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Astana 2 vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 77-84
19-26 26-19 15-16 17-23
Position#3
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#2
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game78.2
KazakhstanNational League· Martial Arts Palace
Other2024-25
Meetings · Astana 2 v Tobol Kostanay
23 Apr 2025
ASTA84
TOBO65
28 Oct 2024
ASTA70
TOBO72
27 Oct 2024
ASTA77
TOBO84
27 Oct 2023
ASTA77
TOBO72
26 Oct 2023
ASTA79
TOBO65
21 Feb 2016
ASTA51
TOBO78
30 Jan 2016
ASTA64
TOBO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
52-71
52
71
-19
46avg 71
A13/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
60-83
60
83
-23
59avg 71
A14/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
66-74
66
74
-8
60avg 71
A02/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
95avg 71
A03/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
68-71
68
71
-3
63avg 71
H09/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
67avg 71
H10/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H04/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
H05/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
81-82
81
82
-1
67avg 71
A19/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
56-71
56
71
-15
47avg 71
A20/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-13
12-20
13-12
10-19
27-17
8-26
15-21
21-7
21-22
16-22
8-23
29-12
19-19
14-17
24-34
14-20
19-17
12-10
23-24
20-22
17-22
16-24
17-17
22-23
14-17
25-19
16-15
19-20
15-19
26-32
26-19
18-24
23-20
21-10
19-28
7-19
16-15
17-18
16-19
148.5Avg total
70.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.079.2154.2-4.225%
Season at home (2)81.582.0163.5-0.550%
Season away (2)68.576.5145.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)70.278.3148.5-8.120%
Last 5 (5)74.080.4154.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.081.8147.8-15.80%
vs Similar (10)74.279.8154.0-5.620%
vs Weaker (12)87.273.3160.5+13.883%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
63avg 92
H01/05
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
66avg 92
A06/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
89-105
89
105
-16
90avg 92
H14/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
109-97
109
97
+12
111avg 92
H15/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 92
A21/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
74avg 92
A22/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 92
H08/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 92
H09/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
107-74
107
74
+33
103avg 92
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
111-72
111
72
+39
114avg 92
A23/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
12-14
22-14
17-25
25-21
12-22
21-20
13-12
24-16
23-31
23-27
19-31
26-19
27-24
21-24
35-30
25-18
18-29
23-25
20-18
22-21
12-21
22-12
17-20
20-23
26-19
11-23
17-18
23-22
18-14
18-18
22-30
33-24
24-20
21-22
29-8
38-11
31-26
23-21
19-14
170.0Avg total
86.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.278.2171.5+15.050%
Season at home (2)77.583.5161.0-6.00%
Season away (2)109.073.0182.0+36.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.883.2170.0+3.630%
Last 5 (5)89.277.4166.6+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
vs Similar (13)82.984.1167.0-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)101.880.7182.5+21.187%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Astana 2Tobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A13/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A02/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A03/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H09/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/04
National League
Almaty
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H05/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A19/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A20/10
National League
73.1Avg total
35.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.778.8-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.037.975.9+0.142%-
Last 30 away (18)39.840.880.7-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)35.837.373.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.274.4-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.641.973.5-10.212%-
vs Similar (10)37.537.374.8+0.230%-
vs Weaker (12)45.440.285.6+5.275%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H01/05
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H14/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H15/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/05
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H08/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A22/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
69-37
69
37
+32
A23/10
National League
87.5Avg total
45.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.189.5+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.841.590.3+7.378%-
Last 30 away (12)45.442.988.3+2.533%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.087.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.289.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (13)41.642.784.3-1.123%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)53.241.394.5+11.993%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Astana 2 wins
6
Tobol Kostanay wins
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AKaspiy Aktau56-71
19/10/24AKaspiy Aktau81-82
05/10/24HAlmaty86-90
04/10/24HAlmaty77-74
10/04/24HAktobe70-85
09/04/24HAktobe68-71
03/04/24AAktobe86-82
02/04/24AAktobe66-74
14/03/24AAtyrau60-83
13/03/24AAtyrau52-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24APavlodar111-72
22/10/24APavlodar107-74
09/10/24HKaspiy Aktau81-84
08/10/24HKaspiy Aktau74-83
22/05/24AAktobe73-74
21/05/24AAktobe86-90
15/05/24HAktobe109-97
14/05/24HAktobe89-105
06/05/24AAtyrau71-75
01/05/24HAtyrau67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana 2
National League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game75.081.568.5
Allowed / game79.282.076.5
Point differential-4.2-0.5-8.0
Avg total154.2163.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game93.277.5109.0
Allowed / game78.283.573.0
Point differential+15.0-6.0+36.0
Avg total171.5161.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Almaty54180%82.271.6+10.6
2 Kaspiy Aktau54180%75.673.6+2.0
3 Tobol Kostanay42250%93.278.2+15.0
4 Irbis Almaty42250%75.273.0+2.2
5 Atyrau42250%83.083.2-0.2
6 Aktobe42250%82.084.0-2.0
7 Astana 241325%75.079.2-4.2
8 Pavlodar4040%70.897.2-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana 21926151777
Tobol Kostanay2619162384
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