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Aktobe vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 96-77
23-17 28-21 30-10 15-29
Position#3
Record13-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.9
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#8
Record1-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game91.2
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aktobe v Pavlodar
18 Jan 2026
AKTO112
PAVL52
09 Dec 2024
AKTO63
PAVL67
08 Dec 2024
AKTO72
PAVL93
13 Feb 2024
AKTO96
PAVL77
12 Feb 2024
AKTO81
PAVL67
25 Mar 2019
AKTO85
PAVL66
28 Feb 2019
AKTO80
PAVL56
01 Feb 2019
AKTO92
PAVL66
02 Nov 2018
AKTO96
PAVL98
20 Apr 2018
AKTO89
PAVL86
18 Apr 2018
AKTO77
PAVL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 77
A19/12
National League
Almaty
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
61avg 77
A23/12
National League
Almaty
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 77
A24/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 77
A13/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 77
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
78avg 77
H23/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
H24/01
National League
Almaty
#6
W
100-91
100
91
+9
99avg 77
H05/02
National League
Almaty
#6
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 77
H06/02
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
78avg 77
H12/02
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
16-23
19-18
13-21
17-28
29-17
15-17
16-21
20-17
25-12
21-23
18-15
21-30
24-16
12-26
28-19
20-22
20-15
19-26
17-12
22-14
21-28
22-18
17-10
21-15
11-24
18-21
28-18
30-20
27-20
19-28
24-23
25-26
22-19
23-29
15-16
21-15
18-18
19-16
23-18
161.7Avg total
82.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.082.9166.9+1.157%
Season at home (11)86.885.6172.5+1.264%
Season away (12)81.480.3161.8+1.150%
Last 10 (10)82.479.3161.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)87.080.0167.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.388.8164.1-13.417%
vs Similar (9)81.880.7162.4+1.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.077.1165.1+10.978%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
82-111
82
111
-29
75avg 61
A10/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
68-90
68
90
-22
55avg 61
A12/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 61
A13/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
98-106
98
106
-8
80avg 61
H23/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
69-109
69
109
-40
49avg 61
H24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
58avg 61
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
55avg 61
H03/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
69-78
69
78
-9
62avg 61
A07/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
A08/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
63avg 61
A12/02
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
22-34
16-31
28-26
18-19
19-27
21-24
10-20
16-25
17-22
20-23
19-31
25-27
20-34
20-24
33-21
18-28
15-25
20-31
16-25
18-26
24-24
23-26
4-16
16-16
15-29
26-11
10-21
15-25
15-11
20-19
19-23
31-25
19-13
9-25
26-22
15-21
18-18
16-19
18-23
168.8Avg total
74.9Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.991.2166.1-16.24%
Season at home (14)75.691.1166.6-15.57%
Season away (11)74.191.3165.4-17.20%
Last 10 (10)74.993.9168.8-19.00%
Last 5 (5)72.084.4156.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.190.7164.8-16.59%
vs Similar (6)74.380.8155.2-6.517%
vs Weaker (1)89.091.0180.0-2.00%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
AktobePavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/12
National League
Almaty
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/12
National League
Almaty
#6
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A24/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H23/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H24/01
National League
Almaty
#6
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H05/02
National League
Almaty
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/02
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/02
National League
82.3Avg total
42.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.485.0-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.244.486.6-2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.942.283.1-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.482.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.883.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.447.988.3-7.517%-
vs Similar (9)39.442.281.7-2.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.438.483.9+7.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A12/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A13/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H23/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H03/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A12/02
National League
84.1Avg total
37.2Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.545.884.2-7.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.846.286.0-6.525%-
Last 30 away (14)37.045.282.2-8.221%-
Last 10 (10)37.246.984.1-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.678.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.447.585.0-10.19%-
vs Similar (6)39.539.078.5+0.567%-
vs Weaker (1)56.046.0102.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Aktobe wins
1
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
12/02/24Aktobe v Pavlodar81-67
15/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe76-104
14/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe71-87
25/03/19Aktobe v Pavlodar85-66
28/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar80-56
01/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar92-66
07/12/18Pavlodar v Aktobe65-72
02/11/18Aktobe v Pavlodar96-98
20/04/18Aktobe v Pavlodar89-86
19/04/18Pavlodar v Aktobe78-99
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24HPavlodar81-67
06/02/24HAlmaty85-90
05/02/24HAlmaty100-91
24/01/24HAstana 287-82 OT
23/01/24HAstana 282-70
14/01/24AAtyrau76-75
13/01/24AAtyrau85-91
24/12/23AAlmaty84-67
23/12/23AAlmaty77-83
19/12/23AIrbis Almaty67-77
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24AAktobe67-81
08/02/24AKaspiy Aktau88-94 OT
07/02/24AKaspiy Aktau69-78
03/02/24HAtyrau67-77
02/02/24HAtyrau69-92
24/01/24HAlmaty69-109
23/01/24HAlmaty98-106
13/01/24AAstana 272-101
12/01/24AAstana 268-90
10/01/24ATobol Kostanay82-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game84.086.881.4
Allowed / game82.985.680.3
Point differential+1.1+1.2+1.1
Avg total166.9172.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL7%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %4%7%0%
Points / game74.975.674.1
Allowed / game91.291.191.3
Point differential-16.2-15.5-17.2
Avg total166.1166.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2221195%86.870.9+15.9
2 Atyrau2417771%82.073.5+8.5
3 Tobol Kostanay2214864%88.283.1+5.1
4 Aktobe23131057%84.082.9+1.1
5 Astana 222121055%79.074.7+4.3
6 Almaty2491538%80.082.8-2.8
7 Kaspiy Aktau2461825%73.986.9-13.0
8 Pavlodar251244%74.991.2-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe2328301596
Pavlodar1721102977
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