Nacional vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	91.2	81.8	173.0	+9.4	69%
Season at home (16)	92.2	76.7	168.9	+15.5	81%
Season away (16)	90.2	86.9	177.1	+3.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	76.8	162.1	+8.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	79.0	169.4	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.0	77.5	157.5	+2.5	50%
vs Similar (1)	71.0	83.0	154.0	-12.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	91.1	79.5	170.6	+11.6	78%

This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bigua

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union Atletica

79-86

-7

A29/01

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#11

118-70

118

+48

H03/02

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

76-98

-22

A09/02

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

81-86 OT

-5

H18/02

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

86-74

+12

A07/03

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

84-79

A11/03

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#11

111-76

111

+35

H13/03

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

#10

94-97

-3

H17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

81-76

H21/03

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

91-87

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

28-19

15-26

21-25

15-16

30-12

25-21

30-21

33-16

19-31

22-18

15-19

20-30

15-19

12-19

22-18

22-15

24-8

21-22

25-20

16-24

29-19

14-15

16-15

25-30

28-17

31-26

21-24

31-9

32-24

23-24

14-23

25-26

22-17

14-19

17-22

28-18

18-22

32-23

13-25

28-17

173.0Avg total

90.1Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	89.0	87.2	176.2	+1.7	57%
Season at home (15)	92.2	86.4	178.6	+5.8	67%
Season away (13)	85.2	88.2	173.5	-3.0	46%
Last 10 (10)	90.1	82.9	173.0	+7.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	92.2	83.0	175.2	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	80.5	97.5	178.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	87.0	86.6	173.6	+0.4	57%
vs Weaker (10)	96.2	83.9	180.1	+12.3	80%

This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NacionalBigua

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.6	43.9	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	19.6	42.6	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	21.9	45.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	16.0	29.0	45.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.9	20.3	44.1	+3.6	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	21.4	45.3	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	21.3	44.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	18.8	43.3	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.8	45.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.5	28.8	50.3	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	24.3	21.0	45.3	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.7	17.4	41.1	+6.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	19.1	42.9	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.4	20.0	43.3	+3.4	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	24.7	44.6	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.5	23.2	43.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.6	7%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	23.4	46.7	-0.1	40%	-

NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Defensor

40-34

A26/03

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

39-32

A30/03

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

42-37

A09/04

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

52-41

+11

H12/04

Liga Uruguaya

Franca

38-46

-8

H17/04

Champions League Americas

Flamengo

54-26

+28

H18/04

Champions League Americas

Penarol

39-43

-4

H23/04

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

50-35

+15

A26/04

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

36-32

H29/04

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

53-41

+12

H03/05

Liga Uruguaya

81.0Avg total

44.3Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	40.4	86.9	+6.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.9	38.6	85.6	+8.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.9	42.4	88.4	+3.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	36.7	81.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	35.4	81.8	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	40.0	80.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	38.0	46.0	84.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	47.2	40.2	87.4	+7.0	67%	-

This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union Atletica

43-45

-2

A29/01

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#11

55-33

+22

H03/02

Liga Uruguaya

Penarol

41-49

-8

A09/02

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

27-38

-11

H18/02

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

45-30

+15

A07/03

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

43-34

A11/03

Liga Uruguaya

Cordon

#11

59-43

+16

H13/03

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

#10

55-48

H17/03

Liga Uruguaya

Union Atletica

36-36

H21/03

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

#12

50-45

H23/03

Liga Uruguaya

85.5Avg total

45.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	44.6	89.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.9	43.4	89.2	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.0	46.0	89.0	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	40.1	85.5	+5.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	41.2	89.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	42.0	52.0	94.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.9	44.1	88.0	-0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.0	40.8	87.8	+6.2	80%	-

This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.5	19.9	42.3	+2.6	52%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.9	43.9	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	23.7	46.6	-0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.4	41.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.3	41.7	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	18.9	42.4	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	20.1	44.4	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	20.0	47.4	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.6	16.6	40.2	+7.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.1	82.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	37.3	82.2	+7.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	41.1	82.3	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	40.1	81.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	43.6	87.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	33.0	37.0	70.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.9	39.3	83.1	+4.6	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	42.4	85.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.5	41.8	86.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	43.0	85.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	41.3	85.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.8	85.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.5	45.5	84.0	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.1	42.5	85.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.5	40.3	86.8	+6.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	17.5	44.6%	53.3%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.1	36.3%	33.3%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.0	69.4%	70.9%	15.0

