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Astros vs Gambusinos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 96-89
19-20 25-23 31-19 21-27
Position#2
Record18-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.2
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Gambusinos
Mexico
Position#11
Record11-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.5
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2026-27
Meetings · Astros v Gambusinos
07 Oct 2026
ASTR86
GAMB71
06 Oct 2026
ASTR96
GAMB89
04 Sep 2025
ASTR84
GAMB74
03 Sep 2025
ASTR100
GAMB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gambusinos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
58avg 86
H12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 86
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 86
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
98-83
98
83
+15
96avg 86
A18/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
84avg 86
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
77-79
77
79
-2
66avg 86
H20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
101-77
101
77
+24
96avg 86
A26/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 86
A27/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 86
H03/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
101-87
101
87
+14
86avg 86
H04/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
19-22
16-26
17-18
21-18
15-25
22-19
23-12
15-25
25-23
27-23
16-24
26-21
25-23
20-17
27-22
23-3
22-20
14-19
10-27
18-19
10-20
20-20
29-20
20-30
30-9
21-20
30-18
22-15
16-15
26-18
22-19
19-22
20-15
16-21
19-19
25-23
30-24
17-19
29-21
167.3Avg total
86.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.180.2168.3+7.969%
Season at home (12)84.377.4161.8+6.967%
Season away (14)91.482.6174.0+8.771%
Last 10 (10)86.480.9167.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)87.877.4165.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.582.0160.5-3.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.980.0171.9+11.968%
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGambusinos
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
W
87-83
87
83
+4
73avg 70
A11/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
73avg 70
A12/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 70
H16/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
78-109
78
109
-31
65avg 70
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 70
A21/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 70
A22/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
103-90
103
90
+13
96avg 70
H26/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
102-83
102
83
+19
98avg 70
H27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
52avg 70
A02/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
67-74
67
74
-7
50avg 70
A03/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
17-22
17-18
24-31
19-18
15-24
30-15
22-17
23-20
26-22
14-15
26-20
21-32
19-31
24-23
14-23
18-20
22-25
27-19
29-25
24-21
15-20
25-17
21-29
27-25
26-20
29-22
21-23
28-28
23-18
23-16
28-21
12-29
20-23
19-15
20-15
12-14
15-25
22-17
18-18
171.2Avg total
86.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.782.5162.2-2.842%
Season at home (14)81.482.6164.0-1.150%
Season away (12)77.882.4160.2-4.733%
Last 10 (10)86.484.8171.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)85.683.2168.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.986.6164.6-8.725%
vs Similar (8)78.481.2159.6-2.950%
vs Weaker (6)92.282.8175.0+9.383%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
AstrosGambusinos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A18/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A26/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A27/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H03/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H04/10
LNBP
82.1Avg total
42.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.440.386.7+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.440.386.7+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)46.340.386.7+6.080%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.682.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.480.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.544.584.0-5.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.940.086.9+6.875%-
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A11/09
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A22/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H26/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A02/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A03/10
LNBP
86.0Avg total
41.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.785.5-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.045.888.8-2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)36.145.681.7-9.414%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.986.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.685.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.647.084.6-9.419%-
vs Similar (8)37.843.481.1-5.638%-
vs Weaker (6)48.345.293.5+3.267%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.7
56.9%
54.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
34.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.4
73.1%
71.7%17.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gambusinostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gambusinos: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.5
52.4%
54.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
34.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
71.7%13.5
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WLWWLWWLWL
Gambusinos
LLWWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#11
+5.9
Net rating
+1.8
99.9
Offensive rating
95.0
94.0
Defensive rating
93.2
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
11.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.2%
3-point %
32.0%
55.2%
Assist %
49.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 95.0Defence94.0 · 93.2Shooting53.9% · 50.6%3-point %33.2% · 32.0%Ball care13.4% · 11.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Astros   ■ Gambusinos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Astros wins
1
Gambusinos wins
DateGameScore
26/07/26Gambusinos v Astros80-88
25/07/26Gambusinos v Astros86-71
05/09/25Astros v Gambusinos84-74
04/09/25Astros v Gambusinos100-76
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HFuerza Regia101-87
03/10/26HFuerza Regia74-77
27/09/26ADiablos Rojos86-67
26/09/26ADiablos Rojos101-77
20/09/26HDorados77-79
20/09/26HDorados87-80 OT
18/09/26APanteras98-83
17/09/26APanteras83-95
13/09/26HSoles81-74
12/09/26HSoles76-90
Gambusinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AEl Calor de Cancun67-74
02/10/26AEl Calor de Cancun71-82
27/09/26HCorrecaminos102-83
26/09/26HCorrecaminos103-90
22/09/26AMineros85-87
21/09/26AMineros96-89
17/09/26HSantos78-109
16/09/26HSantos89-77
12/09/26AAbejas86-74
11/09/26AAbejas87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game88.184.391.4
Allowed / game80.277.482.6
Point differential+7.9+6.9+8.7
Avg total168.3161.8174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%33%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%8%7%
Gambusinos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game79.781.477.8
Allowed / game82.582.682.4
Point differential-2.8-1.1-4.7
Avg total162.2164.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2620677%85.373.5+11.8
2 Astros2618869%88.180.2+7.9
3 Fuerza Regia2618869%89.885.3+4.5
4 Panteras2617965%88.785.0+3.7
5 Lobos Plateados27171063%84.380.5+3.8
6 Dorados27161159%85.384.9+0.5
7 Mineros27151256%86.384.4+1.9
8 Gambusinos26111542%79.782.5-2.8
9 Diablos Rojos26111542%81.784.6-2.9
10 Abejas27111641%85.085.3-0.3
11 Santos27101737%84.289.4-5.2
12 El Calor de Cancun2791833%81.485.0-3.5
13 Freseros2791833%85.391.9-6.6
14 Correcaminos2742315%82.294.0-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1925312196
Gambusinos2023192789
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