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Astros vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:10
Final 125-72
31-17 26-23 30-18 38-14
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game72.5
Astros 🏆
vs
Paisas
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v Paisas
11 Feb 2026
ASTR125
PAIS72
03 Feb 2026
ASTR100
PAIS92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
98-71
98
71
+27
95avg 86
H22/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 86
A25/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 86
A27/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 86
A28/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 86
H31/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
46avg 86
H01/11
LNBP
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
123-70
123
70
+53
111avg 86
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
87-59
87
59
+28
84avg 86
A30/01
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
131-69
131
69
+62
136avg 86
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
90avg 86
H03/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
24-11
20-12
28-23
20-25
24-10
13-26
25-23
25-20
29-27
23-12
22-21
21-23
12-13
22-19
14-13
7-29
16-12
16-19
27-17
18-14
18-27
12-19
15-23
35-16
29-13
29-23
30-18
16-9
29-18
18-14
24-18
28-13
38-20
36-13
29-23
32-24
17-20
28-27
23-21
167.1Avg total
91.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)110.272.5182.8+37.8100%
Season at home (1)100.092.0192.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)113.766.0179.7+47.7100%
Last 10 (10)91.875.3167.1+16.570%
Last 5 (5)100.874.6175.4+26.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)99.097.5196.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.775.5166.2+15.286%
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
107-84
107
84
+23
104avg 83
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
97-38
97
38
+59
96avg 83
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
97-35
97
35
+62
no box
A22/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
86avg 83
H05/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 83
H06/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
81-69
81
69
+12
73avg 83
A10/12
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
109-62
109
62
+47
113avg 83
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 83
H30/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
92-100
92
100
-8
82avg 83
A03/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
107-91
107
91
+16
103avg 83
A04/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
29-30
37-12
18-25
30-11
21-4
19-16
27-7
24-8
18-13
34-5
21-9
19-9
31-14
19-22
16-16
28-19
24-16
23-20
18-30
13-19
21-25
18-16
29-9
24-17
26-15
29-9
30-21
9-16
18-29
14-18
18-24
24-32
20-17
27-28
21-23
28-17
28-25
20-22
31-27
163.9Avg total
92.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.885.0176.8+6.850%
Season at home (2)84.074.5158.5+9.550%
Season away (2)99.595.5195.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)92.771.2163.9+21.580%
Last 5 (5)89.681.8171.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.593.5169.0-18.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)91.373.2164.5+18.186%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
AstrosPaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H22/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A28/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H31/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/11
LNBP
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
64-29
64
29
+35
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A30/01
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
66-33
66
33
+33
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H03/02
Champions League Americas
83.3Avg total
46.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.936.883.7+10.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.838.183.9+7.760%-
Last 30 away (15)48.035.583.5+12.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.436.983.3+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)52.034.886.8+17.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)55.548.0103.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.336.082.2+10.368%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A22/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H05/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H06/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A10/12
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H30/01
Champions League Americas
Astros
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A04/02
Champions League Americas
81.1Avg total
45.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.983.2+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.537.482.8+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)45.138.783.8+6.469%-
Last 10 (10)45.835.381.1+10.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.547.082.5-11.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (28)46.037.383.3+8.775%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.2
52.5%
54.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.6
38.0%
32.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
69.7%13.0
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.723.9
61.8%
54.0%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.6
38.0%
32.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.011.7
68.8%
69.7%11.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWWLLWWLW
Paisas
WLLWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#8
+17.8
Net rating
+23.1
109.6
Offensive rating
107.8
91.7
Defensive rating
84.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
59.8%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.0%
3-point %
38.0%
57.3%
Assist %
57.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 107.8Defence91.7 · 84.7Shooting54.3% · 59.8%3-point %38.0% · 38.0%Ball care14.6% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 27.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Astros   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Astros wins
0
Paisas wins
DateGameScore
03/02/26Astros v Paisas100-92
30/01/26Paisas v Astros59-87
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HPaisas100-92
02/02/26ACaimanes del Llano131-69
30/01/26APaisas87-59
29/01/26ACaimanes del Llano123-70
01/11/25HDiablos Rojos63-83
31/10/25HDiablos Rojos66-77
28/10/25ADiablos Rojos69-68
27/10/25ADiablos Rojos99-80
25/10/25ADiablos Rojos82-84
22/10/25HDiablos Rojos98-71
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ACaimanes del Llano107-91
03/02/26AAstros92-100
30/01/26HAstros59-87
28/01/26HCaimanes del Llano109-62
10/12/25ACimarrones del Choco81-69
06/12/25HCimarrones del Choco93-85
05/12/25HCimarrones del Choco85-61
22/11/25AMotilones del Norte97-35
21/11/25HMotilones del Norte97-38
20/11/25HMotilones del Norte107-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game110.2100.0113.7
Allowed / game72.592.066.0
Point differential+37.8+8.0+47.7
Avg total182.8192.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paisas
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game91.884.099.5
Allowed / game85.074.595.5
Point differential+6.8+9.5+4.0
Avg total176.8158.5195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros440100%110.272.5+37.8
2 Nacional660100%83.572.7+10.8
3 Franca64267%95.377.0+18.3
4 Boca Juniors64267%83.872.8+11.0
5 Minas64267%81.773.5+8.2
6 Instituto de Cordoba64267%84.387.3-3.0
7 Paisas42250%91.885.0+6.8
8 Flamengo62433%79.881.7-1.8
9 Obras Sanitarias61517%74.883.8-9.0
10 U. De Concepcion61517%76.291.5-15.3
11 Aguada61517%70.789.8-19.2
12 Caimanes del Llano4040%73.0117.5-44.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros31263038125
Paisas1723181472
← all games of the day
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