Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 79-65

14-17 25-15 18-16 22-17

Position#6

Record3-4

FormWWWLL

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game84.3

Almaty 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#4

Record5-2

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game77.1

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Almaty v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Aktobe

71-109

109

-38

no box

H07/04

National League

Bars Petropavlovsk

83-76

no box

H23/04

National League

Bars Petropavlovsk

90-76

+14

no box

H24/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

80-91

-11

64avg 75

H18/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

82-108

108

-26

74avg 75

H19/10

National League

Pavlodar

87-66

+21

88avg 75

H30/10

National League

Pavlodar

82-71

+11

74avg 75

H31/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

86-75

+11

84avg 75

A06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

82-84

-2

75avg 75

A07/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

81-95

-14

71avg 75

H14/11

National League

17-36

16-24

16-20

22-29

24-23

21-16

22-15

16-22

23-20

22-15

20-22

25-19

12-21

19-18

25-30

24-22

13-28

25-32

25-28

19-20

27-15

23-10

11-22

26-19

23-15

14-21

18-22

27-13

26-17

19-27

20-21

21-10

30-17

15-21

17-28

20-18

21-15

25-35

20-26

15-19

167.5Avg total

82.4Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.9	84.3	167.1	-1.4	43%
Season at home (5)	82.4	86.2	168.6	-3.8	40%
Season away (2)	84.0	79.5	163.5	+4.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	85.1	167.5	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	78.2	161.8	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	72.8	95.2	168.0	-22.3	15%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	84.2	74.0	158.2	+10.2	75%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

56-85

-29

no box

A07/05

National League

Irbis Almaty

69-86

-17

no box

A08/05

National League

Irbis Almaty

84-78

no box

H12/05

National League

Pavlodar

86-68

+18

83avg 84

A22/10

National League

Pavlodar

98-71

+27

93avg 84

A23/10

National League

Astana 2

65-79

-14

57avg 84

A26/10

National League

Astana 2

72-77

-5

62avg 84

A27/10

National League

Aktobe

96-88

100avg 84

H08/11

National League

Aktobe

101-76

101

+25

108avg 84

H09/11

National League

Almaty

95-81

+14

83avg 84

A14/11

National League

17-14

12-24

12-27

15-20

21-15

12-26

18-18

18-27

20-20

18-23

19-21

27-14

28-20

22-21

17-10

19-17

24-20

27-25

25-15

22-11

21-22

9-14

16-25

19-18

18-26

14-14

19-22

21-15

26-20

30-19

17-27

23-22

31-24

24-19

20-11

26-22

15-21

35-25

26-20

19-15

161.1Avg total

82.2Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	87.6	77.1	164.7	+10.4	71%
Season at home (2)	98.5	82.0	180.5	+16.5	100%
Season away (5)	83.2	75.2	158.4	+8.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	78.9	161.1	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	80.2	166.0	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	67.3	85.9	153.2	-18.6	11%
vs Similar (16)	81.3	82.8	164.1	-1.5	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	83.2	75.2	158.4	+8.0	60%

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmatyTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	19.9	22.9	42.9	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	15.8	41.2	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	31%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	26.5	16.0	42.5	+10.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.9	44.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	22.9	42.4	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.8	26.3	44.1	-8.6	22%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.3	22.2	42.4	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.4	26.5	43.9	-9.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.4	24.4	43.8	-5.0	31%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	19.8	37.5	-2.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.2	38.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-3.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.1	19.1	35.2	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aktobe

33-60

-27

H07/04

National League

Bars Petropavlovsk

45-39

H23/04

National League

Bars Petropavlovsk

45-35

+10

H24/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

31-39

-8

H18/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

38-60

-22

H19/10

National League

Pavlodar

50-25

+25

H30/10

National League

Pavlodar

37-36

H31/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-44

A06/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-38

A07/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

46-50

-4

H14/11

National League

84.1Avg total

41.5Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	46.3	85.1	-7.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	40.2	45.1	85.3	-4.9	37%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.4	48.3	84.6	-11.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.6	84.1	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	38.6	83.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	38.0	47.9	85.8	-9.9	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	44.2	35.8	80.0	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

