Atenas vs San Lorenzo Result & Analysis

Atenas will host San Lorenzo on 12 November 2026 in the Liga A, with the Pythia model designating Atenas as the favourite and forecasting a 67% chance of victory; the projected score is 80-75 and the total points are expected to reach 155.3. Across all six games this season Atenas have gone 4-2, averaging 85.0 points while conceding 83.0, and sit in fifth place; at home they are 3-1, scoring 85.5 and allowing 82.0. Their last five outings yielded only one win, with recent defeats to Goes, Gimnasia and Larranaga. San Lorenzo, meanwhile, is 2-4 overall, averaging 69.5 points and surrendering 77.2, and occupies fifteenth place; their last five games also produced one win, highlighted by a 70-65 victory over Regatas and losses to San Martin, Platense and a 76-67 win over Atenas in February. The head-to-head record stands at 10 meetings, with San Lorenzo leading 6-4 and their last encounter ending 76-67 in San Lorenzo's favour. Pythia sets the home line at -7.5 with a 42% probability of Atenas covering, and the over on the total has a 5% chance of occurring. The game will be decided by a narrow margin, with Atenas' recent offensive output suggesting they could edge out San Lorenzo by the projected five-point differential.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atenas winWon

67.2%fair 1.49

Best odds1.29

Implied77.3%

Edge-10.0pp

San Lorenzo winLost

32.8%fair 3.05

Best odds4.15

Implied22.7%

Edge+10.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atenas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAtenas

Date

Competition

Ferro

#11

91-86

87avg 70

H13/10

Liga A

Malvin

66-77

-11

55avg 70

A20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

77-90

-13

61avg 70

H22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Lanus

#12

80-69

+11

76avg 70

H24/10

Liga A

Union Atletica

#11

82-73

68avg 70

A26/10

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

57-84

-27

42avg 70

H31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

95-94 OT

no box

H02/11

Liga A

Larranaga

73-109

109

-36

no box

A02/11

Liga Uruguaya

Gimnasia

76-79

-3

no box

H04/11

Liga A

Goes

71-99

-28

no box

A11/11

Liga Uruguaya

16-20

24-28

24-18

27-20

8-20

19-24

19-15

20-18

23-24

18-25

11-24

25-17

25-20

8-19

27-16

20-14

28-17

25-20

19-12

10-24

12-27

19-21

9-11

17-25

22-22

20-25

21-14

25-27

15-24

19-32

23-27

16-26

15-21

19-17

19-16

23-25

7-33

20-28

24-19

20-19

162.8Avg total

76.8Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.0	83.0	168.0	+2.0	67%
Season at home (4)	85.5	82.0	167.5	+3.5	75%
Season away (2)	84.0	85.0	169.0	-1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	86.0	162.8	-9.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	93.0	167.4	-18.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	78.0	87.7	165.7	-9.7	22%
vs Similar (6)	79.7	78.2	157.8	+1.5	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	79.8	81.5	161.3	-1.7	50%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Lorenzo Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLorenzo

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

77-83

-6

68avg 68

H04/04

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

66-80

-14

56avg 68

A12/04

Liga A

Argentino

#19

70-80

-10

62avg 68

A15/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

70-76

-6

64avg 68

A18/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

89-73

+16

84avg 68

H09/10

Liga A

Penarol

85-92

-7

70avg 68

H17/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#10

73-78

-5

no box

H18/10

Liga A

Platense

58-80

-22

47avg 68

H28/10

Liga A

Regatas

#16

70-65

no box

H07/11

Liga A

San Martin

#18

42-75

-33

no box

H08/11

Liga A

18-26

22-23

19-14

18-20

14-17

19-28

19-16

14-19

16-21

21-26

9-18

24-15

17-21

18-19

14-20

21-16

20-22

18-18

29-14

22-19

22-28

22-17

18-26

23-21

18-21

26-25

14-17

15-15

18-16

18-28

16-22

6-14

14-20

17-11

13-20

26-14

8-20

17-17

8-21

9-17

148.2Avg total

70.0Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	69.5	77.2	146.7	-7.7	33%
Season at home (6)	69.5	77.2	146.7	-7.7	33%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	70.0	78.2	148.2	-8.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.6	78.0	143.6	-12.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	77.5	81.3	158.8	-3.7	32%
vs Similar (9)	76.6	80.2	156.8	-3.7	44%
vs Weaker (2)	79.0	66.0	145.0	+13.0	50%

This opponent (Atenas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149

Over 149

64.5%

@ 1.67+7.3pp

Under 149

35.5%

@ 2.30-7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.67

Marathon Be

1.57

Bet365

1.55

Under

Bet365

2.30

Pinnacle

2.23

Over/Under 154.25 · main lineActual: Over 154.25

Over 154.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under 154.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.82

