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Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 68-86
20-28 21-22 10-17 17-19
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay
05 Apr 2025
PAVL91
TOBO105
23 Oct 2024
PAVL72
TOBO111
22 Oct 2024
PAVL74
TOBO107
23 Oct 2023
PAVL71
TOBO98
22 Oct 2023
PAVL68
TOBO86
21 Mar 2016
PAVL43
TOBO83
17 Feb 2016
PAVL43
TOBO102
10 Dec 2015
PAVL57
TOBO114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A12/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A11/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
26-15
15-19
23-23
19-18
27-23
15-26
21-21
23-28
19-17
10-20
14-16
14-8
20-25
14-22
22-19
14-27
23-24
17-16
21-17
27-25
29-21
16-23
17-22
22-16
21-22
21-18
16-14
16-15
17-30
21-24
6-20
22-14
13-14
14-17
11-16
19-18
19-19
21-21
19-13
152.3Avg total
73.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.978.4152.3-4.530%
Last 5 (5)73.476.4149.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)69.687.0156.6-17.415%
vs Similar (9)73.270.9144.1+2.367%
vs Weaker (8)81.271.5152.8+9.862%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A11/04
National League
Aktobe
#5
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A12/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A22/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A23/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H26/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H12/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
18-19
18-19
26-14
17-19
14-16
11-23
11-14
17-22
14-16
23-27
19-12
20-18
17-21
16-18
17-14
21-28
12-24
24-14
24-20
23-27
26-11
22-19
24-33
26-21
11-21
23-10
16-24
17-14
12-24
12-27
15-20
21-15
12-26
18-18
18-27
20-20
18-23
19-21
27-14
157.1Avg total
76.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.081.1157.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)79.084.8163.8-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.086.9156.9-16.915%
vs Similar (17)79.982.5162.5-2.659%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
PavlodarTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A12/03
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/04
Higher League
80.2Avg total
40.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.476.9+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.240.177.3-2.940%-
Last 30 away (20)39.137.676.8+1.565%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.780.2+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.245.280.3-10.015%-
vs Similar (9)40.933.274.1+7.789%-
vs Weaker (8)41.233.474.6+7.988%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/04
National League
Aktobe
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A22/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H26/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/05
National League
77.6Avg total
36.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.980.3-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.239.680.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.144.679.7-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.477.6-5.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.477.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.845.280.1-10.415%-
vs Similar (17)41.139.480.5+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
4
Tobol Kostanay wins
DateGameScore
21/11/16Tobol Kostanay v Pavlodar95-53
21/03/16Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay43-83
17/02/16Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay43-102
10/12/15Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay57-114
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/23AGOTOBELES Astana78-71
10/04/23HKaspiy Aktau60-61
09/04/23ABars Petropavlovsk60-89
08/04/23HAtyrau 280-70
07/04/23AChelSU Kostanay89-91
06/04/23HBC Almaty 275-84
15/03/23AAltay70-74
14/03/23AKaraganda66-81
13/03/23HShymkent82-88
12/03/23ATigers-KazATU79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23HIrbis Almaty84-78
08/05/23AIrbis Almaty69-86
07/05/23AIrbis Almaty56-85
04/05/23HIrbis Almaty91-85 OT
03/05/23HIrbis Almaty95-90
26/04/23HAtyrau81-86
23/04/23AAtyrau70-71
22/04/23AAtyrau73-77
12/04/23AAktobe53-72
11/04/23AAktobe88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau110100%88.069.0+19.0
2 Irbis Almaty220100%99.581.0+18.5
3 Aktobe220100%83.073.0+10.0
4 Astana 22020%73.083.0-10.0
5 Almaty2020%81.099.5-18.5
6 Kaspiy Aktau1010%69.088.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar2021101768
Tobol Kostanay2822171986
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