-88
06/03/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	89-58
05/03/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	99-81
13/02/24	H	Pavlodar	96-77
12/02/24	H	Pavlodar	81-67
06/02/24	H	Almaty	85-90
05/02/24	H	Almaty	100-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana 2

National League 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	47%
Home	LWWWW	64%
Away	WLLLW	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	47%	64%	31%
Points / game	76.9	76.6	77.2
Allowed / game	76.5	70.3	82.0
Point differential	+0.4	+6.4	-4.8
Avg total	153.5	146.9	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Aktobe

National League 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	60%
Home	WWLWL	62%
Away	WLWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	60%	62%	57%
Points / game	85.1	86.8	83.2
Allowed / game	81.8	84.4	78.8
Point differential	+3.4	+2.4	+4.4
Avg total	166.9	171.2	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	31%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	40% (5)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	31	30	1	97%	89.4	70.9	+18.5
2	Atyrau	31	23	8	74%	82.3	72.3	+10.0
3	Tobol Kostanay	31	21	10	68%	90.9	82.2	+8.7
4	Aktobe	30	18	12	60%	85.1	81.8	+3.4
5	Astana 2	30	14	16	47%	76.9	76.5	+0.4
6	Almaty	31	10	21	32%	81.8	87.0	-5.2
7	Kaspiy Aktau	31	6	25	19%	72.6	89.3	-16.7
8	Pavlodar	31	1	30	3%	73.4	92.4	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana 2	14	19	12	23	68
Aktobe	20	17	10	24	71

← all games of the day

Astana 2 vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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