Under

1xBet

1.80

Over/Under 159Actual: Over 159

Over 159

40.1%

@ 2.55+3.5pp

Under 159

59.9%

@ 1.47-3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.55

Under

Bet365

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Atenas total 76.5Actual: Atenas over 76.5

Over 76.5

64.0%

@ 1.40-1.6pp

Under 76.5

36.0%

@ 2.75+1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.39

Atenas total 80.5 · main lineActual: Atenas over 80.5

Over 80.5

48.6%

@ 1.83-1.7pp

Under 80.5

51.4%

@ 1.91+1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

BetVictor

1.78

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.73

Under

Betano

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.71

Atenas total 84.5Actual: Atenas over 84.5

Over 84.5

33.3%

@ 2.45-4.2pp

Under 84.5

66.7%

@ 1.52+4.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.41

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.38

San Lorenzo total 69.5Actual: San Lorenzo over 69.5

Over 69.5

70.3%

@ 1.52+9.9pp

Under 69.5

29.7%

@ 2.40-9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.52

1xBet

1.48

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.32

1xBet

2.10

San Lorenzo total 73.5 · main lineActual: San Lorenzo over 73.5

Over 73.5

55.7%

@ 2.02+8.5pp

Under 73.5

44.3%

@ 1.85-8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.02

1xBet

1.93

Bet365

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.80

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.57

San Lorenzo total 77.5Actual: San Lorenzo over 77.5

Over 77.5

40.4%

@ 2.80+6.4pp

Under 77.5

59.6%

@ 1.39-6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.42

Under

Betano

1.39

Bet365

1.38

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Atenas -11.5Actual: Atenas -11.5

ATEN -11.5

28.3%

@ 2.30-12.2pp

SAN +11.5

71.7%

@ 1.57+12.2pp

Best 5 market prices

ATEN

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.26

Betano

2.25

SAN

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.46

Spread Atenas -8.5 · main lineActual: Atenas -8.5

ATEN -8.5

38.2%

@ 1.88-12.6pp

SAN +8.5

61.8%

@ 1.94+12.6pp

Best 5 market prices

ATEN

Pinnacle

1.88

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

SAN

Pinnacle

1.94

SBO

1.87

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Spread Atenas -5.5Actual: Atenas -5.5

ATEN -5.5

49.3%

@ 1.64-8.6pp

SAN +5.5

50.7%

@ 2.30+8.6pp

Best 5 market prices

ATEN

Pinnacle

1.64

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.54

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.46

SAN

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.30

Pinnacle

2.25

1xBet

2.24

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AtenasSan Lorenzo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	29%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.1	44%	50%
Last 10 (10)	17.1	22.8	39.9	-5.7	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	14.2	25.4	39.6	-11.2	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.8	28%	61%
vs Similar (6)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	50%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.8	50%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.4	38.6	-2.1	27%	40%
Last 30 at home (20)	18.6	20.6	39.3	-2.0	30%	50%
Last 30 away (10)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	20%	20%
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.2	37.7	-4.7	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.3	21.6	40.8	-2.3	26%	53%
vs Similar (9)	16.4	18.3	34.8	-1.9	22%	22%
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	50%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.1	42.7	-1.5	30%	83%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	21%	79%
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	38%	88%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	23.9	43.0	-4.8	20%	80%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.6	44.0	-5.2	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.3	28%	89%
vs Similar (6)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	17%	83%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.0	30%	80%
Last 30 at home (20)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.3	30%	75%
Last 30 away (10)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	30%	90%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	26%	74%
vs Similar (9)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	33%	89%
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	20.5	45.0	+4.0	50%	100%

AtenasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

#11

40-48

-8

H13/10

Liga A

Malvin

27-44

-17

A20/10

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

41-49

-8

H22/10

Liga Uruguaya

Lanus

#12

33-39

-6

H24/10

Liga A

Union Atletica

#11

53-37

+16

A26/10

Liga Uruguaya

Aguada

31-48

-17

H31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

42-47

-5

H02/11

Liga A

Larranaga

34-56

-22

A02/11

Liga Uruguaya

Gimnasia

34-38

-4

H04/11

Liga A

Goes

27-61

-34

A11/11

Liga Uruguaya

82.9Avg total

36.2Scored

46.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 74
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.9	82.4	-3.4	37%	80%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	42.5	81.1	-3.9	21%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	43.2	83.5	-3.0	50%	88%
Last 10 (10)	36.2	46.7	82.9	-10.5	10%	70%
Last 5 (5)	33.6	50.0	83.6	-16.4	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	39.7	44.8	84.5	-5.2	33%	89%
vs Similar (6)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.7	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	40.2	41.2	81.3	-1.0	50%	67%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

