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Aktobe vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 100-91
30-20 27-20 19-28 24-23
Position#3
Record11-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game82.9
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#6
Record8-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.0
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aktobe v Almaty
29 Jan 2025
AKTO v ALMA
upcoming
28 Jan 2025
AKTO v ALMA
upcoming
06 Feb 2024
AKTO85
ALMA90
05 Feb 2024
AKTO100
ALMA91
26 Nov 2020
AKTO70
ALMA73
25 Nov 2020
AKTO83
ALMA104
23 Jan 2018
AKTO68
ALMA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
87-71
87
71
+16
84avg 76
A14/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
104-76
104
76
+28
103avg 76
A15/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
58avg 76
A18/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 76
A19/12
National League
Almaty
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
61avg 76
A23/12
National League
Almaty
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 76
A24/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 76
A13/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 76
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
78avg 76
H23/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
H24/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
26-15
23-18
15-18
25-16
20-25
32-12
27-23
14-23
14-21
16-23
23-14
19-15
16-23
19-18
13-21
17-28
29-17
15-17
16-21
20-17
25-12
21-23
18-15
21-30
24-16
12-26
28-19
20-22
20-15
19-26
17-12
22-14
21-28
22-18
17-10
21-15
11-24
18-21
28-18
158.9Avg total
81.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.382.9166.2+0.455%
Season at home (8)86.186.8172.9-0.662%
Season away (12)81.480.3161.8+1.150%
Last 10 (10)81.677.3158.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)82.877.0159.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.388.8164.1-13.417%
vs Similar (12)81.482.5163.9-1.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.774.3162.0+13.383%
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 77
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 77
H24/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 77
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 77
H12/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
80-108
80
108
-28
79avg 77
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
102-109
102
109
-7
99avg 77
A20/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
106-98
106
98
+8
107avg 77
A23/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
109-69
109
69
+40
116avg 77
A24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H29/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
70avg 77
H30/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
17-29
17-15
21-16
17-20
12-25
23-21
15-18
23-19
19-23
19-21
20-21
33-21
19-18
17-23
22-17
24-33
23-29
13-28
20-18
20-32
25-24
35-25
22-28
27-25
34-20
24-20
21-33
28-18
25-15
31-20
25-16
–
–
–
–
22-29
26-23
20-21
15-16
161.9Avg total
80.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.082.0161.0-2.936%
Season at home (12)74.777.4152.1-2.842%
Season away (10)84.387.4171.7-3.130%
Last 10 (10)80.281.7161.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)80.077.0157.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.386.1158.4-13.818%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)90.578.2168.8+12.275%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
AktobeAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A14/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A15/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A18/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/12
National League
Almaty
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
National League
Almaty
#6
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A24/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H23/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H24/01
National League
80.4Avg total
40.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.084.4-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.645.786.3-5.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.142.682.7-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.679.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.447.988.3-7.517%-
vs Similar (12)38.243.281.4-4.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.338.082.3+6.3100%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H24/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H12/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A20/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A23/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H30/01
National League
93.6Avg total
46.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.644.285.7-2.641%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.943.683.5-3.735%-
Last 30 away (12)43.945.088.9-1.150%-
Last 10 (9)46.946.793.6+0.233%-
Last 5 (5)50.849.6100.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.046.685.7-7.624%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)48.137.885.9+10.488%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aktobe wins
5
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
24/12/23Almaty v Aktobe67-84
23/12/23Almaty v Aktobe83-77
07/04/21Almaty v Aktobe71-109
06/04/21Almaty v Aktobe49-85
14/02/21Almaty v Aktobe69-94
13/02/21Almaty v Aktobe87-96
26/11/20Aktobe v Almaty70-73
25/11/20Aktobe v Almaty83-104
20/02/18Almaty v Aktobe99-48
23/01/18Aktobe v Almaty68-82
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HAstana 287-82 OT
23/01/24HAstana 282-70
14/01/24AAtyrau76-75
13/01/24AAtyrau85-91
24/12/23AAlmaty84-67
23/12/23AAlmaty77-83
19/12/23AIrbis Almaty67-77
18/12/23AIrbis Almaty67-81
15/12/23APavlodar104-76
14/12/23APavlodar87-71
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HAtyrau83-89
29/01/24HAtyrau0-20
24/01/24APavlodar109-69
23/01/24APavlodar106-98
20/01/24ATobol Kostanay102-109
19/01/24ATobol Kostanay80-108
12/01/24HKaspiy Aktau91-79
11/01/24HKaspiy Aktau81-84
24/12/23HAktobe67-84
23/12/23HAktobe83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %55%62%50%
Points / game83.386.181.4
Allowed / game82.986.880.3
Point differential+0.4-0.6+1.1
Avg total166.2172.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLLWLL42%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%42%30%
Points / game79.074.784.3
Allowed / game82.077.487.4
Point differential-2.9-2.8-3.1
Avg total161.0152.1171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2221195%86.870.9+15.9
2 Atyrau2417771%82.073.5+8.5
3 Tobol Kostanay2214864%88.283.1+5.1
4 Aktobe2011955%83.382.9+0.4
5 Astana 222121055%79.074.7+4.3
6 Almaty2281436%79.082.0-2.9
7 Kaspiy Aktau2241818%72.887.6-14.8
8 Pavlodar221215%75.092.1-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe30271924100
Almaty2020282391
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