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Paisas vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 93-85
28-19 24-16 23-20 18-30
Position#1
Record34-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game74.5
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
vs
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
Position#7
Record12-27
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game85.8
ColombiaLBPLBP - Final· Ivan de Bedout
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco
09 May 2026
PAIS86
CIMA79
08 May 2026
PAIS116
CIMA89
05 Dec 2025
PAIS93
CIMA85
04 Dec 2025
PAIS85
CIMA61
18 May 2025
PAIS97
CIMA77
17 May 2025
PAIS99
CIMA88
11 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA72
10 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
91-52
91
52
+39
89avg 82
A30/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
69-44
69
44
+25
72avg 82
A30/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
101-70
101
70
+31
108avg 82
H03/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
95-85
95
85
+10
91avg 82
H05/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
123-78
123
78
+45
138avg 82
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
89-48
89
48
+41
99avg 82
A09/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
107-84
107
84
+23
104avg 82
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
97-38
97
38
+59
96avg 82
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
97-35
97
35
+62
no box
A22/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
86avg 82
H05/12
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
23-23
29-8
21-7
16-10
21-13
17-12
15-9
34-19
21-18
24-7
22-26
33-14
21-26
22-18
19-27
27-17
37-22
34-21
25-18
25-13
29-10
20-13
15-12
23-17
29-30
37-12
18-25
30-11
21-4
19-16
27-7
24-8
18-13
34-5
21-9
19-9
31-14
19-22
16-16
154.9Avg total
95.4Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)88.974.5163.4+14.479%
Season at home (23)89.774.2163.9+15.491%
Season away (20)88.074.8162.9+13.265%
Last 10 (10)95.459.5154.9+35.9100%
Last 5 (5)95.053.2148.2+41.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)90.173.5163.5+16.683%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Paisas
#1
L
44-69
44
69
-25
26avg 61
H30/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 61
H04/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
118-111
118
111
+7
107avg 61
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
80-43
80
43
+37
81avg 61
H14/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
49avg 61
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 61
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
54-76
54
76
-22
44avg 61
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
67avg 61
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 61
A05/12
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
13-21
12-17
9-15
26-24
29-21
21-21
23-20
21-30
30-36
38-21
29-24
20-12
11-10
28-5
21-16
21-10
9-12
10-12
15-8
25-17
15-21
21-18
18-19
13-27
25-22
12-14
4-13
24-13
22-23
15-23
20-20
19-25
14-10
26-15
20-18
9-19
14-31
22-19
16-16
148.4Avg total
75.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)73.085.8158.8-12.831%
Season at home (19)75.181.9156.9-6.847%
Season away (20)71.189.5160.6-18.515%
Last 10 (10)75.073.4148.4+1.670%
Last 5 (5)70.876.6147.4-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)68.984.1153.0-15.230%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +11.7+11.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +12.1+12.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +11.7+11.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +12.1+12.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
PaisasCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A30/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A30/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H03/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H05/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
64-39
64
39
+25
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A09/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H20/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H21/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A22/11
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H05/12
LBP
80.5Avg total
50.0Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.837.883.6+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.937.484.4+9.576%-
Last 30 away (13)44.338.282.5+6.169%-
Last 10 (10)50.030.580.5+19.5100%-
Last 5 (5)49.825.875.6+24.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.837.883.6+8.073%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H30/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H04/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
51-66
51
66
-15
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H14/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A16/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H22/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/11
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A05/12
LBP
77.0Avg total
37.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.443.878.2-9.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.942.677.5-7.819%-
Last 30 away (14)33.945.179.1-11.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.077.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.677.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)34.443.878.2-9.423%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.027.0
64.3%
49.3%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.1
34.2%
30.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.114.4
71.6%
67.7%14.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
49.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.4
28.7%
30.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.912.1
60.8%
67.7%12.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
WWWWWWWWWW
Cimarrones del Choco
LWWLWWWWWL
#1
League position
#7
+36.4
Net rating
-2.0
119.4
Offensive rating
94.7
82.9
Defensive rating
96.6
59.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
39.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
21.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.2%
3-point %
28.7%
62.7%
Assist %
53.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 94.7Defence82.9 · 96.6Shooting59.6% · 47.4%3-point %34.2% · 28.7%Ball care15.1% · 21.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 30.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Paisas   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Paisas wins
2
Cimarrones del Choco wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco85-61
30/10/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas44-69
30/10/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas52-91
22/05/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas91-90
21/05/25Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas76-93
18/05/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco97-77
17/05/25Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco99-88
12/11/24Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco69-72
11/11/24Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco69-67
24/10/24Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas65-72
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HCimarrones del Choco85-61
22/11/25AMotilones del Norte97-35
21/11/25HMotilones del Norte97-38
20/11/25HMotilones del Norte107-84
09/11/25AMotilones del Norte89-48
07/11/25AMotilones del Norte123-78
05/11/25HSabios de Manizales95-85
03/11/25HSabios de Manizales101-70
30/10/25ACimarrones del Choco69-44
30/10/25ACimarrones del Choco91-52
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25APaisas61-85
23/11/25HToros del Valle79-68
22/11/25HToros del Valle81-79
20/11/25AToros del Valle54-76
19/11/25AToros del Valle79-75
16/11/25ACaribbean Storm Islands55-42
14/11/25HCaribbean Storm Islands80-43
05/11/25HMotilones del Norte118-111
04/11/25HMotilones del Norte99-86
30/10/25HPaisas44-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432320
Win %79%91%65%
Points / game88.989.788.0
Allowed / game74.574.274.8
Point differential+14.4+15.4+13.2
Avg total163.4163.9162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%57%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)80% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL31%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayLWWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %31%47%15%
Points / game73.075.171.1
Allowed / game85.881.989.5
Point differential-12.8-6.8-18.4
Avg total158.8156.9160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%21%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas4334979%88.974.5+14.4
2 Caimanes del Llano40251562%77.572.9+4.6
3 Toros del Valle43251858%79.375.1+4.2
4 Caribbean Storm Islands41192246%79.378.7+0.7
5 Sabios de Manizales37172046%74.676.1-1.4
6 Motilones del Norte41162539%73.881.4-7.6
7 Cimarrones del Choco39122731%73.085.8-12.8
8 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas2824231893
Cimarrones del Choco1916203085
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