40-49

-9

H04/04

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

33-45

-12

A12/04

Liga A

Argentino

#19

37-47

-10

A15/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

35-40

-5

A18/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

38-40

-2

H09/10

Liga A

Penarol

44-45

-1

H17/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#10

44-46

-2

H18/10

Liga A

Platense

36-44

-8

H28/10

Liga A

Regatas

#16

31-31

H07/11

Liga A

San Martin

#18

25-37

-12

H08/11

Liga A

78.7Avg total

36.3Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 74
Last 30 (30)	38.1	42.2	80.3	-4.1	27%	73%
Last 30 at home (20)	38.5	42.8	81.3	-4.3	25%	80%
Last 30 away (10)	37.3	41.1	78.4	-3.8	30%	60%
Last 10 (10)	36.3	42.4	78.7	-6.1	0%	80%
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.6	76.6	-4.6	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.4	43.7	82.1	-5.3	21%	84%
vs Similar (9)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	33%	44%
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+3.0	50%	100%

This opponent (Atenas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: San Lorenzo win

ATEN win

no forecast

@ 1.40

SAN win

no forecast

@ 3.34

1st half Spread Atenas -4.5 · main lineActual: San Lorenzo +4.5

ATEN -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

SAN +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.94

1st half Over/Under 74 · main lineActual: Over 74

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.92

Atenas 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: Atenas under 40

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

San Lorenzo 1st half total 35.5 · main lineActual: San Lorenzo over 35.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: ATEN + total 75.5

ATEN & over

no forecast

@ 2.75

ATEN & under

no forecast

@ 2.90

1st half: Draw + total 75.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: SAN + total 75.5

SAN & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

SAN & under

no forecast

@ 5.50

1st half Over/Under 75.25Actual: Over 75.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.77

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Over 72.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.45

Under

no forecast

@ 2.60

1st half Spread Atenas -5.5Actual: San Lorenzo +5.5

ATEN -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.06

SAN +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Atenas -3.5Actual: San Lorenzo +3.5

ATEN -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

SAN +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.13

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Atenas -6.5Actual: San Lorenzo +6.5

ATEN -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

SAN +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Atenas -2.5Actual: San Lorenzo +2.5

ATEN -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

SAN +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.32

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Atenas (regulation)

ATEN

no forecast

@ 1.45

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

SAN

no forecast

@ 3.20

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.4	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.4	38.4	+1.5	64%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	44%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.9	20.7	38.6	-2.8	44%	56%
vs Similar (6)	21.7	18.7	40.3	+3.0	67%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.2	67%	33%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.4	+0.9	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (20)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	55%	50%
Last 30 away (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	50%	40%
Last 10 (10)	15.9	18.8	34.7	-2.9	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	13.8	21.2	35.0	-7.4	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.6	53%	47%
vs Similar (9)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.3	56%	56%
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	12.5	29.0	+4.0	50%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	50%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	22.9	44.9	-0.9	50%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.4	44.6	-4.2	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.6	56%	67%
vs Similar (6)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.8	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.7	22.7	41.3	-4.0	33%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.7	37.9	+0.4	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (20)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.2	50%	45%
Last 30 away (10)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	60%	50%
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.2	32.0	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	47%	47%
vs Similar (9)	20.3	19.4	39.8	+0.9	56%	44%
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	38.5	40.9	79.4	-2.3	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.6	50%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	40.4	76.0	-4.9	38%	44%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	38.7	78.6	+1.2	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.8	81.2	-2.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.6	41.9	79.4	-4.3	33%	56%
vs Similar (6)	41.5	39.3	80.8	+2.2	67%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	38.5	39.3	77.8	-0.8	50%	83%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 76
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.5	76.2	+1.3	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (20)	39.2	36.0	75.2	+3.2	65%	40%
Last 30 away (10)	37.8	40.4	78.2	-2.6	20%	40%
Last 10 (10)	33.7	35.8	69.5	-2.1	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	29.6	37.4	67.0	-7.8	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.4	37.2	75.6	+1.2	53%	42%
vs Similar (9)	39.8	40.2	80.0	-0.4	44%	44%
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	27.5	65.0	+10.0	50%	0%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ATEN win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

