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Nacional vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 May 2026
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 100-78
27-25 12-9 26-19 35-25
Position#2
Record24-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#5
Record16-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game88.2
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Quarter-finals· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Bigua
11 May 2026
NACI100
BIGU78
05 May 2026
NACI98
BIGU95
23 Jan 2026
NACI97
BIGU73
03 Jan 2025
NACI97
BIGU82
02 Feb 2024
NACI71
BIGU67
02 May 2023
NACI80
BIGU93
21 Apr 2023
NACI91
BIGU84
02 Dec 2022
NACI83
BIGU93
05 Nov 2021
NACI82
BIGU94
21 Jun 2021
NACI76
BIGU86
18 Jun 2021
NACI76
BIGU69
14 Jun 2021
NACI92
BIGU97
31 Jan 2020
NACI91
BIGU84
30 Oct 2018
NACI72
BIGU81
08 Dec 2017
NACI70
BIGU64
26 Oct 2012
NACI70
BIGU76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
101-82
101
82
+19
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Franca
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H17/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
105-82
105
82
+23
A09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
25-17
20-16
16-18
31-29
21-12
23-22
26-19
16-29
22-17
21-18
12-19
23-16
31-10
22-17
18-22
20-23
19-20
15-21
28-20
21-18
29-17
25-25
23-34
20-13
16-19
20-19
25-28
29-18
24-23
32-18
12-14
22-27
33-18
24-30
19-20
30-29
32-19
18-17
25-17
171.3Avg total
90.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)91.882.2174.0+9.671%
Season at home (17)92.577.8170.3+14.882%
Season away (17)91.186.6177.7+4.459%
Last 10 (10)90.580.8171.3+9.780%
Last 5 (5)95.884.6180.4+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.077.5157.5+2.550%
vs Similar (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.081.1174.1+12.078%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
111-76
111
76
+35
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H21/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
82-105
82
105
-23
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
22-18
15-19
20-30
15-19
12-19
22-18
22-15
24-8
21-22
25-20
16-24
29-19
14-15
16-15
25-30
28-17
31-26
21-24
31-9
32-24
23-24
14-23
25-26
22-17
14-19
17-22
28-18
18-22
32-23
13-25
28-17
27-22
18-33
30-24
20-19
29-30
19-32
17-18
17-25
175.7Avg total
88.1Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.988.2177.1+0.753%
Season at home (16)91.687.6179.1+4.062%
Season away (14)85.988.9174.9-3.043%
Last 10 (10)88.187.6175.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)88.692.6181.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.399.0180.3-17.70%
vs Similar (14)87.086.6173.6+0.457%
vs Weaker (10)96.283.9180.1+12.380%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
NacionalBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Franca
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A09/05
Liga Uruguaya
87.5Avg total
48.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.141.289.4+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.339.788.9+9.673%-
Last 30 away (15)47.042.889.8+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)48.139.487.5+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)51.240.291.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)49.141.190.2+7.970%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
88.9Avg total
44.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.645.389.9-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.744.189.8+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)43.446.790.1-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.944.088.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.849.296.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.355.597.8-13.20%-
vs Similar (14)43.944.188.0-0.336%-
vs Weaker (10)47.040.887.8+6.280%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.0
47.4%
53.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.1
37.4%
33.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.816.4
71.9%
70.9%16.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.7
49.8%
53.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.7
36.0%
33.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
70.9%14.6
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWLWLWW
Bigua
LLWWLWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+5.8
Net rating
+1.5
97.2
Offensive rating
96.3
91.4
Defensive rating
94.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.4%
3-point %
36.0%
58.8%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 96.3Defence91.4 · 94.7Shooting51.2% · 51.5%3-point %37.4% · 36.0%Ball care14.1% · 12.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Nacional   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Nacional wins
2
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Bigua v Nacional82-105
05/05/26Nacional v Bigua98-95
23/01/26Nacional v Bigua97-73
03/11/25Bigua v Nacional93-110
05/03/25Bigua v Nacional96-102 OT
03/01/25Nacional v Bigua97-82
03/02/24Nacional v Bigua71-67 OT
27/11/23Bigua v Nacional101-94
06/05/23Bigua v Nacional79-88
03/05/23Nacional v Bigua80-93
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26ABigua105-82
05/05/26HBigua98-95
03/05/26HDefensor97-73
29/04/26HHebraica y Macabi81-79
26/04/26AAguada98-94
23/04/26HPenarol82-84
18/04/26HFlamengo94-65
17/04/26HFranca71-83
12/04/26HAguada101-82
09/04/26APenarol78-71
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HNacional82-105
05/05/26ANacional95-98
23/03/26HWelcome91-87
21/03/26HUnion Atletica81-76
17/03/26HGoes94-97
13/03/26HCordon111-76
11/03/26AUrunday84-79
07/03/26AWelcome86-74
18/02/26HWelcome81-86 OT
09/02/26APenarol76-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %71%82%59%
Points / game91.892.591.1
Allowed / game82.277.886.6
Point differential+9.6+14.8+4.4
Avg total174.0170.3177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%65%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL53%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game88.991.685.9
Allowed / game88.287.688.9
Point differential+0.7+4.0-3.0
Avg total177.1179.1174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol3428682%88.475.3+13.0
2 Nacional34241071%91.882.2+9.6
3 Aguada34231168%90.686.1+4.5
4 Bigua30161453%88.988.2+0.7
5 Malvin34181653%79.982.5-2.6
6 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
7 Defensor34171750%85.084.1+0.9
8 Hebraica y Macabi34161847%83.084.0-1.0
9 Urunday29131645%88.486.2+2.2
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional27122635100
Bigua259192578
← all games of the day
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