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Astros vs Gambusinos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 86-71
18-18 22-21 23-11 23-21
Position#2
Record19-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game80.6
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Gambusinos
Mexico
Position#11
Record11-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game83.0
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2026-27
Meetings · Astros v Gambusinos
07 Oct 2026
ASTR86
GAMB71
06 Oct 2026
ASTR96
GAMB89
04 Sep 2025
ASTR84
GAMB74
03 Sep 2025
ASTR100
GAMB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gambusinos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 86
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 86
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
98-83
98
83
+15
96avg 86
A18/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
84avg 86
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
77-79
77
79
-2
66avg 86
H20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
101-77
101
77
+24
96avg 86
A26/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 86
A27/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 86
H03/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
101-87
101
87
+14
86avg 86
H04/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 86
H07/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
15-25
22-19
23-12
15-25
25-23
27-23
16-24
26-21
25-23
20-17
27-22
23-3
22-20
14-19
10-27
18-19
10-20
20-20
29-20
20-30
30-9
21-20
30-18
22-15
16-15
26-18
22-19
19-22
20-15
16-21
19-19
25-23
30-24
17-19
29-21
19-20
25-23
31-19
21-27
169.2Avg total
88.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.480.6169.0+7.970%
Season at home (13)85.278.3163.5+6.969%
Season away (14)91.482.6174.0+8.771%
Last 10 (10)88.480.8169.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)91.679.4171.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.582.0160.5-3.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.980.6171.5+10.268%
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGambusinos
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
73avg 70
A12/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 70
H16/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
78-109
78
109
-31
65avg 70
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 70
A21/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 70
A22/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
103-90
103
90
+13
96avg 70
H26/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
102-83
102
83
+19
98avg 70
H27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
52avg 70
A02/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
67-74
67
74
-7
50avg 70
A03/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 70
A07/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
15-24
30-15
22-17
23-20
26-22
14-15
26-20
21-32
19-31
24-23
14-23
18-20
22-25
27-19
29-25
24-21
15-20
25-17
21-29
27-25
26-20
29-22
21-23
28-28
23-18
23-16
28-21
12-29
20-23
19-15
20-15
12-14
15-25
22-17
18-18
20-19
23-25
19-31
27-21
172.7Avg total
86.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.183.0163.1-2.941%
Season at home (14)81.482.6164.0-1.150%
Season away (13)78.683.5162.1-4.831%
Last 10 (10)86.686.1172.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)86.485.0171.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.687.2165.8-8.624%
vs Similar (8)78.481.2159.6-2.950%
vs Weaker (5)93.883.8177.6+10.080%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
AstrosGambusinos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A17/09
LNBP
Panteras
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A18/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A26/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A27/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H03/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H04/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/10
LNBP
81.9Avg total
42.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.940.486.4+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.540.586.1+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)46.340.386.7+6.080%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.381.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.284.4+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.544.584.0-5.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.440.186.5+6.275%-
This opponent (Gambusinos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GambusinosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/09
LNBP
Santos
#10
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H17/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/09
LNBP
Mineros
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A22/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H26/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H27/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A02/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A03/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A07/10
LNBP
86.7Avg total
40.8Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.785.5-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.046.089.0-3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)36.645.582.1-8.913%-
Last 10 (10)40.845.986.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.286.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.946.884.8-8.918%-
vs Similar (8)37.843.481.1-5.638%-
vs Weaker (5)49.445.895.2+3.660%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.0
57.5%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.4
34.6%
34.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.817.7
74.4%
71.7%17.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gambusinostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gambusinos: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.6
52.2%
54.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.3
34.2%
34.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
71.7%14.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWLWWLWWLW
Gambusinos
LLLWWLWLWW
#2
League position
#11
+8.5
Net rating
+0.6
101.8
Offensive rating
97.1
93.3
Defensive rating
96.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.6%
3-point %
34.2%
59.9%
Assist %
50.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 97.1Defence93.3 · 96.5Shooting55.1% · 51.8%3-point %34.6% · 34.2%Ball care13.2% · 12.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Astros   ■ Gambusinos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Astros wins
1
Gambusinos wins
DateGameScore
07/10/26Astros v Gambusinos96-89
26/07/26Gambusinos v Astros80-88
25/07/26Gambusinos v Astros86-71
05/09/25Astros v Gambusinos84-74
04/09/25Astros v Gambusinos100-76
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26HGambusinos96-89
04/10/26HFuerza Regia101-87
03/10/26HFuerza Regia74-77
27/09/26ADiablos Rojos86-67
26/09/26ADiablos Rojos101-77
20/09/26HDorados77-79
20/09/26HDorados87-80 OT
18/09/26APanteras98-83
17/09/26APanteras83-95
13/09/26HSoles81-74
Gambusinoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26AAstros89-96
03/10/26AEl Calor de Cancun67-74
02/10/26AEl Calor de Cancun71-82
27/09/26HCorrecaminos102-83
26/09/26HCorrecaminos103-90
22/09/26AMineros85-87
21/09/26AMineros96-89
17/09/26HSantos78-109
16/09/26HSantos89-77
12/09/26AAbejas86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLLWW69%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%69%71%
Points / game88.485.291.4
Allowed / game80.678.382.6
Point differential+7.9+6.9+8.7
Avg total169.0163.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%31%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %7%8%7%
Gambusinos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game80.181.478.6
Allowed / game83.082.683.5
Point differential-2.9-1.1-4.8
Avg total163.1164.0162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles2721678%85.474.0+11.4
2 Astros2719870%88.480.6+7.9
3 Fuerza Regia2718967%89.685.4+4.2
4 Panteras2718967%88.384.7+3.6
5 Lobos Plateados28181064%84.580.4+4.1
6 Dorados27161159%85.384.9+0.5
7 Mineros27151256%86.384.4+1.9
8 Abejas28121643%85.385.4-0.1
9 Diablos Rojos27111641%81.584.3-2.8
10 Gambusinos27111641%80.183.0-2.9
11 Santos27101737%84.289.4-5.2
12 Freseros2791833%85.391.9-6.6
13 El Calor de Cancun2891932%81.385.1-3.9
14 Correcaminos2842414%82.594.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1822232386
Gambusinos1821112171
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