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 90.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	21.4	52.3%	53.3%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	11.0	36.5%	33.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.3	77.7%	70.9%	14.3

They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.2	16.3	49.1%	53.3%	32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.8	33.0%	33.3%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	20.6	14.4	69.9%	70.9%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	20.7	51.9%	53.3%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	9.3	29.9%	33.3%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	17.0	12.7	74.7%	70.9%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.9	22.0	51.2%	53.3%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.2	33.9%	33.3%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	23.2	16.0	69.0%	70.9%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.1	53.1%	53.3%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.7	36.3%	33.3%	32.0
🏀 Free throws	17.6	12.7	72.2%	70.9%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.3	52.6%	53.3%	36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	9.8	31.5%	33.3%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.1	70.5%	70.9%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	22.0	53.4%	53.3%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.2	33.9%	33.3%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.0	73.0%	70.9%	13.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Nacional

WWWLWLWWWW

Bigua

WWLWWWLLWL

League position

+4.6

Net rating

+9.0

93.9

Offensive rating

100.3

89.3

Defensive rating

91.3

48.7%

Effective FG%

53.4%

49.3%

Opp. effective FG%

48.8%

13.1%

Turnover %

12.3%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.26

36.3%

3-point %

36.5%

61.2%

Assist %

66.7%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Nacional ■ Bigua

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nacional wins

Bigua wins

Date	Game	Score
23/01/26	Nacional v Bigua	97-73
03/11/25	Bigua v Nacional	93-110
05/03/25	Bigua v Nacional	96-102 OT
03/01/25	Nacional v Bigua	97-82
03/02/24	Nacional v Bigua	71-67 OT
27/11/23	Bigua v Nacional	101-94
06/05/23	Bigua v Nacional	79-88
03/05/23	Nacional v Bigua	80-93
26/04/23	Bigua v Nacional	87-68
22/04/23	Nacional v Bigua	91-84

Nacionallast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/26	H	Defensor	97-73
29/04/26	H	Hebraica y Macabi	81-79
26/04/26	A	Aguada	98-94
23/04/26	H	Penarol	82-84
18/04/26	H	Flamengo	94-65
17/04/26	H	Franca	71-83
12/04/26	H	Aguada	101-82
09/04/26	A	Penarol	78-71
30/03/26	A	Malvin	71-69
26/03/26	A	Defensor	80-68

Bigualast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/26	H	Welcome	91-87
21/03/26	H	Union Atletica	81-76
17/03/26	H	Goes	94-97
13/03/26	H	Cordon	111-76
11/03/26	A	Urunday	84-79
07/03/26	A	Welcome	86-74
18/02/26	H	Welcome	81-86 OT
09/02/26	A	Penarol	76-98
03/02/26	H	Cordon	118-70
29/01/26	A	Union Atletica	79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional

Liga Uruguaya 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	69%
Home	LWLWW	81%
Away	WWWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	69%	81%	56%
Points / game	91.2	92.2	90.2
Allowed / game	81.8	76.7	86.9
Point differential	+9.4	+15.5	+3.2
Avg total	173.0	168.9	177.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	69%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bigua

Liga Uruguaya 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	57%
Home	LWLWW	67%
Away	LLLWW	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	57%	67%	46%
Points / game	89.0	92.2	85.2
Allowed / game	87.2	86.4	88.2
Point differential	+1.7	+5.8	-3.0
Avg total	176.2	178.6	173.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	27%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	57% (7)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	13%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Penarol	32	26	6	81%	87.7	75.2	+12.4
2	Nacional	32	22	10	69%	91.2	81.8	+9.4
3	Aguada	32	21	11	66%	91.2	86.9	+4.3
4	Bigua	28	16	12	57%	89.0	87.2	+1.7
5	Malvin	32	18	14	56%	80.3	82.3	-2.0
6	Union Atletica	28	14	14	50%	83.5	82.6	+0.9
7	Hebraica y Macabi	32	16	16	50%	83.6	84.2	-0.6
8	Urunday	27	13	14	48%	89.3	85.3	+4.0
9	Defensor	32	15	17	47%	84.9	84.8	+0.2
10	Goes	27	9	18	33%	83.7	89.1	-5.4
11	Cordon	28	5	23	18%	80.8	94.4	-13.6
12	Welcome	28	4	24	14%	81.1	95.8	-14.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nacional	22	33	24	19	98
Bigua	27	18	30	20	95

← all games of the day

Nacional vs Bigua Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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