Astana 2 vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 79-67

24-24 19-20 16-8 20-15

Position#5

Record6-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game73.8

Astana 2 🏆

Almaty

Position#6

Record4-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game82.2

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Astana 2 v Almaty

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana 2 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Almaty winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana 2

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 Form2

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

52-78

-26

no box

H19/04

Premier League

Aktobe

74-83

-9

70avg 75

H18/10

National League

Aktobe

72-83

-11

64avg 75

H19/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

79-65

+14

74avg 75

H26/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

77-72

73avg 75

H27/10

National League

Atyrau

68-62

68avg 75

H02/11

National League

Atyrau

60-72

-12

56avg 75

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

92-68

+24

96avg 75

A11/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

99-86

+13

93avg 75

A12/11

National League

Almaty

85-73

+12

81avg 75

H20/11

National League

13-17

14-33

13-15

12-13

19-23

21-8

21-19

13-33

24-18

14-25

16-15

18-25

22-21

14-9

25-16

18-19

26-18

14-14

22-19

15-21

21-15

19-11

13-21

15-15

13-21

18-16

20-15

9-20

27-14

22-28

21-7

22-19

26-14

28-24

19-29

26-19

27-18

12-20

28-18

18-17

150.0Avg total

75.8Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.4	73.8	152.2	+4.7	67%
Season at home (7)	73.6	72.9	146.4	+0.7	57%
Season away (2)	95.5	77.0	172.5	+18.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	74.2	150.0	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	72.2	153.0	+8.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	55.4	76.6	132.0	-21.3	20%
vs Similar (2)	73.0	83.0	156.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	92.0	75.7	167.7	+16.3	100%

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

90-76

+14

no box

H24/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

80-91

-11

64avg 74

H18/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

82-108

108

-26

74avg 74

H19/10

National League

Pavlodar

87-66

+21

88avg 74

H30/10

National League

Pavlodar

82-71

+11

74avg 74

H31/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

86-75

+11

84avg 74

A06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

82-84

-2

75avg 74

A07/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

81-95

-14

71avg 74

H14/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

79-65

+14

65avg 74

H15/11

National League

Astana 2

73-85

-12

71avg 74

A20/11

National League

23-20

22-15

20-22

25-19

12-21

19-18

25-30

24-22

13-28

25-32

25-28

19-20

27-15

23-10

11-22

26-19

23-15

14-21

18-22

27-13

26-17

19-27

20-21

21-10

30-17

15-21

17-28

20-18

21-15

25-35

20-26

15-19

14-17

25-15

18-16

22-17

18-27

20-12

18-28

17-18

163.8Avg total

82.2Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	81.3	82.2	163.6	-0.9	44%
Season at home (6)	81.8	82.7	164.5	-0.8	50%
Season away (3)	80.3	81.3	161.7	-1.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	81.6	163.8	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	80.8	161.0	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	73.3	94.1	167.4	-20.8	15%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	84.2	74.0	158.2	+10.2	75%

This opponent (Astana 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Astana 2Almaty

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	20.6	36.4	-4.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	21.4	38.4	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.7	19.8	34.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.9	39.7	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.4	39.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	14.1	21.2	35.3	-7.2	16%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	26.7	15.3	42.0	+11.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	19.8	22.2	42.1	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.3	23.6	41.9	-5.3	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	26.5	16.0	42.5	+10.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.2	19.2	33.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	13.2	17.9	31.1	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.2	20.6	35.8	-5.4	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	13.2	18.9	32.0	-5.7	16%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	16.5	34.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	20.7	24.0	44.7	-3.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.3	26.4	44.6	-8.1	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.9	24.2	44.0	-4.3	35%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	19.8	37.5	-2.0	25%	-

Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pavlodar

27-50

-23

H19/04

Premier League

Aktobe

40-31

H18/10

National League

Aktobe

38-43

-5

H19/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

36-30

H26/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

40-32

H27/10

National League

Atyrau

40-26

+14

H02/11

National League

Atyrau

31-37

-6

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

49-42

A11/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

54-38

+16

A12/11

National League

Almaty

39-38

H20/11

National League

76.1Avg total

39.4Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.0	39.8	69.9	-9.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.2	39.3	69.5	-9.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.9	40.4	70.3	-10.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	36.7	76.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.2	78.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	27.2	40.1	67.4	-12.9	16%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	47.3	39.3	86.7	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

