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Rayos de Hermosillo vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 96-94 (OT)
28-17 12-21 24-21 16-21 16-14
Position#3
Record33-18
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#2
Record35-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game88.8
MexicoCIBACOPACIBACOPA - Final· Arena Sonora
Other2024
Meetings · Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros
26 Mar 2025
RAYO76
ASTR86
25 Mar 2025
RAYO74
ASTR105
27 Jun 2024
RAYO107
ASTR89
26 Jun 2024
RAYO96
ASTR94
09 Apr 2024
RAYO100
ASTR92
08 Apr 2024
RAYO76
ASTR102
26 Jun 2023
RAYO86
ASTR93
17 Jun 2023
RAYO94
ASTR87
16 Jun 2023
RAYO109
ASTR114
29 Apr 2023
RAYO89
ASTR81
28 Apr 2023
RAYO101
ASTR98
09 Jul 2022
RAYO72
ASTR84
08 Jul 2022
RAYO72
ASTR80
07 Jul 2022
RAYO89
ASTR81
20 Apr 2022
RAYO71
ASTR61
19 Apr 2022
RAYO73
ASTR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rayos de Hermosillo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 84
H05/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 84
H06/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 84
A09/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
65avg 84
A10/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
99-79
99
79
+20
106avg 84
H13/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
68avg 84
H14/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
107avg 84
H16/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
80avg 84
A18/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
96-75
96
75
+21
88avg 84
A23/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
94avg 84
A23/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
17-19
18-26
26-18
23-22
22-10
22-24
17-16
22-29
36-20
17-26
30-27
16-22
16-31
15-20
30-25
25-11
31-24
20-18
23-26
23-27
15-18
13-21
20-11
26-23
24-15
30-18
18-32
16-21
22-24
17-15
24-10
23-25
29-20
21-19
23-11
28-19
24-20
20-30
26-22
172.9Avg total
89.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)89.186.1175.2+3.065%
Season at home (25)87.382.8170.1+4.468%
Season away (26)90.889.2180.0+1.762%
Last 10 (10)89.483.5172.9+5.980%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)97.083.0180.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (18)89.188.5177.6+0.656%
vs Weaker (10)90.782.3173.0+8.480%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 90
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
114-82
114
82
+32
111avg 90
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
108-79
108
79
+29
102avg 90
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 90
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
90-114
90
114
-24
77avg 90
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
99-92
99
92
+7
85avg 90
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
78avg 90
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
108-98
108
98
+10
106avg 90
H19/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
75-96
75
96
-21
66avg 90
H23/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
91-98
91
98
-7
81avg 90
H23/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
24-18
33-23
21-29
26-17
28-18
30-22
30-25
38-23
22-24
32-17
16-15
19-27
25-18
28-26
29-24
19-33
31-33
19-29
21-19
19-18
29-25
19-20
32-29
23-21
19-28
33-16
13-31
31-19
24-23
31-35
22-21
25-23
20-29
19-21
11-23
19-28
20-24
30-20
22-26
191.8Avg total
97.4Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)96.988.8185.7+8.071%
Season at home (25)97.587.8185.2+9.780%
Season away (24)96.289.9186.1+6.362%
Last 10 (10)97.494.4191.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)92.296.0188.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)89.096.0185.0-7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)100.793.8194.5+6.968%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
Rayos de HermosilloAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H05/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H06/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A09/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A10/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H13/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A18/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A23/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A23/06
CIBACOPA
88.4Avg total
46.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.084.9+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.935.980.9+9.086%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.688.4+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)46.442.088.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.488.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)52.042.094.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (18)44.541.886.3+2.761%-
vs Weaker (10)44.036.480.4+7.680%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A31/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H09/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H19/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H23/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H23/06
CIBACOPA
95.6Avg total
48.3Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.745.892.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.944.291.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)46.547.393.9-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)48.347.395.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.693.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.550.588.0-13.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.445.492.8+2.050%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
52.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.9
38.3%
36.2%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
72.4%14.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.525.9
54.5%
52.6%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.8
71.8%
72.4%14.8
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rayos de Hermosillo
WWWWLWLWWW
Astros
LLWLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+6.1
Net rating
+3.3
107.1
Offensive rating
113.5
100.9
Defensive rating
110.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.3%
3-point %
36.8%
69.6%
Assist %
51.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 113.5Defence100.9 · 110.2Shooting55.4% · 54.8%3-point %38.3% · 36.8%Ball care19.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 27.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Rayos de Hermosillo   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rayos de Hermosillo wins
5
Astros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24AAstros98-91
23/06/24AAstros96-75
18/06/24AZonkeys de Tijuana79-70
16/06/24HZonkeys de Tijuana98-88
14/06/24HZonkeys de Tijuana71-77
13/06/24HZonkeys de Tijuana99-79
10/06/24AZonkeys de Tijuana77-98
09/06/24AZonkeys de Tijuana105-102
06/06/24HHalcones de Obregon84-72
05/06/24HHalcones de Obregon87-83
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/24HRayos de Hermosillo91-98
23/06/24HRayos de Hermosillo75-96
19/06/24HAngeles CDMX108-98
16/06/24AAngeles CDMX88-96
14/06/24AAngeles CDMX99-92
13/06/24AAngeles CDMX90-114
09/06/24HAngeles CDMX101-95
09/06/24HAngeles CDMX108-79
31/05/24APioneros de Los Mochis114-82
29/05/24APioneros de Los Mochis100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %65%68%62%
Points / game89.187.390.8
Allowed / game86.182.889.2
Point differential+3.0+4.4+1.7
Avg total175.2170.1180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)57% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL71%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %71%80%62%
Points / game96.997.596.2
Allowed / game88.887.889.9
Point differential+8.0+9.7+6.3
Avg total185.7185.2186.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%56%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana47341372%91.184.8+6.3
2 Astros49351471%96.988.8+8.0
3 Rayos de Hermosillo51331865%89.186.1+3.0
4 Angeles CDMX48272156%94.193.5+0.6
5 Venados de Mazatlan42202248%90.491.5-1.1
6 Halcones de Obregon43202347%90.390.1+0.2
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas41162539%90.993.5-2.6
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis41152637%88.893.6-4.8
9 Caballeros de Culiacan3692725%85.992.6-6.7
10 Frayles de Guasave3682822%92.7100.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rayos de Hermosillo281224161696
Astros172121211494
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