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Astana 2 vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-72
26-18 14-14 22-19 15-21
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game72.7
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Astana 2 v Tobol Kostanay
23 Apr 2025
ASTA84
TOBO65
28 Oct 2024
ASTA70
TOBO72
27 Oct 2024
ASTA77
TOBO84
27 Oct 2023
ASTA77
TOBO72
26 Oct 2023
ASTA79
TOBO65
21 Feb 2016
ASTA51
TOBO78
30 Jan 2016
ASTA64
TOBO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#3
L
50-99
50
99
-49
no box
H23/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
no box
A24/03
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
63-52
63
52
+11
no box
A25/03
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
27-72
27
72
-45
no box
H26/03
Premier League
Aktobe
#1
L
53-104
53
104
-51
no box
A27/03
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
L
49-83
49
83
-34
no box
A18/04
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
L
52-78
52
78
-26
no box
H19/04
Premier League
Aktobe
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 69
H18/10
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
64avg 69
H19/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
74avg 69
H26/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
4-24
10-32
18-20
13-24
16-23
22-10
8-13
21-14
18-13
11-10
13-15
9-22
6-16
8-21
4-13
10-18
13-26
15-24
15-36
16-18
19-32
6-17
8-16
13-17
14-33
13-15
12-13
19-23
21-8
21-19
13-33
24-18
14-25
16-15
18-25
22-21
14-9
25-16
18-19
136.7Avg total
57.8Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.077.0152.0-2.033%
Season at home (3)75.077.0152.0-2.033%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)57.878.9136.7-21.120%
Last 5 (5)65.278.4143.6-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)56.579.5136.0-23.014%
vs Similar (2)73.083.0156.0-10.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
A23/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H26/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
no box
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H12/05
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
86-68
86
68
+18
83avg 77
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
93avg 77
A23/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
57avg 77
A26/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-21
16-18
17-14
21-28
12-24
24-14
24-20
23-27
26-11
22-19
24-33
26-21
11-21
23-10
16-24
17-14
12-24
12-27
15-20
21-15
12-26
18-18
18-27
20-20
18-23
19-21
27-14
28-20
22-21
17-10
19-17
24-20
27-25
25-15
22-11
21-22
9-14
16-25
19-18
159.4Avg total
79.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.072.7155.7+10.367%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)83.072.7155.7+10.367%
Last 10 (10)79.579.9159.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.476.4156.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.585.2151.7-18.710%
vs Similar (17)79.982.5162.5-2.659%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.072.7155.7+10.367%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -7.6-7.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -7.6-7.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Astana 2Tobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#3
L
22-47
22
47
-25
H23/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A24/03
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A25/03
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
15-38
15
38
-23
H26/03
Premier League
Aktobe
#1
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A27/03
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A18/04
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H19/04
Premier League
Aktobe
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/10
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H19/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/10
National League
71.1Avg total
30.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.841.969.7-14.110%-
Last 30 at home (13)28.842.170.8-13.315%-
Last 30 away (17)27.141.868.9-14.86%-
Last 10 (10)30.440.771.1-10.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.876.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)27.042.369.3-15.37%-
vs Similar (2)39.037.076.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H26/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/05
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A23/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A26/10
National League
80.2Avg total
38.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.580.2-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.080.2+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)36.543.780.2-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.580.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.281.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.245.378.5-12.110%-
vs Similar (17)41.139.480.5+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.740.784.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Astana 2 wins
4
Tobol Kostanay wins
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HTobol Kostanay79-65
19/10/23HAktobe72-83
18/10/23HAktobe74-83
19/04/19HPavlodar52-78
18/04/19APavlodar49-83
27/03/19AAktobe53-104
26/03/19HBars Petropavlovsk27-72
25/03/19ASDUSH Almaty63-52
24/03/19AKazygurt59-70
23/03/19HPavlodar50-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23AAstana 265-79
23/10/23APavlodar98-71
22/10/23APavlodar86-68
12/05/23HIrbis Almaty84-78
08/05/23AIrbis Almaty69-86
07/05/23AIrbis Almaty56-85
04/05/23HIrbis Almaty91-85 OT
03/05/23HIrbis Almaty95-90
26/04/23HAtyrau81-86
23/04/23AAtyrau70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana 2
National League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLLW33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
Home--
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game72.7-72.7
Point differential+10.3-+10.3
Avg total155.7-155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%-67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau220100%83.064.5+18.5
2 Irbis Almaty220100%99.581.0+18.5
3 Aktobe330100%83.773.3+10.3
4 Tobol Kostanay32167%83.072.7+10.3
5 Astana 231233%75.077.0-2.0
6 Kaspiy Aktau3030%67.783.7-16.0
7 Almaty2020%81.099.5-18.5
8 Pavlodar2020%69.592.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana 22614221577
Tobol Kostanay1814192172
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