45-35

+10

H24/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

31-39

-8

H18/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

38-60

-22

H19/10

National League

Pavlodar

50-25

+25

H30/10

National League

Pavlodar

37-36

H31/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-44

A06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-38

A07/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

46-50

-4

H14/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

39-32

H15/11

National League

Astana 2

38-39

-1

A20/11

National League

81.2Avg total

41.4Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	46.1	85.1	-7.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	40.2	44.2	84.4	-3.9	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.9	49.5	86.5	-12.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.8	81.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.6	83.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	38.2	47.7	85.9	-9.5	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	44.2	35.8	80.0	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Astana 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.4	19.0	34.5	-3.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	18.8	35.5	-2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.2	19.3	33.5	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	14.3	19.3	33.6	-5.0	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	23.8	41.4	-6.3	13%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	18.5	22.7	41.3	-4.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (11)	15.8	25.7	41.5	-9.9	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	24.3	43.5	-5.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.8	42.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.7	23.9	41.6	-6.2	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	16.5	23.2	39.8	-6.8	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	14.7	18.1	32.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.9	18.0	32.9	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.5	18.2	32.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.1	36.7	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	13.8	17.2	31.0	-3.4	24%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	29.0	44.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	15.8	23.5	39.3	-7.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.4	22.5	39.9	-5.0	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	15.0	38.5	+8.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.2	37.1	67.3	-7.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.6	36.8	68.4	-5.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.7	37.5	66.2	-8.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.5	73.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.0	74.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	28.1	36.5	64.6	-8.4	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	34.0	46.0	80.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	44.7	36.3	81.0	+8.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	45.3	81.1	-9.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	38.2	43.1	81.2	-4.9	26%	-
Last 30 away (11)	31.6	49.2	80.8	-17.5	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.8	82.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.2	77.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.1	46.4	81.5	-11.3	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana 2 wins

Almaty wins

Date	Game	Score
20/11/23	Astana 2 v Almaty	85-73
19/03/18	Almaty v Astana 2	92-70
18/02/18	Almaty v Astana 2	58-50
25/12/17	Almaty v Astana 2	71-64
27/10/16	Almaty v Astana 2	76-46
12/12/15	Astana 2 v Almaty	57-75

Astana 2last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/23	H	Almaty	85-73
12/11/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	99-86
11/11/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	92-68
03/11/23	H	Atyrau	60-72
02/11/23	H	Atyrau	68-62
27/10/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	77-72
26/10/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	79-65
19/10/23	H	Aktobe	72-83
18/10/23	H	Aktobe	74-83
19/04/19	H	Pavlodar	52-78

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/23	A	Astana 2	73-85
15/11/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	79-65
14/11/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	81-95
07/11/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	82-84
06/11/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	86-75
31/10/23	H	Pavlodar	82-71
30/10/23	H	Pavlodar	87-66
19/10/23	H	Irbis Almaty	82-108
18/10/23	H	Irbis Almaty	80-91
24/04/21	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	90-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana 2

National League 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	67%
Home	WWWLW	57%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	7	2
Win %	67%	57%	100%
Points / game	78.4	73.6	95.5
Allowed / game	73.8	72.9	77.0
Point differential	+4.7	+0.7	+18.5
Avg total	152.2	146.4	172.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	29%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	44%
Home	LWWLW	50%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	6	3
Win %	44%	50%	33%
Points / game	81.3	81.8	80.3
Allowed / game	82.2	82.7	81.3
Point differential	-0.9	-0.8	-1.0
Avg total	163.6	164.5	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	8	7	1	88%	88.6	76.9	+11.8
2	Atyrau	9	7	2	78%	81.2	72.2	+9.0
3	Astana 2	9	6	3	67%	78.4	73.8	+4.7
4	Aktobe	7	4	3	57%	84.7	84.0	+0.7
5	Tobol Kostanay	10	5	5	50%	81.5	80.2	+1.3
6	Almaty	9	4	5	44%	81.3	82.2	-0.9
7	Kaspiy Aktau	10	3	7	30%	77.2	85.0	-7.8
8	Pavlodar	10	0	10	0%	73.2	88.1	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana 2	24	19	16	20	79
Almaty	24	20	8	15	67

← all games of the day

Astana 2 vs Almaty Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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