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Cimarrones del Choco vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-81
19-13 25-21 16-18 9-29
Position#7
Record12-28
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game86.0
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
vs
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
Position#1
Record35-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game74.8
ColombiaLBPLBP - Final· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas
09 Dec 2025
CIMA69
PAIS81
30 Oct 2025
CIMA44
PAIS69
29 Oct 2025
CIMA52
PAIS91
21 May 2025
CIMA91
PAIS90
20 May 2025
CIMA76
PAIS93
23 Oct 2024
CIMA65
PAIS72
22 Oct 2024
CIMA75
PAIS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 61
H04/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
118-111
118
111
+7
107avg 61
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
80-43
80
43
+37
81avg 61
H14/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
49avg 61
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 61
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
54-76
54
76
-22
44avg 61
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
67avg 61
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 61
A05/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 61
A06/12
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
29-21
21-21
23-20
21-30
30-36
38-21
29-24
20-12
11-10
28-5
21-16
21-10
9-12
10-12
15-8
25-17
15-21
21-18
18-19
13-27
25-22
12-14
4-13
24-13
22-23
15-23
20-20
19-25
14-10
26-15
20-18
9-19
14-31
22-19
16-16
19-28
16-24
20-23
30-18
154.9Avg total
79.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)73.386.0159.3-12.730%
Season at home (19)75.181.9156.9-6.847%
Season away (21)71.889.7161.5-18.014%
Last 10 (10)79.175.8154.9+3.370%
Last 5 (5)72.080.2152.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)68.984.5153.4-15.627%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
69-44
69
44
+25
72avg 82
A30/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
101-70
101
70
+31
108avg 82
H03/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
95-85
95
85
+10
91avg 82
H05/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
123-78
123
78
+45
138avg 82
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
89-48
89
48
+41
99avg 82
A09/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
107-84
107
84
+23
104avg 82
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
97-38
97
38
+59
96avg 82
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
97-35
97
35
+62
no box
A22/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
86avg 82
H05/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 82
H06/12
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
21-13
17-12
15-9
34-19
21-18
24-7
22-26
33-14
21-26
22-18
19-27
27-17
37-22
34-21
25-18
25-13
29-10
20-13
15-12
23-17
29-30
37-12
18-25
30-11
21-4
19-16
27-7
24-8
18-13
34-5
21-9
19-9
31-14
19-22
16-16
28-19
24-16
23-20
18-30
158.4Avg total
95.6Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)89.074.8163.8+14.280%
Season at home (24)89.874.7164.5+15.192%
Season away (20)88.074.8162.9+13.265%
Last 10 (10)95.662.8158.4+32.8100%
Last 5 (5)95.860.6156.4+35.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)89.973.7163.6+16.283%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +12.2+12.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +8.6+8.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +10.3+10.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +12.2+12.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +8.6+8.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +10.3+10.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
Cimarrones del ChocoPaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H04/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
51-66
51
66
-15
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H14/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A05/12
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A06/12
LBP
79.7Avg total
38.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.243.978.1-9.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.442.276.6-7.820%-
Last 30 away (15)34.045.679.6-11.627%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.579.7-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.479.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)34.243.978.1-9.723%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A30/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H03/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H05/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A09/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A22/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H05/12
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H06/12
LBP
81.4Avg total
51.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.237.583.7+8.777%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.237.384.5+9.978%-
Last 30 away (12)44.737.982.6+6.875%-
Last 10 (10)51.130.381.4+20.8100%-
Last 5 (5)49.428.277.6+21.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.237.583.7+8.777%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.3
51.5%
49.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.3
28.0%
30.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.112.5
62.2%
67.7%12.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.926.9
64.2%
49.3%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.0
36.7%
30.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
67.7%13.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LLWWLWWWWW
Paisas
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+1.6
Net rating
+39.3
97.0
Offensive rating
120.6
95.4
Defensive rating
81.3
47.7%
Effective FG%
60.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.0%
3-point %
36.7%
53.3%
Assist %
63.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 120.6Defence95.4 · 81.3Shooting47.7% · 60.8%3-point %28.0% · 36.7%Ball care19.7% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cimarrones del Choco wins
8
Paisas wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco93-85
05/12/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco85-61
30/10/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas44-69
30/10/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas52-91
22/05/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas91-90
21/05/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas76-93
18/05/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco97-77
17/05/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco99-88
12/11/24Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco69-72
11/11/24Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco69-67
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25APaisas85-93
05/12/25APaisas61-85
23/11/25HToros del Valle79-68
22/11/25HToros del Valle81-79
20/11/25AToros del Valle54-76
19/11/25AToros del Valle79-75
16/11/25ACaribbean Storm Islands55-42
14/11/25HCaribbean Storm Islands80-43
05/11/25HMotilones del Norte118-111
04/11/25HMotilones del Norte99-86
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HCimarrones del Choco93-85
05/12/25HCimarrones del Choco85-61
22/11/25AMotilones del Norte97-35
21/11/25HMotilones del Norte97-38
20/11/25HMotilones del Norte107-84
09/11/25AMotilones del Norte89-48
07/11/25AMotilones del Norte123-78
05/11/25HSabios de Manizales95-85
03/11/25HSabios de Manizales101-70
30/10/25ACimarrones del Choco69-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayWWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %30%47%14%
Points / game73.375.171.8
Allowed / game86.081.989.7
Point differential-12.7-6.8-18.0
Avg total159.3156.9161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paisas
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442420
Win %80%92%65%
Points / game89.089.888.0
Allowed / game74.874.774.8
Point differential+14.2+15.1+13.2
Avg total163.8164.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%54%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)80% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas4435980%89.074.8+14.2
2 Caimanes del Llano40251562%77.572.9+4.6
3 Toros del Valle43251858%79.375.1+4.2
4 Caribbean Storm Islands41192246%79.378.7+0.7
5 Sabios de Manizales37172046%74.676.1-1.4
6 Motilones del Norte41162539%73.881.4-7.6
7 Cimarrones del Choco40122830%73.386.0-12.7
8 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco192516969
Paisas1321182981
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