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Diablos Rojos vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 67-86
15-22 15-16 18-26 19-22
Position#9
Record10-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record16-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game80.7
MexicoLNBP· Gimnasio Olimpico Juan de la Barrera
Other2026-27
Meetings · Diablos Rojos v Astros
27 Sep 2026
DIAB67
ASTR86
26 Sep 2026
DIAB77
ASTR101
27 Oct 2025
DIAB68
ASTR69
26 Oct 2025
DIAB80
ASTR99
24 Oct 2025
DIAB84
ASTR82
09 Sep 2025
DIAB79
ASTR81
08 Sep 2025
DIAB80
ASTR89
16 Oct 2024
DIAB104
ASTR70
15 Oct 2024
DIAB102
ASTR107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diablos Rojos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diablos RojosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRojos
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
71avg 75
A26/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
97-87
97
87
+10
93avg 75
H30/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
82-95
82
95
-13
65avg 75
H30/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
81-75
81
75
+6
73avg 75
A10/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
85-98
85
98
-13
75avg 75
A11/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
107-79
107
79
+28
108avg 75
H15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
94avg 75
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
73-86
73
86
-13
68avg 75
A20/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
79avg 75
A22/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
77-101
77
101
-24
68avg 75
H26/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
18-21
18-18
17-21
21-27
35-16
22-24
19-20
24-24
18-23
15-28
25-20
15-21
22-19
20-21
24-14
17-20
18-29
22-29
28-20
23-21
34-21
22-14
28-23
20-24
23-21
27-17
26-29
16-23
16-19
20-24
21-20
19-16
22-19
20-15
25-33
30-20
9-30
20-21
18-30
172.7Avg total
85.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.684.5168.1-1.043%
Season at home (13)87.888.2175.9-0.438%
Season away (10)78.179.8157.9-1.750%
Last 10 (10)85.986.8172.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)87.888.0175.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.683.8165.5-2.238%
vs Similar (13)79.884.3164.1-4.538%
vs Weaker (4)96.082.2178.2+13.875%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 87
A26/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
129-117 OT
129
117
+12
129avg 87
A30/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 87
A31/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
58avg 87
H12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 87
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 87
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
98-83
98
83
+15
96avg 87
A18/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
84avg 87
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
77-79
77
79
-2
66avg 87
H20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
101-77
101
77
+24
96avg 87
A26/09
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
22-18
30-14
13-31
27-25
32-19
15-27
17-20
22-13
15-20
15-15
25-19
24-24
19-22
16-26
17-18
21-18
15-25
22-19
23-12
15-25
25-23
27-23
16-24
26-21
25-23
20-17
27-22
23-3
22-20
14-19
10-27
18-19
10-20
20-20
29-20
20-30
30-9
21-20
30-18
173.8Avg total
89.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.380.7168.9+7.670%
Season at home (10)83.776.5160.2+7.270%
Season away (13)91.883.8175.6+7.969%
Last 10 (10)89.784.1173.8+5.670%
Last 5 (5)89.282.8172.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.582.0160.5-3.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)93.979.6173.6+14.371%
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Diablos RojosAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diablos RojosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H30/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H30/08
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H15/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A22/09
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H26/09
LNBP
84.9Avg total
42.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.183.0+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.843.787.5+0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)40.038.578.5+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.784.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.885.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.140.982.0+0.238%-
vs Similar (13)41.241.282.5+0.046%-
vs Weaker (4)46.841.087.8+5.850%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A30/08
LNBP
Freseros
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A31/08
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A18/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A26/09
LNBP
82.7Avg total
43.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.340.087.3+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.540.486.9+6.157%-
Last 30 away (16)48.039.787.7+8.381%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.382.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.681.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.544.584.0-5.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.939.787.5+8.275%-
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Diablos Rojostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diablos Rojos: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.0
58.7%
54.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.4
32.1%
34.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.314.7
72.4%
71.7%14.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.6
57.3%
54.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
34.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.717.5
70.9%
71.7%17.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Diablos Rojos
LWLWWLWLWW
Astros
WLWWLWLWWW
#9
League position
#2
+0.5
Net rating
+8.2
100.4
Offensive rating
100.5
100.0
Defensive rating
92.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.1%
3-point %
32.4%
60.5%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 100.5Defence100.0 · 92.3Shooting53.5% · 54.0%3-point %32.1% · 32.4%Ball care13.1% · 13.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Diablos Rojos   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Diablos Rojos wins
6
Astros wins
Diablos Rojoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HAstros77-101
22/09/26AEl Calor de Cancun86-83
20/09/26AEl Calor de Cancun73-86
16/09/26HCorrecaminos96-91
15/09/26HCorrecaminos107-79
11/09/26AMineros85-98
10/09/26AMineros81-75
30/08/26HSantos82-95
30/08/26HSantos97-87
26/08/26AAbejas75-73
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26ADiablos Rojos101-77
20/09/26HDorados77-79
20/09/26HDorados87-80 OT
18/09/26APanteras98-83
17/09/26APanteras83-95
13/09/26HSoles81-74
12/09/26HSoles76-90
31/08/26AFreseros77-67
30/08/26AFreseros129-117 OT
26/08/26AEl Calor de Cancun88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diablos Rojos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWLWWL38%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %43%38%50%
Points / game83.687.878.1
Allowed / game84.588.279.8
Point differential-1.0-0.4-1.7
Avg total168.1175.9157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %70%70%69%
Points / game88.383.791.8
Allowed / game80.776.583.8
Point differential+7.6+7.2+7.9
Avg total168.9160.2175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%30%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2419579%85.474.0+11.4
2 Fuerza Regia2417771%90.485.1+5.3
3 Astros2316770%88.380.7+7.6
4 Panteras2416867%89.085.0+3.9
5 Lobos Plateados2315865%84.380.6+3.8
6 Dorados24141058%84.584.8-0.2
7 Mineros23121152%86.385.3+1.0
8 Gambusinos24111346%80.682.9-2.2
9 Diablos Rojos23101343%83.684.5-1.0
10 Abejas2491538%84.986.0-1.1
11 Freseros2491538%85.490.5-5.1
12 Santos2481633%83.189.6-6.5
13 El Calor de Cancun2461825%81.987.0-5.1
14 Correcaminos2442017%82.793.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diablos Rojos1515181967
Astros2216262286
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