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Samara vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-75
26-16 25-14 17-24 21-21
Position#10
Record10-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.4
Samara 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#11
Record5-19
FormWWLLW
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game86.1
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Samara v Astana
26 Mar 2025
SAM72
AST74
19 Oct 2024
SAM91
AST57
13 Mar 2024
SAM84
AST63
24 Jan 2024
SAM66
AST78
15 Feb 2023
SAM89
AST75
27 Oct 2022
SAM93
AST58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A16/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#14
L
51-71
51
71
-20
H19/12
Russian Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
H22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
99-51
99
51
+48
A04/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H08/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H16/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A29/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
A11/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
12-27
21-6
19-21
11-19
20-15
12-23
8-14
18-18
12-16
15-22
15-27
21-15
27-13
27-11
24-12
28-13
15-25
24-23
20-21
22-19
17-18
18-28
17-21
18-19
26-19
17-19
17-14
25-30
18-24
20-20
20-19
16-26
21-13
19-16
18-22
16-19
17-22
25-18
13-12
152.2Avg total
75.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.077.4155.4+0.640%
Season at home (12)77.677.9155.5-0.342%
Season away (13)78.477.0155.4+1.438%
Last 10 (10)75.876.4152.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)79.281.0160.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.485.6158.0-13.20%
vs Similar (9)79.880.9160.7-1.122%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.573.0153.5+7.562%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
114-56
114
56
+58
H29/12
National League
Samara
#10
L
51-99
51
99
-48
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H01/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
25-17
23-11
38-13
15-21
13-27
11-27
12-24
15-30
18-16
22-23
20-24
20-13
18-5
16-18
23-12
15-30
21-30
24-27
12-13
22-25
33-23
14-8
19-22
30-16
21-20
24-17
14-18
20-30
15-25
16-25
16-18
18-26
20-21
16-21
13-15
29-15
14-26
24-12
19-29
159.4Avg total
78.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.186.1152.2-20.021%
Season at home (13)66.884.2151.0-17.531%
Season away (11)65.488.4153.7-23.09%
Last 10 (10)78.680.8159.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)79.482.4161.8-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.987.9150.8-25.06%
vs Similar (3)79.765.0144.7+14.7100%
vs Weaker (10)83.176.5159.6+6.650%
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
SamaraAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#8
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A16/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/12
Russian Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A04/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A29/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/02
VTB United League
76.1Avg total
37.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.678.0-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.477.4-1.336%-
Last 30 away (16)38.739.878.4-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.876.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.842.479.1-5.638%-
vs Similar (9)37.040.277.2-3.211%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.437.477.8+3.062%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H29/12
National League
Samara
#10
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/02
VTB United League
84.1Avg total
41.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.780.4-7.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.941.779.7-3.840%-
Last 30 away (15)35.545.781.2-10.120%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.184.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.489.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.847.077.8-16.20%-
vs Similar (3)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)45.541.987.4+3.660%-
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samara wins
0
Astana wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Astana v Samara51-99
27/10/22Samara v Astana93-58
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AMinsk87-78 OT
03/02/23HParma Perm74-77
29/01/23ASaratov83-93
19/01/23HMinsk78-71
16/01/23HUnics Kazan74-86
08/01/23HSaratov87-82
04/01/23AAstana99-51
22/12/22HNizhny Novgorod60-83
19/12/22HKhimki M.51-71
16/12/22AEnisey65-72
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HMinsk86-82
28/01/23HEnisey67-83
20/01/23HLokomotiv Kuban67-98
18/01/23HAktobe89-71
17/01/23HAktobe88-78
14/01/23ACSKA Moscow72-100
11/01/23HMinsk77-48
07/01/23HZenit Petersburg75-93
04/01/23HSamara51-99
29/12/22HTobol Kostanay114-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLWLWL42%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%42%38%
Points / game78.077.678.4
Allowed / game77.477.977.0
Point differential+0.6-0.3+1.4
Avg total155.4155.5155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW21%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %21%31%9%
Points / game66.166.865.4
Allowed / game86.184.288.4
Point differential-20.0-17.5-23.0
Avg total152.2151.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2625196%97.474.2+23.2
2 Unics Kazan2522388%87.173.4+13.7
3 Zenit Petersburg2618869%82.372.7+9.5
4 Nizhny Novgorod26151158%76.075.8+0.1
5 Lokomotiv Kuban27151256%79.877.4+2.4
6 MBA Moscow26131350%77.279.0-1.8
7 Parma Perm25111444%78.880.9-2.1
8 Samara25101540%78.077.4+0.6
9 Saratov25101540%80.383.0-2.7
10 Enisey2691735%74.578.6-4.0
11 Astana2451921%66.186.1-20.0
12 Minsk271264%62.181.5-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara2625172189
Astana1614242175
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