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Atenas vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Carlos Cerutti
Other2026-27
Meetings · Atenas v Boca Juniors
14 Jan 2027
ATEN v BOCA
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
ATEN87
BOCA71
07 Oct 2024
ATEN69
BOCA81
09 Oct 2022
ATEN84
BOCA95
05 Dec 2021
ATEN65
BOCA76
10 Dec 2020
ATEN76
BOCA85
12 Jan 2020
ATEN74
BOCA83
26 Mar 2019
ATEN78
BOCA67
17 Dec 2017
ATEN86
BOCA81
25 Mar 2017
ATEN76
BOCA75
19 Jan 2016
ATEN84
BOCA61
09 May 2015
ATEN100
BOCA81
08 Dec 2014
ATEN79
BOCA76
09 Mar 2014
ATEN82
BOCA74
21 Nov 2012
ATEN77
BOCA71
19 Dec 2011
ATEN73
BOCA71
21 Jan 2011
ATEN88
BOCA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atenas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtenasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtenas
Date
Competition
Nacional
#8
L
77-90
77
90
-13
61avg 72
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Lanus
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 72
H24/10
Liga A
Union Atletica
#11
W
82-73
82
73
+9
68avg 72
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
57-84
57
84
-27
42avg 72
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
H02/11
Liga A
Larranaga
#10
L
73-109
73
109
-36
no box
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H04/11
Liga A
Goes
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
San Lorenzo
#17
W
81-55
81
55
+26
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Penarol
#1
L
83-105
83
105
-22
no box
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
18-25
11-24
25-17
25-20
8-19
27-16
20-14
28-17
25-20
19-12
10-24
12-27
19-21
9-11
17-25
22-22
20-25
21-14
25-27
15-24
19-32
23-27
16-26
15-21
19-17
19-16
23-25
7-33
20-28
24-19
20-19
24-17
28-9
14-12
15-17
26-27
15-28
22-20
20-30
163.2Avg total
77.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.479.0163.4+5.471%
Season at home (5)84.676.6161.2+8.080%
Season away (2)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.585.7163.2-8.240%
Last 5 (5)76.889.4166.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.288.4166.6-10.222%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.373.3149.7+3.067%
vs Weaker (9)82.479.7162.1+2.867%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 78
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 78
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 78
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 78
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 78
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 78
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 78
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 78
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Atenas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
AtenasBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtenasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Lanus
#12
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H24/10
Liga A
Union Atletica
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/11
Liga A
Larranaga
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H04/11
Liga A
Goes
#2
L
27-61
27
61
-34
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
San Lorenzo
#17
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H13/11
Liga A
Penarol
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
84.4Avg total
38.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.782.9-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.642.281.8-2.725%-
Last 30 away (14)40.843.384.1-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.684.4-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.284.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.345.185.3-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.036.372.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (9)41.240.281.4+1.044%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Atenas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atenastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atenas: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.6%
54.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.810.4
70.3%
72.7%10.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atenas
LWLLLWLWWL
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
#5
League position
#6
-5.8
Net rating
-1.3
94.9
Offensive rating
115.8
100.8
Defensive rating
117.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.3%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
6.3%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.8%
3-point %
34.5%
43.8%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 115.8Defence100.8 · 117.2Shooting49.5% · 54.3%3-point %29.8% · 34.5%Ball care6.3% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Atenas   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Atenas wins
9
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
20/03/26Boca Juniors v Atenas80-71
11/10/25Atenas v Boca Juniors87-71
05/04/25Boca Juniors v Atenas82-57
08/10/24Atenas v Boca Juniors69-81
14/03/23Boca Juniors v Atenas103-71
09/10/22Atenas v Boca Juniors84-95
06/12/21Atenas v Boca Juniors65-76
20/11/21Boca Juniors v Atenas78-62
11/02/21Boca Juniors v Atenas74-53
10/12/20Atenas v Boca Juniors76-85
Atenaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPenarol83-105
13/11/26HSan Lorenzo81-55
11/11/26AGoes71-99
04/11/26HGimnasia76-79
02/11/26ALarranaga73-109
02/11/26HRacing de Chivilcoy95-94 OT
31/10/26HAguada57-84
26/10/26AUnion Atletica82-73
24/10/26HLanus80-69
22/10/26HNacional77-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atenas
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game84.484.684.0
Allowed / game79.076.685.0
Point differential+5.4+8.0-1.0
Avg total163.4161.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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