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Almaty vs Astana 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 97-78
27-22 29-17 15-27 26-12
Position#6
Record9-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.8
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#5
Record12-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.7
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Almaty v Astana 2
15 Dec 2024
ALMA96
ASTA77
14 Dec 2024
ALMA85
ASTA72
06 Mar 2024
ALMA73
ASTA92
05 Mar 2024
ALMA97
ASTA78
19 Mar 2018
ALMA92
ASTA70
18 Feb 2018
ALMA58
ASTA50
25 Dec 2017
ALMA71
ASTA64
27 Oct 2016
ALMA76
ASTA46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 78
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 78
H12/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
80-108
80
108
-28
79avg 78
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
102-109
102
109
-7
99avg 78
A20/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
106-98
106
98
+8
107avg 78
A23/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
109-69
109
69
+40
116avg 78
A24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H29/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
70avg 78
H30/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 78
A05/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
102avg 78
A06/02
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
19-23
19-21
20-21
33-21
19-18
17-23
22-17
24-33
23-29
13-28
20-18
20-32
25-24
35-25
22-28
27-25
34-20
24-20
21-33
28-18
25-15
31-20
25-16
–
–
–
–
22-29
26-23
20-21
15-16
20-30
20-27
28-19
23-24
26-25
19-22
29-23
16-15
167.4Avg total
83.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.082.8162.8-2.838%
Season at home (12)74.777.4152.1-2.842%
Season away (12)85.388.2173.6-2.933%
Last 10 (10)83.384.1167.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)74.672.6147.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.386.5160.8-12.223%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)90.578.2168.8+12.275%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 72
A23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
68avg 72
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
90-68
90
68
+22
97avg 72
H12/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
101-72
101
72
+29
99avg 72
H13/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 72
A23/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
no box
A24/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
68-48
68
48
+20
62avg 72
H28/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
95-66
95
66
+29
62avg 72
H29/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
48avg 72
A01/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 72
A02/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
15-29
20-18
32-24
18-23
17-18
15-20
16-18
19-18
27-19
24-21
20-10
25-16
22-17
23-20
31-19
14-22
28-21
18-22
10-17
15-21
24-11
21-18
18-28
13-20
18-4
22-5
15-19
28-19
27-20
14-13
26-14
15-24
15-26
18-17
19-22
9-22
24-14
17-26
20-22
156.7Avg total
79.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.175.7153.8+2.450%
Season at home (14)76.670.3146.9+6.464%
Season away (10)80.183.2163.3-3.130%
Last 10 (10)79.777.0156.7+2.740%
Last 5 (5)76.474.8151.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)62.776.9139.6-14.225%
vs Similar (4)74.583.8158.2-9.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.671.0158.6+16.690%
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
AlmatyAstana 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H12/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A20/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A23/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H30/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A05/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A06/02
National League
96.2Avg total
48.1Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.944.786.7-2.838%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.943.683.5-3.735%-
Last 30 away (12)44.846.391.2-1.542%-
Last 10 (9)48.148.196.2+0.033%-
Last 5 (5)49.446.896.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.647.487.0-7.819%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)48.137.885.9+10.488%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H13/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A23/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A24/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H28/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H29/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A01/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A02/03
National League
78.2Avg total
39.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.476.6-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.436.472.8+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)38.042.980.9-4.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.878.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.273.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.540.171.6-8.625%-
vs Similar (4)39.837.277.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.239.384.5+5.980%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Almaty wins
2
Astana 2 wins
DateGameScore
21/11/23Astana 2 v Almaty79-67
20/11/23Astana 2 v Almaty85-73
19/03/18Almaty v Astana 292-70
18/02/18Almaty v Astana 258-50
25/12/17Almaty v Astana 271-64
27/10/16Almaty v Astana 276-46
12/12/15Astana 2 v Almaty57-75
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24AAktobe90-85
05/02/24AAktobe91-100
30/01/24HAtyrau83-89
29/01/24HAtyrau0-20
24/01/24APavlodar109-69
23/01/24APavlodar106-98
20/01/24ATobol Kostanay102-109
19/01/24ATobol Kostanay80-108
12/01/24HKaspiy Aktau91-79
11/01/24HKaspiy Aktau81-84
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AIrbis Almaty70-84
01/03/24AIrbis Almaty67-89
29/01/24HKaspiy Aktau95-66
28/01/24HKaspiy Aktau68-48
24/01/24AAktobe82-87 OT
23/01/24AAktobe70-82
13/01/24HPavlodar101-72
12/01/24HPavlodar90-68
24/12/23ATobol Kostanay66-79
23/12/23ATobol Kostanay88-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLLWLL42%
AwayLWWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game80.074.785.3
Allowed / game82.877.488.2
Point differential-2.8-2.8-2.9
Avg total162.8152.1173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana 2
National League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %50%64%30%
Points / game78.176.680.1
Allowed / game75.770.383.2
Point differential+2.4+6.4-3.1
Avg total153.8146.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2423196%86.870.7+16.1
2 Atyrau2417771%82.073.5+8.5
3 Tobol Kostanay2214864%88.283.1+5.1
4 Aktobe25151060%85.182.6+2.5
5 Astana 224121250%78.175.7+2.4
6 Almaty2491538%80.082.8-2.8
7 Kaspiy Aktau2561924%74.287.4-13.2
8 Pavlodar261254%75.091.3-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty2729152697
Astana 22217271278
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