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Astros vs Gambusinos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 100-76
20-9 22-24 27-17 31-26
Position#2
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game74.8
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#11
Record7-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game88.8
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v Gambusinos
07 Oct 2026
ASTR86
GAMB71
06 Oct 2026
ASTR96
GAMB89
04 Sep 2025
ASTR84
GAMB74
03 Sep 2025
ASTR100
GAMB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gambusinos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H03/08
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A08/08
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
102-82
102
82
+20
A09/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A13/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
103-68
103
68
+35
H16/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H17/08
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A22/08
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
94-71
94
71
+23
A23/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H27/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H28/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
21-31
25-15
30-15
17-24
27-14
23-12
15-16
19-17
31-25
29-22
23-18
23-13
18-23
21-23
16-22
31-15
33-16
14-22
25-15
26-14
15-26
20-23
20-13
27-13
17-26
21-29
28-11
21-18
24-13
21-23
28-17
24-22
16-18
22-16
17-18
30-22
26-7
11-24
22-14
164.5Avg total
89.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.774.8163.5+13.989%
Season at home (10)89.674.3163.9+15.3100%
Season away (8)87.675.4163.0+12.275%
Last 10 (10)89.674.9164.5+14.790%
Last 5 (5)87.273.4160.6+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)74.578.0152.5-3.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)86.676.3162.9+10.382%
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H29/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H30/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A02/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A03/08
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
H09/08
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
H10/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A15/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
A16/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
78-107
78
107
-29
H22/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H23/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
18-17
13-23
21-21
13-20
30-24
18-16
28-19
18-30
20-21
17-20
28-26
20-29
24-28
18-23
17-19
32-15
15-24
21-20
17-26
20-21
30-14
18-25
18-26
29-17
16-21
20-12
12-16
25-24
22-16
15-29
23-16
24-34
11-25
23-29
20-19
20-30
23-26
25-17
21-20
177.2Avg total
85.4Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.188.8172.9-4.739%
Season at home (8)84.090.6174.6-6.625%
Season away (10)84.287.3171.5-3.150%
Last 10 (10)85.491.8177.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)86.891.8178.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.292.0175.2-8.825%
vs Similar (2)91.095.0186.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (4)83.576.0159.5+7.575%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
AstrosGambusinos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H03/08
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A08/08
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A09/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A13/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H16/08
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/08
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A22/08
LNBP
Santos
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A23/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H28/08
LNBP
84.6Avg total
46.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.678.9+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.937.980.8+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.535.276.7+6.386%-
Last 10 (10)46.538.184.6+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.881.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.539.074.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.836.579.2+6.375%-
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H29/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/08
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A03/08
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/08
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H10/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A15/08
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H22/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H23/08
LNBP
88.2Avg total
42.7Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)41.445.486.9-4.039%-
Last 30 at home (8)41.145.686.8-4.538%-
Last 30 away (10)41.745.387.0-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.588.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.689.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.647.688.2-7.025%-
vs Similar (2)46.048.094.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)41.837.879.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
36.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
74.6%12.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gambusinostheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Astros wins
0
Gambusinos wins
No previous meetings.
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25HAbejas89-67
27/08/25HAbejas79-74
23/08/25ASantos94-71
22/08/25ASantos93-79
17/08/25HDorados81-76
16/08/25HDorados103-68
13/08/25ASoles78-81
09/08/25AFreseros102-82
08/08/25AFreseros82-66
03/08/25HEl Calor de Cancun95-85
Gambusinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/08/25HSoles89-93
22/08/25HSoles78-107
16/08/25AAbejas95-94 OT
15/08/25AAbejas77-66
10/08/25HMineros95-99 OT
09/08/25HMineros100-104 OT
03/08/25AFuerza Regia79-99
02/08/25AFuerza Regia83-97
30/07/25HDiablos Rojos89-79
29/07/25HDiablos Rojos69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game88.789.687.6
Allowed / game74.874.375.4
Point differential+13.9+15.3+12.2
Avg total163.5163.9163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gambusinos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL39%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%25%50%
Points / game84.184.084.2
Allowed / game88.890.687.3
Point differential-4.7-6.6-3.1
Avg total172.9174.6171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %17%25%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1816289%88.774.8+13.9
2 Soles1816289%89.377.6+11.7
3 Diablos Rojos1814478%96.280.4+15.8
4 Fuerza Regia1913668%91.680.2+11.4
5 Mineros1913668%88.783.1+5.6
6 Dorados1911858%82.981.2+1.7
7 Halcones de Xalapa1991047%81.783.3-1.6
8 Correcaminos1981142%83.590.0-6.5
9 Panteras1871139%88.590.0-1.5
10 Gambusinos1871139%84.188.8-4.7
11 El Calor de Cancun1971237%80.785.8-5.1
12 Abejas1941521%78.289.2-11.0
13 Freseros1931616%74.391.8-17.6
14 Santos1821611%79.890.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros20222731100
Gambusinos924172676
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