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Atenas vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 77-90
23-24 18-25 11-24 25-17
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya
Other2026-27
Meetings · Atenas v Nacional
22 Oct 2026
ATEN77
NACI90
26 Nov 2019
ATEN105
NACI108
10 Dec 2018
ATEN70
NACI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atenas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtenasUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtenas
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
78avg 70
A18/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 70
A20/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
96-93
96
93
+3
86avg 70
H05/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 70
H07/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
53-61
53
61
-8
41avg 70
A10/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
77-88
77
88
-11
69avg 70
A13/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 70
A06/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
87avg 70
A08/10
Liga A
Ferro
#17
W
91-86
91
86
+5
87avg 70
H13/10
Liga A
Malvin
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 70
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
15-20
22-17
20-17
25-20
26-15
13-21
18-22
22-23
23-24
26-23
25-23
20-13
20-25
23-14
15-32
13-15
23-18
8-12
9-16
25-17
20-26
14-21
18-24
21-16
23-27
13-23
20-17
21-17
17-24
29-25
24-21
16-20
24-28
24-18
27-20
8-20
19-24
19-15
20-18
161.4Avg total
79.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.077.0143.0-11.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.077.0143.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.581.9161.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.484.2164.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.985.3163.1-7.420%
vs Similar (9)80.278.9159.1+1.367%
vs Weaker (6)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 81
H29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
97-73
97
73
+24
94avg 81
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 81
H05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
105-82
105
82
+23
94avg 81
A09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
100-78
100
78
+22
97avg 81
H11/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 81
H19/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
109-89
109
89
+20
106avg 81
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
74-87
74
87
-13
57avg 81
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
78avg 81
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
71avg 81
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
16-19
20-19
25-28
29-18
24-23
32-18
12-14
22-27
33-18
24-30
19-20
30-29
32-19
18-17
25-17
27-25
12-9
26-19
35-25
25-27
21-30
21-21
16-18
24-26
28-31
32-14
25-18
18-29
21-26
25-16
10-16
20-15
28-22
15-24
17-19
19-29
26-17
21-25
15-12
177.3Avg total
91.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Season at home (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.985.4177.3+6.560%
Last 5 (5)87.689.4177.0-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.379.3159.7+1.033%
vs Similar (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.382.3173.6+9.069%
This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
AtenasNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtenasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A18/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A20/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H05/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/05
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/10
Liga A
Ferro
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H13/10
Liga A
Malvin
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
82.8Avg total
40.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.080.1+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.839.280.9+2.646%-
Last 30 away (17)38.940.679.5-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.082.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.882.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.040.979.9-1.933%-
vs Similar (9)40.437.978.3+2.644%-
vs Weaker (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H19/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/10
Liga Uruguaya
92.7Avg total
47.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.788.8+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.142.188.2+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)45.943.589.4+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)47.545.292.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.050.496.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.042.084.0+0.033%-
vs Similar (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.842.789.5+4.162%-
This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atenastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atenas: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.2
56.9%
50.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.9
30.4%
32.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
70.5%15.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.0
49.2%
50.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.3
35.3%
32.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.7
77.0%
70.5%16.7
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atenas
LWWLLLLWWW
Nacional
LLLWLWWWWW
#12
League position
#10
-3.5
Net rating
+6.8
107.3
Offensive rating
96.3
110.8
Defensive rating
89.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
1.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
35.3%
47.3%
Assist %
52.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 96.3Defence110.8 · 89.4Shooting52.1% · 50.7%3-point %30.4% · 35.3%Ball care1.9% · 14.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Atenas   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Atenas wins
5
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
07/02/20Nacional v Atenas20-0
26/11/19Atenas v Nacional105-108 OT
12/02/19Nacional v Atenas102-83
10/12/18Atenas v Nacional70-84
11/10/13Nacional v Atenas90-78
Atenaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26AMalvin66-77
13/10/26HFerro91-86
08/10/26AOlimpico91-87
06/10/26AQuimsa77-83
13/05/26AArgentino77-88
10/05/26AArgentino53-61
07/05/26HArgentino78-84
05/05/26HArgentino96-93
20/04/26AObera TC82-78
18/04/26ALa Union84-82
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HAguada81-83
28/05/26AAguada91-92 OT
25/05/26HAguada74-87
21/05/26AAguada109-89
19/05/26HAguada83-96
11/05/26HBigua100-78
09/05/26ABigua105-82
05/05/26HBigua98-95
03/05/26HDefensor97-73
29/04/26HHebraica y Macabi81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atenas
Liga Uruguaya 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential-11.0--11.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Defensor110100%83.064.0+19.0
2 Union Atletica110100%94.078.0+16.0
3 Penarol110100%91.079.0+12.0
4 Malvin110100%77.066.0+11.0
5 Bigua110100%92.086.0+6.0
6 Aguada110100%83.081.0+2.0
7 Nacional1010%81.083.0-2.0
8 Hebraica y Macabi1010%86.092.0-6.0
9 Atenas1010%66.077.0-11.0
10 Urunday1010%79.091.0-12.0
11 Larranaga1010%78.094.0-16.0
12 Goes1010%64.083.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atenas2318112577
Nacional2425241790
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