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Freseros vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-102
17-19 25-31 22-29 18-23
Position#14
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game74.8
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2025-26
Meetings · Freseros v Astros
30 Aug 2026
FRES67
ASTR77
29 Aug 2026
FRES117
ASTR129
08 Aug 2025
FRES82
ASTR102
07 Aug 2025
FRES66
ASTR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
66-122
66
122
-56
A13/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H18/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
61-102
61
102
-41
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H29/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H30/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A03/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A03/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H08/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
15-34
13-28
21-29
16-23
24-28
18-21
11-24
20-26
22-21
18-20
26-15
23-26
17-21
26-17
20-21
24-22
21-17
10-25
6-38
20-20
21-13
25-25
12-21
18-19
24-20
11-17
8-22
16-16
11-31
20-16
9-15
17-16
18-31
13-22
19-19
24-17
14-27
12-23
16-15
158.8Avg total
69.6Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.890.5161.3-19.823%
Season at home (7)72.082.7154.7-10.729%
Season away (6)69.399.7169.0-30.317%
Last 10 (10)69.689.2158.8-19.620%
Last 5 (5)65.681.0146.6-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.591.4169.9-13.029%
vs Similar (4)84.279.0163.2+5.225%
vs Weaker (2)90.592.5183.0-2.00%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H20/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H24/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H25/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A29/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
91-69
91
69
+22
A30/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H03/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H03/08
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A08/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
15-20
20-21
21-12
30-26
16-13
21-19
23-14
19-19
28-23
23-15
20-26
27-10
15-22
22-16
27-16
19-15
18-27
23-18
24-16
26-23
19-17
21-22
24-18
22-20
28-7
21-14
20-28
20-15
29-21
19-21
26-21
19-24
21-31
25-15
30-15
17-24
27-14
23-12
15-16
162.6Avg total
87.8Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.874.8162.6+13.090%
Season at home (6)90.776.3167.0+14.3100%
Season away (4)83.572.5156.0+11.075%
Last 10 (10)87.874.8162.6+13.090%
Last 5 (5)90.475.6166.0+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)86.978.1165.0+8.983%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
FreserosAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
32-65
32
65
-33
A13/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H18/07
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H19/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H30/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A03/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A03/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/08
LNBP
84.1Avg total
38.2Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.746.086.7-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.985.3-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.049.188.1-10.113%-
Last 10 (10)38.245.984.1-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.447.287.5-6.829%-
vs Similar (4)42.541.083.5+1.525%-
vs Weaker (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H24/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#10
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A30/07
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H03/08
LNBP
Freseros
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A08/08
LNBP
82.3Avg total
43.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.178.5+4.373%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.838.380.1+3.672%-
Last 30 away (12)40.735.376.0+5.375%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.382.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.284.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)30.042.072.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)41.836.978.7+4.876%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Freserostheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
36.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
74.6%12.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Freseros wins
5
Astros wins
DateGameScore
08/08/25Freseros v Astros66-82
29/09/24Astros v Freseros100-86
28/09/24Astros v Freseros94-89
09/09/23Astros v Freseros97-84
08/09/23Astros v Freseros95-90
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25HAstros66-82
03/08/25ASoles67-88
03/08/25ASoles56-78
30/07/25HAbejas61-78
29/07/25HAbejas78-79
25/07/25AMineros61-102
24/07/25AMineros86-85
19/07/25HFuerza Regia86-82
18/07/25HFuerza Regia69-96
13/07/25ADiablos Rojos66-122
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/08/25AFreseros82-66
03/08/25HEl Calor de Cancun95-85
03/08/25HEl Calor de Cancun94-78
30/07/25ACorrecaminos91-69
29/07/25ACorrecaminos90-80
25/07/25HPanteras84-76
24/07/25HPanteras91-64
20/07/25HHalcones de Xalapa90-83
19/07/25HHalcones de Xalapa90-72
11/07/25ASoles71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game70.872.069.3
Allowed / game90.582.799.7
Point differential-19.8-10.7-30.3
Avg total161.3154.7169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game87.890.783.5
Allowed / game74.876.372.5
Point differential+13.0+14.3+11.0
Avg total162.6167.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles1110191%90.074.8+15.2
2 Astros109190%87.874.8+13.0
3 Diablos Rojos129375%97.779.8+17.8
4 Fuerza Regia129375%92.378.4+13.9
5 Mineros129375%91.282.0+9.2
6 Dorados128467%84.080.2+3.8
7 El Calor de Cancun146843%81.286.8-5.6
8 Gambusinos125742%81.786.2-4.6
9 Halcones de Xalapa135838%80.483.8-3.4
10 Abejas114736%81.586.7-5.3
11 Panteras145936%90.191.9-1.9
12 Correcaminos1331023%81.292.8-11.7
13 Freseros1331023%70.890.5-19.8
14 Santos131128%79.792.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros1725221882
Astros19312923102
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