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Astana vs Parma Perm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 73-74
17-13 20-17 15-28 21-16
Position#11
Record5-20
FormWLLWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#6
Record11-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game81.3
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Astana v Parma Perm
05 Apr 2025
AST56
PPE87
17 Dec 2024
AST62
PPE83
10 Jan 2024
AST76
PPE86
04 Mar 2023
AST73
PPE74
13 Oct 2022
AST84
PPE72
13 Apr 2022
AST65
PPE82
29 Mar 2021
AST80
PPE84
26 Apr 2020
AST v PPE
upcoming
30 Mar 2019
AST79
PPE71
25 Mar 2018
AST78
PPE84
05 Mar 2017
AST88
PPE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parma Perm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
51-99
51
99
-48
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
13-27
11-27
12-24
15-30
18-16
22-23
20-24
20-13
18-5
16-18
23-12
15-30
21-30
24-27
12-13
22-25
33-23
14-8
19-22
30-16
21-20
24-17
14-18
20-30
15-25
16-25
16-18
18-26
20-21
16-21
13-15
29-15
14-26
24-12
19-29
16-26
14-25
24-17
21-21
158.8Avg total
74.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)66.586.2152.7-19.820%
Season at home (13)66.884.2151.0-17.531%
Season away (12)66.288.4154.6-22.28%
Last 10 (10)74.784.1158.8-9.440%
Last 5 (5)76.884.6161.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)63.888.4152.2-24.66%
vs Similar (3)79.765.0144.7+14.7100%
vs Weaker (10)83.176.5159.6+6.650%
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Parma PermRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#11
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H17/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A22/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
A04/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
H08/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A15/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H19/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H08/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A12/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H26/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
26-24
18-16
27-15
19-25
22-23
20-22
25-18
17-18
25-19
27-23
15-24
19-16
14-21
21-17
20-20
11-24
26-20
17-16
19-18
22-17
27-15
18-22
21-21
26-16
13-21
16-19
22-18
20-13
18-21
28-12
16-21
27-21
17-18
13-18
19-24
23-26
26-20
19-25
15-20
164.7Avg total
83.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.081.3160.2-2.342%
Season at home (13)82.078.2160.2+3.854%
Season away (13)75.984.3160.2-8.431%
Last 10 (10)83.681.1164.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.277.6158.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.687.4162.1-12.87%
vs Similar (11)81.981.6163.5+0.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.067.0149.0+15.080%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
AstanaParma Perm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/02
VTB United League
83.7Avg total
38.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.780.6-6.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.941.180.0-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)35.246.081.2-10.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.083.7-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.085.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.147.178.2-15.90%-
vs Similar (3)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)45.541.987.4+3.660%-
This opponent (Parma Perm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Parma PermLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/12
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H08/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H19/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H08/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A12/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H26/02
VTB United League
81.8Avg total
42.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.381.5-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.580.9+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.043.282.2-4.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.781.8+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.681.4+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.743.682.4-4.929%-
vs Similar (11)41.641.783.4-0.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.234.075.2+7.280%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parma Permtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parma Perm: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.8
50.0%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
-25.8
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
-12.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
LWLLWWLWLL
Parma Perm
LLWWWLLWLW
#11
League position
#6
-32.5
Net rating
-6.1
82.8
Offensive rating
98.6
115.3
Defensive rating
104.8
45.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
26.7%
Turnover %
20.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.4%
3-point %
34.3%
60.7%
Assist %
73.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Astana   ■ Parma Perm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Astana wins
6
Parma Perm wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Parma Perm v Astana94-74
13/10/22Astana v Parma Perm84-72
13/04/22Astana v Parma Perm65-82
19/12/21Parma Perm v Astana108-101 OT
29/03/21Astana v Parma Perm80-84
17/12/20Parma Perm v Astana83-84
12/01/20Parma Perm v Astana100-91 OT
30/03/19Astana v Parma Perm79-71
27/02/19Parma Perm v Astana80-85
25/03/18Astana v Parma Perm78-84
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23ASamara75-89
01/02/23HMinsk86-82
28/01/23HEnisey67-83
20/01/23HLokomotiv Kuban67-98
18/01/23HAktobe89-71
17/01/23HAktobe88-78
14/01/23ACSKA Moscow72-100
11/01/23HMinsk77-48
07/01/23HZenit Petersburg75-93
04/01/23HSamara51-99
Parma Permlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HSaratov83-91
12/02/23AEnisey76-81
08/02/23HMinsk82-67
03/02/23ASamara77-74
19/01/23HEnisey88-75
15/01/23ANizhny Novgorod73-78
08/01/23HUnics Kazan82-89 OT
04/01/23ASaratov95-94 OT
22/12/22ALokomotiv Kuban86-88
17/12/22HAstana94-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %20%31%8%
Points / game66.566.866.2
Allowed / game86.284.288.4
Point differential-19.8-17.5-22.2
Avg total152.7151.0154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parma Perm
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game79.082.075.9
Allowed / game81.378.284.3
Point differential-2.3+3.8-8.4
Avg total160.2160.2160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2826293%97.475.6+21.8
2 Unics Kazan2823582%87.075.3+11.6
3 Zenit Petersburg2820871%82.272.4+9.8
4 Lokomotiv Kuban28161257%79.576.9+2.6
5 Nizhny Novgorod27151256%75.676.1-0.5
6 MBA Moscow27131448%76.778.8-2.1
7 Samara28121643%78.576.5+2.0
8 Parma Perm26111542%79.081.3-2.3
9 Saratov27111641%79.982.7-2.8
10 Enisey28111739%74.577.5-3.0
11 Astana2552020%66.586.2-19.8
12 Minsk281274%61.981.8-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana1720152173
Parma Perm1317281674
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