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Diablos Rojos vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 68-69
23-21 13-12 19-22 13-14
Position#4
Record25-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record30-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game77.2
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Semi-finals· Gimnasio Olimpico Juan de la Barrera
Other2025-26
Meetings · Diablos Rojos v Astros
27 Sep 2026
DIAB67
ASTR86
26 Sep 2026
DIAB77
ASTR101
27 Oct 2025
DIAB68
ASTR69
26 Oct 2025
DIAB80
ASTR99
24 Oct 2025
DIAB84
ASTR82
09 Sep 2025
DIAB79
ASTR81
08 Sep 2025
DIAB80
ASTR89
16 Oct 2024
DIAB104
ASTR70
15 Oct 2024
DIAB102
ASTR107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diablos Rojos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diablos RojosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRojos
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
84avg 76
H10/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 76
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
84-96
84
96
-12
72avg 76
A14/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
81-65
81
65
+16
84avg 76
A15/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
89-83
89
83
+6
91avg 76
H18/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
91-74
91
74
+17
87avg 76
A21/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
71-98
71
98
-27
56avg 76
A22/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 76
H25/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
63avg 76
H27/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-27
26-18
15-19
28-32
21-20
21-16
24-17
15-18
26-23
17-22
20-23
20-27
16-31
23-10
25-28
17-13
27-14
20-11
17-27
29-20
18-30
23-22
19-11
21-18
19-20
27-15
24-21
25-26
11-24
12-20
23-28
25-20
10-24
26-13
23-25
20-25
27-29
12-23
21-22
168.7Avg total
83.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)90.282.1172.4+8.168%
Season at home (19)98.682.5181.1+16.179%
Season away (18)81.481.7163.2-0.356%
Last 10 (10)83.685.1168.7-1.560%
Last 5 (5)83.087.2170.2-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.887.2168.0-6.333%
vs Similar (9)83.683.0166.6+0.656%
vs Weaker (15)91.979.0170.9+12.980%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Mineros
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
105-91
105
91
+14
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 86
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 86
H11/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
101-58
101
58
+43
104avg 86
A14/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 86
H21/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
98-71
98
71
+27
95avg 86
H22/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 86
A25/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 86
A27/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
29-13
28-28
23-24
31-21
30-24
22-27
22-19
33-12
24-22
22-22
22-27
19-19
18-19
25-14
17-22
22-13
22-16
34-23
15-19
26-16
24-12
23-16
28-14
18-21
20-19
15-27
21-24
26-25
24-11
20-12
28-23
20-25
24-10
13-26
25-23
25-20
29-27
23-12
22-21
171.5Avg total
92.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)90.277.2167.4+13.086%
Season at home (18)90.177.5167.6+12.689%
Season away (17)90.276.9167.1+13.482%
Last 10 (10)92.978.6171.5+14.380%
Last 5 (5)90.876.8167.6+14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)92.092.0184.0+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.976.1167.0+14.793%
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Diablos RojosAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diablos RojosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A28/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A14/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A15/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H18/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A21/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A22/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H25/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H27/10
LNBP
87.8Avg total
41.8Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.885.1+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.642.189.7+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.541.681.1-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.846.087.8-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.047.288.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.543.382.8-3.850%-
vs Similar (9)41.242.783.9-1.433%-
vs Weaker (15)46.140.786.7+5.467%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H11/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A14/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H22/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
LNBP
84.4Avg total
48.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.037.584.5+9.573%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.738.386.0+9.464%-
Last 30 away (16)46.436.983.2+9.581%-
Last 10 (10)48.136.384.4+11.880%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.284.4+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)50.744.094.7+6.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.636.883.4+9.874%-
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Diablos Rojostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diablos Rojos: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.9
46.5%
50.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.612.0
42.0%
36.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.8%
74.6%13.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.9
51.7%
50.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
36.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.811.8
74.7%
74.6%11.8
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Diablos Rojos
LWLWWWLLWW
Astros
WLWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-2.4
Net rating
+15.7
111.5
Offensive rating
113.5
113.9
Defensive rating
97.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
42.0%
3-point %
38.5%
63.1%
Assist %
55.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 113.5Defence113.9 · 97.8Shooting53.8% · 53.9%3-point %42.0% · 38.5%Ball care18.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Diablos Rojos   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Diablos Rojos wins
6
Astros wins
DateGameScore
27/10/25Diablos Rojos v Astros80-99
25/10/25Diablos Rojos v Astros84-82
22/10/25Astros v Diablos Rojos98-71
21/10/25Astros v Diablos Rojos74-91
10/09/25Diablos Rojos v Astros79-81
09/09/25Diablos Rojos v Astros80-89
17/10/24Diablos Rojos v Astros104-70
16/10/24Diablos Rojos v Astros102-107 OT
14/07/24Astros v Diablos Rojos74-84
13/07/24Astros v Diablos Rojos78-74
Diablos Rojoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/25HAstros80-99
25/10/25HAstros84-82
22/10/25AAstros71-98
21/10/25AAstros91-74
18/10/25HDorados89-83
15/10/25ADorados81-65
14/10/25ADorados84-96
11/10/25HDorados78-86
10/10/25HDorados94-85
28/09/25AEl Calor de Cancun84-83
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/25ADiablos Rojos99-80
25/10/25ADiablos Rojos82-84
22/10/25HDiablos Rojos98-71
21/10/25HDiablos Rojos74-91
14/10/25AHalcones de Xalapa101-58
11/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa93-71
10/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa79-74
28/09/25AAbejas101-83
27/09/25AAbejas105-91
20/09/25AMineros97-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diablos Rojos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %68%79%56%
Points / game90.298.681.4
Allowed / game82.182.581.7
Point differential+8.1+16.1-0.3
Avg total172.4181.1163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW86%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %86%89%82%
Points / game90.290.190.2
Allowed / game77.277.576.9
Point differential+13.0+12.6+13.4
Avg total167.4167.6167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%61%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros3530586%90.277.2+13.0
2 Soles3327682%88.478.7+9.7
3 Fuerza Regia36261072%92.482.1+10.3
4 Diablos Rojos37251268%90.282.1+8.1
5 Mineros34201459%84.682.4+2.3
6 Dorados35201557%85.881.5+4.3
7 Panteras39182146%87.487.4-0.1
8 Halcones de Xalapa34151944%79.680.8-1.1
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Diablos Rojos2313191368
Astros2112221469
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