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Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 71-98
20-24 25-27 15-25 11-22
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game68.0
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pavlodar v Tobol Kostanay
05 Apr 2025
PAVL91
TOBO105
23 Oct 2024
PAVL72
TOBO111
22 Oct 2024
PAVL74
TOBO107
23 Oct 2023
PAVL71
TOBO98
22 Oct 2023
PAVL68
TOBO86
21 Mar 2016
PAVL43
TOBO83
17 Feb 2016
PAVL43
TOBO102
10 Dec 2015
PAVL57
TOBO114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
no box
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
53avg 53
H22/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
27-23
15-26
21-21
23-28
19-17
10-20
14-16
14-8
20-25
14-22
22-19
14-27
23-24
17-16
21-17
27-25
29-21
16-23
17-22
22-16
21-22
21-18
16-14
16-15
17-30
21-24
6-20
22-14
13-14
14-17
11-16
19-18
19-19
21-21
19-13
20-28
21-22
10-17
17-19
152.3Avg total
72.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.086.0154.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)68.086.0154.0-18.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.879.5152.3-6.720%
Last 5 (5)69.275.4144.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.986.4157.3-15.515%
vs Similar (9)73.270.9144.1+2.367%
vs Weaker (8)81.271.5152.8+9.862%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
L
53-72
53
72
-19
no box
A12/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
A22/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
A23/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H26/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
no box
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H12/05
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
86-68
86
68
+18
83avg 83
A22/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
14-16
11-23
11-14
17-22
14-16
23-27
19-12
20-18
17-21
16-18
17-14
21-28
12-24
24-14
24-20
23-27
26-11
22-19
24-33
26-21
11-21
23-10
16-24
17-14
12-24
12-27
15-20
21-15
12-26
18-18
18-27
20-20
18-23
19-21
27-14
28-20
22-21
17-10
19-17
155.6Avg total
75.8Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.068.0154.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.068.0154.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.879.8155.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)77.280.4157.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.686.8156.4-17.217%
vs Similar (17)79.982.5162.5-2.659%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)86.068.0154.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
PavlodarTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shymkent
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/03
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H22/10
National League
81.9Avg total
40.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.677.4+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.541.078.5-3.536%-
Last 30 away (19)39.537.376.8+2.368%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.481.9-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.845.681.5-9.815%-
vs Similar (9)40.933.274.1+7.789%-
vs Weaker (8)41.233.474.6+7.988%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A22/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/04
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H26/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/05
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A22/10
National League
77.5Avg total
36.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.181.0-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.981.5+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.144.380.5-8.213%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.777.5-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.078.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.846.180.8-11.38%-
vs Similar (17)41.139.480.5+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.041.091.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
5
Tobol Kostanay wins
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HTobol Kostanay68-86
11/04/23AGOTOBELES Astana78-71
10/04/23HKaspiy Aktau60-61
09/04/23ABars Petropavlovsk60-89
08/04/23HAtyrau 280-70
07/04/23AChelSU Kostanay89-91
06/04/23HBC Almaty 275-84
15/03/23AAltay70-74
14/03/23AKaraganda66-81
13/03/23HShymkent82-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23APavlodar86-68
12/05/23HIrbis Almaty84-78
08/05/23AIrbis Almaty69-86
07/05/23AIrbis Almaty56-85
04/05/23HIrbis Almaty91-85 OT
03/05/23HIrbis Almaty95-90
26/04/23HAtyrau81-86
23/04/23AAtyrau70-71
22/04/23AAtyrau73-77
12/04/23AAktobe53-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-18.0-18.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau220100%83.064.5+18.5
2 Irbis Almaty220100%99.581.0+18.5
3 Tobol Kostanay110100%86.068.0+18.0
4 Aktobe220100%83.073.0+10.0
5 Astana 22020%73.083.0-10.0
6 Pavlodar1010%68.086.0-18.0
7 Almaty2020%81.099.5-18.5
8 Kaspiy Aktau2020%64.583.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar2025151171
Tobol Kostanay2427252298
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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