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Rayos de Hermosillo vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 100-92
23-21 27-21 30-23 20-27
Position#3
Record12-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#2
Record15-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game80.7
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Sonora
Other2024
Meetings · Rayos de Hermosillo v Astros
26 Mar 2025
RAYO76
ASTR86
25 Mar 2025
RAYO74
ASTR105
27 Jun 2024
RAYO107
ASTR89
26 Jun 2024
RAYO96
ASTR94
09 Apr 2024
RAYO100
ASTR92
08 Apr 2024
RAYO76
ASTR102
26 Jun 2023
RAYO86
ASTR93
17 Jun 2023
RAYO94
ASTR87
16 Jun 2023
RAYO109
ASTR114
29 Apr 2023
RAYO89
ASTR81
28 Apr 2023
RAYO101
ASTR98
09 Jul 2022
RAYO72
ASTR84
08 Jul 2022
RAYO72
ASTR80
07 Jul 2022
RAYO89
ASTR81
20 Apr 2022
RAYO71
ASTR61
19 Apr 2022
RAYO73
ASTR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rayos de Hermosillo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 80
H21/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
88-73
88
73
+15
79avg 80
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
67-92
67
92
-25
42avg 80
A24/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
72avg 80
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
64avg 80
H28/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 80
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 80
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
100-83
100
83
+17
87avg 80
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
101-93
101
93
+8
97avg 80
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
76-102
76
102
-26
64avg 80
H09/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
22-27
17-23
26-18
22-18
27-15
23-23
16-17
18-22
20-15
17-20
12-35
12-21
27-22
24-23
17-18
17-22
19-14
14-33
22-19
20-27
28-22
21-22
16-16
21-19
16-22
17-20
21-21
21-18
25-24
33-17
21-24
20-22
19-29
32-19
30-23
16-19
21-24
23-29
16-30
169.6Avg total
83.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.885.3172.2+1.563%
Season at home (10)83.984.5168.4-0.650%
Season away (9)90.186.2176.3+3.978%
Last 10 (10)83.186.5169.6-3.440%
Last 5 (5)87.489.4176.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.089.0166.0-12.033%
vs Similar (12)89.188.9178.0+0.233%
vs Weaker (15)89.482.9172.3+6.580%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
114-87
114
87
+27
115avg 86
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 86
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
92-67
92
67
+25
87avg 86
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 86
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
77avg 86
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 86
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
102-78
102
78
+24
109avg 86
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
88-67
88
67
+21
86avg 86
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
77avg 86
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
102-76
102
76
+26
107avg 86
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
38-17
23-28
27-22
18-22
15-27
23-23
17-16
22-18
15-20
20-17
35-12
30-15
21-25
16-22
26-11
14-17
18-20
24-17
24-15
18-22
25-18
21-26
24-12
24-22
21-22
26-17
31-17
14-17
22-20
30-12
22-18
15-19
22-19
15-27
23-10
19-16
24-21
29-23
30-16
169.3Avg total
91.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.080.7172.7+11.379%
Season at home (10)94.580.7175.2+13.890%
Season away (9)89.280.7169.9+8.667%
Last 10 (10)91.877.5169.3+14.380%
Last 5 (5)93.278.2171.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)87.487.2174.5+0.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.680.8173.4+11.882%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +11.0+11.0
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +11.0+11.0
Rayos de HermosilloAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A23/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/04
CIBACOPA
82.8Avg total
41.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.382.5+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.180.4+2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)45.139.584.5+5.673%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.582.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.286.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.337.779.0+3.767%-
vs Similar (12)42.840.483.2+2.333%-
vs Weaker (15)43.938.782.6+5.173%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
64-37
64
37
+27
H17/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/04
CIBACOPA
81.8Avg total
42.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.986.8+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.042.987.9+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.985.8+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.781.8+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)41.644.586.1-2.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.841.687.4+4.171%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
52.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.3
30.4%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.316.4
70.4%
72.4%16.4
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.1
54.9%
52.6%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.7
36.7%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
72.4%14.9
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rayos de Hermosillo
LWWLLLLLWW
Astros
WLWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#2
-3.0
Net rating
+17.8
102.0
Offensive rating
112.0
105.0
Defensive rating
94.2
47.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
41.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
36.7%
64.7%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 112.0Defence105.0 · 94.2Shooting47.8% · 55.0%3-point %30.4% · 36.7%Ball care14.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 29.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Rayos de Hermosillo   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rayos de Hermosillo wins
6
Astros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HAstros76-102
07/04/24APioneros de Los Mochis101-93
06/04/24APioneros de Los Mochis100-83
04/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana75-82
03/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana85-87
28/03/24HAngeles CDMX72-88
27/03/24HAngeles CDMX80-84
24/03/24AAstros67-92
23/03/24AAstros88-73
21/03/24HCaballeros de Culiacan87-81
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24ARayos de Hermosillo102-76
07/04/24AZonkeys de Tijuana86-92 OT
06/04/24AZonkeys de Tijuana88-67
03/04/24HVenados de Mazatlan102-78
02/04/24HVenados de Mazatlan88-78
28/03/24ACaballeros de Culiacan80-69
27/03/24ACaballeros de Culiacan93-73
24/03/24HRayos de Hermosillo92-67
23/03/24HRayos de Hermosillo73-88
17/03/24HOstioneros de Guaymas114-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayLWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%50%78%
Points / game86.883.990.1
Allowed / game85.384.586.2
Point differential+1.5-0.6+3.9
Avg total172.2168.4176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game92.094.589.2
Allowed / game80.780.780.7
Point differential+11.3+13.8+8.6
Avg total172.7175.2169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%70%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1915479%92.080.7+11.3
2 Zonkeys de Tijuana1814478%89.482.7+6.7
3 Angeles CDMX1914574%90.585.3+5.3
4 Rayos de Hermosillo1912763%86.885.3+1.5
5 Halcones de Obregon189950%88.489.5-1.1
6 Venados de Mazatlan1981142%88.190.1-2.1
7 Pioneros de Los Mochis1871139%86.990.1-3.2
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas1871139%87.692.2-4.6
9 Frayles de Guasave1841422%89.294.9-5.8
10 Caballeros de Culiacan1821611%83.292.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rayos de Hermosillo23273020100
Astros2121232792
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