29-38

-9

A07/05

National League

Irbis Almaty

33-41

-8

A08/05

National League

Irbis Almaty

38-43

-5

H12/05

National League

Pavlodar

50-41

A22/10

National League

Pavlodar

51-45

A23/10

National League

Astana 2

30-36

-6

A26/10

National League

Astana 2

32-40

-8

A27/10

National League

Aktobe

56-39

+17

H08/11

National League

Aktobe

55-43

+12

H09/11

National League

Almaty

50-46

A14/11

National League

83.6Avg total

42.4Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.6	81.7	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	39.3	82.7	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	43.6	80.8	-6.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	41.2	83.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.8	85.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.9	45.4	79.3	-11.6	11%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.8	39.4	82.2	+3.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	42.6	41.6	84.2	+1.0	60%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	23.9	41.9	-6.0	13%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	18.7	23.1	41.8	-4.4	16%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.7	25.4	42.1	-8.6	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.8	41.0	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	16.5	23.2	39.8	-6.8	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.1	20.4	35.6	-5.3	11%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.9	20.8	39.8	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	18.8	21.2	40.1	-2.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	15.5	23.7	39.2	-8.3	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	15.8	37.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.7	23.2	39.9	-6.5	23%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	15.0	38.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	22.9	43.2	-2.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.1	35.4	-0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	56%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.0	15.2	35.2	+4.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	46.1	81.6	-10.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	37.5	44.3	81.8	-6.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (11)	32.2	49.1	81.3	-16.9	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.5	83.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	34.9	47.3	82.2	-12.4	12%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	41.7	82.2	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.6	39.6	73.2	-6.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	37.7	77.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.4	40.4	73.9	-7.0	44%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.6	42.9	80.4	-5.3	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	40.6	33.6	74.2	+7.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almaty wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
14/11/23	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	81-95
03/04/21	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	68-101
02/04/21	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	77-94
24/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	113-72
23/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	107-75
24/12/20	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	90-92
23/12/20	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	95-79
28/04/19	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	71-67
27/04/19	Almaty v Tobol Kostanay	87-82
10/02/19	Tobol Kostanay v Almaty	83-91

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	81-95
07/11/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	82-84
06/11/23	A	Kaspiy Aktau	86-75
31/10/23	H	Pavlodar	82-71
30/10/23	H	Pavlodar	87-66
19/10/23	H	Irbis Almaty	82-108
18/10/23	H	Irbis Almaty	80-91
24/04/21	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	90-76
23/04/21	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	83-76
07/04/21	H	Aktobe	71-109

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/23	A	Almaty	95-81
09/11/23	H	Aktobe	101-76
08/11/23	H	Aktobe	96-88
27/10/23	A	Astana 2	72-77
26/10/23	A	Astana 2	65-79
23/10/23	A	Pavlodar	98-71
22/10/23	A	Pavlodar	86-68
12/05/23	H	Irbis Almaty	84-78
08/05/23	A	Irbis Almaty	69-86
07/05/23	A	Irbis Almaty	56-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty

National League 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	43%
Home	LLWWL	40%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	43%	40%	50%
Points / game	82.9	82.4	84.0
Allowed / game	84.3	86.2	79.5
Point differential	-1.4	-3.8	+4.5
Avg total	167.1	168.6	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	40%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	71%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWLLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	2	5
Win %	71%	100%	60%
Points / game	87.6	98.5	83.2
Allowed / game	77.1	82.0	75.2
Point differential	+10.4	+16.5	+8.0
Avg total	164.7	180.5	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	50%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	6	5	1	83%	87.7	79.7	+8.0
2	Atyrau	8	6	2	75%	79.4	70.1	+9.2
3	Tobol Kostanay	7	5	2	71%	87.6	77.1	+10.4
4	Aktobe	6	4	2	67%	84.0	82.0	+2.0
5	Astana 2	8	5	3	62%	77.6	73.9	+3.8
6	Almaty	7	3	4	43%	82.9	84.3	-1.4
7	Kaspiy Aktau	8	1	7	12%	73.9	87.4	-13.5
8	Pavlodar	8	0	8	0%	72.6	87.5	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almaty	14	25	18	22	79
Tobol Kostanay	17	15	16	17	65

← all games of the day

Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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