PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Astana vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-48
20-13 18-5 16-18 23-12
Position#11
Record3-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game87.2
Astana 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#12
Record1-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game82.6
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Astana v Minsk
06 Mar 2024
AST76
MIN70
15 Nov 2023
AST78
MIN74
01 Feb 2023
AST86
MIN82
11 Jan 2023
AST77
MIN48
17 Mar 2022
AST64
MIN65
25 Apr 2021
AST74
MIN109
09 Nov 2019
AST91
MIN89
17 Mar 2019
AST101
MIN71
04 Mar 2018
AST77
MIN59
04 Dec 2016
AST84
MIN67
14 Nov 2015
AST92
MIN93
21 Dec 2014
AST84
MIN85
22 Feb 2014
AST99
MIN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A07/12
National League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H13/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
41-79
41
79
-38
H22/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A25/12
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
95-45
95
45
+50
H28/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
114-56
114
56
+58
H29/12
National League
Samara
#10
L
51-99
51
99
-48
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H07/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
22-25
20-18
26-7
12-16
16-15
21-22
10-28
21-19
12-23
19-20
18-7
19-23
24-26
16-18
15-27
11-21
8-12
9-24
13-22
20-15
22-19
18-15
16-16
39-11
20-16
20-8
16-10
28-15
25-17
23-11
38-13
15-21
13-27
11-27
12-24
15-30
18-16
22-23
20-24
149.1Avg total
74.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)64.187.2151.3-23.116%
Season at home (9)63.487.1150.6-23.722%
Season away (10)64.787.2151.9-22.510%
Last 10 (10)74.274.9149.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)82.271.6153.8+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)63.488.4151.8-24.911%
vs Similar ◀ (1)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (11)82.975.7158.6+7.255%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H20/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A24/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
53-102
53
102
-49
A29/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H05/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
66-101
66
101
-35
H09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A13/12
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H18/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H25/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H04/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
21-28
20-23
13-23
13-17
26-17
17-12
7-15
12-25
8-29
11-30
22-18
7-16
10-12
15-27
25-13
11-30
11-33
22-23
22-15
10-23
19-23
12-19
21-20
21-19
15-23
10-17
15-17
24-20
10-24
18-25
25-19
15-20
19-22
15-18
16-16
16-21
15-30
18-19
17-21
148.0Avg total
64.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)61.282.6143.8-21.45%
Season at home (11)60.379.1139.4-18.80%
Season away (8)62.587.4149.9-24.912%
Last 10 (10)64.084.0148.0-20.010%
Last 5 (5)66.283.2149.4-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)60.984.9145.7-24.05%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.570.5144.0+3.075%
vs Weaker (5)89.658.8148.4+30.8100%
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
AstanaMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/12
National League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H22/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A25/12
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
59-27
59
27
+32
H28/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H29/12
National League
Samara
#10
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H04/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/01
VTB United League
76.4Avg total
37.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.742.978.6-7.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.140.076.1-3.936%-
Last 30 away (16)35.445.480.9-10.019%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.576.4-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.480.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.145.376.4-14.26%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (11)42.739.882.5+2.955%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H20/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
20-54
20
54
-34
A29/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
17-28
17
28
-11
H05/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
22-63
22
63
-41
H09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/12
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/12
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/12
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H04/01
VTB United League
74.9Avg total
29.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.341.273.5-8.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.239.770.9-8.425%-
Last 30 away (14)33.542.976.4-9.429%-
Last 10 (10)29.945.074.9-15.110%-
Last 5 (5)32.845.077.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)28.545.073.4-16.55%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)37.238.575.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)44.427.672.0+16.8100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
LLWWWLLWLW
Minsk
LLLLLLLLWL
#11
League position
#12
-32.5
Net rating
-33.5
82.8
Offensive rating
91.1
115.3
Defensive rating
124.7
45.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
62.0%
26.7%
Turnover %
22.8%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.4%
3-point %
31.9%
60.7%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Astana   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astana wins
4
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
25/12/22Minsk v Astana65-76
17/03/22Astana v Minsk64-65 OT
13/03/22Minsk v Astana66-60
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
21/03/21Minsk v Astana78-80
02/02/20Minsk v Astana96-77
09/11/19Astana v Minsk91-89
17/03/19Astana v Minsk101-71
13/10/18Minsk v Astana86-93
04/03/18Astana v Minsk77-59
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HZenit Petersburg75-93
04/01/23HSamara51-99
29/12/22HTobol Kostanay114-56
28/12/22HTobol Kostanay95-45
25/12/22AMinsk76-65
22/12/22HUnics Kazan41-79
17/12/22AParma Perm74-94
13/12/22HSaratov70-69
07/12/22AMBA Moscow59-81
07/12/22AIrbis Almaty87-68
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HZenit Petersburg66-91
25/12/22HAstana65-76
22/12/22ASaratov77-88
18/12/22HMBA Moscow61-76
13/12/22AParma Perm62-85
09/12/22HCSKA Moscow66-101
05/12/22HNizhny Novgorod57-68
29/11/22AUnics Kazan53-102
24/11/22AEnisey63-61
20/11/22HLokomotiv Kuban70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL16%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%22%10%
Points / game64.163.464.7
Allowed / game87.287.187.2
Point differential-23.1-23.7-22.5
Avg total151.3150.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %5%0%12%
Points / game61.260.362.5
Allowed / game82.679.187.4
Point differential-21.4-18.8-24.9
Avg total143.8139.4149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow20200100%98.274.0+24.2
2 Unics Kazan2018290%87.971.9+16.0
3 Zenit Petersburg2016480%83.069.3+13.7
4 MBA Moscow2012860%80.677.1+3.5
5 Nizhny Novgorod2011955%74.776.0-1.3
6 Lokomotiv Kuban20101050%77.678.3-0.7
7 Samara2081240%77.776.5+1.1
8 Parma Perm2081240%78.782.3-3.6
9 Saratov2071335%79.883.5-3.7
10 Enisey2051525%73.080.0-7.0
11 Astana1931616%64.187.2-23.1
12 Minsk191185%61.282.6-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana2018162377
Minsk135181248
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.