SAN win + total 154.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ATEN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ATEN:SAN ): ATEN wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
San Lorenzo +12	73.8%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Lost
San Lorenzo +14	79.3%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
San Lorenzo +11	70.8%	1.60	Pinnacle 1.62	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.57	-	-	+12.4pp	Lost
San Lorenzo +11.5	71.7%	1.53	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.53	1xBet 1.46	-	+12.2pp	Lost
San Lorenzo +14.5	79.8%	1.36	Bet365 1.38	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
San Lorenzo +13	76.7%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Push
San Lorenzo +15	81.7%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
San Lorenzo +13.5	77.3%	1.42	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
San Lorenzo +15.5	82.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
San Lorenzo +16	83.9%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
San Lorenzo +12.5	74.6%	1.45	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+11.6pp	Lost
San Lorenzo +16.5	84.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
San Lorenzo +18.5	87.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
San Lorenzo over 69.5	70.3%	1.51	Betano 1.52	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.48	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
San Lorenzo over 68.5	73.6%	1.41	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
San Lorenzo over 67.5	76.7%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
San Lorenzo over 63.5	87.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
San Lorenzo +23.5	94.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
San Lorenzo over 65.5	82.3%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
San Lorenzo over 62.5	88.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Atenas under 86.5	73.5%	1.39	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Lost
San Lorenzo over 64.5	84.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
San Lorenzo over 66.5	79.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Atenas under 88.5	79.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
Atenas under 92.5	88.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Atenas under 89.5	82.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Lost
Atenas under 94.5	92.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Atenas under 90.5	84.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Atenas under 91.5	86.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Atenas under 93.5	90.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Atenas under 87.5	76.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Lost
Atenas under 85.5	70.2%	1.39	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Over 128.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Over 145.5	71.8%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Over 146	71.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Atenas +16.5	96.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Over 138.5	84.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Atenas over 65.5	92.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Over 143.5	75.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Over 129.5	94.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.1%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Atenas over 67.5	89.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Over 133.5	90.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Atenas over 69.5	85.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Atenas over 66.5	90.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Over 139.5	82.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Atenas over 70.5	82.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Under 179.5	92.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Atenas +11.5	91.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 92.5	94.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Over 134.5	89.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 90.5	92.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 91.5	93.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Over 144.5	73.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Under 178.5	91.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Atenas over 71.5	80.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Atenas over 68.5	87.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 89.5	91.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 88.5	89.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Under 174.5	87.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Atenas over 73.5	74.3%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Under 169.5	80.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Atenas over 72.5	77.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Under 164.5	71.7%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Lost
Under 173.5	86.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 87.5	88.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 86.5	86.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Atenas over 74.5	71.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Under 168.5	79.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Lost
Atenas +6.5	83.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 84.5	81.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 85.5	84.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 83.5	79.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 82.5	76.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 80.5	70.2%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Won
San Lorenzo under 81.5	73.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-5.5pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Atenastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atenas: 74.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	20.6	52.6%	54.4%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	7.7	29.8%	32.6%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	14.8	10.4	70.3%	72.7%	10.4

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.0	55.1%	54.4%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	7.5	30.1%	32.6%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.0	74.9%	72.7%	17.0

They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	18.9	49.3%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.1	31.8%	32.6%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.2	70.6%	72.7%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.2	52.9%	54.4%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.9	35.0%	32.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.6	74.4%	72.7%	16.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.9	52.5%	54.4%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.8	34.1%	32.6%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.7	69.6%	72.7%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	18.6	54.1%	54.4%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.4	31.4%	32.6%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.1	70.8%	72.7%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	19.2	52.6%	54.4%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.1	32.0%	32.6%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	21.7	15.6	71.9%	72.7%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	19.1	53.4%	54.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.7	33.5%	32.6%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.2	72.7%	72.7%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Atenas

LLLWLWWLLW

San Lorenzo

LWLLLWLLLL

League position

#17

-5.8

Net rating

-6.0

94.9

Offensive rating

110.0

100.8

Defensive rating

116.0

49.5%

Effective FG%

50.9%

48.7%

Opp. effective FG%

52.8%

6.3%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.38

29.8%

3-point %

30.1%

43.8%

Assist %

50.9%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Atenas ■ San Lorenzo

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Atenas wins

San Lorenzo wins

Date	Game	Score
05/02/26	San Lorenzo v Atenas	76-67
21/10/25	Atenas v San Lorenzo	85-92
05/02/25	San Lorenzo v Atenas	94-88
10/11/24	Atenas v San Lorenzo	84-61
17/05/23	San Lorenzo v Atenas	73-62
12/05/23	Atenas v San Lorenzo	68-65
10/05/23	Atenas v San Lorenzo	73-59
03/05/23	San Lorenzo v Atenas	90-81
30/04/23	San Lorenzo v Atenas	99-65
16/02/23	Atenas v San Lorenzo	71-58

Atenaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Goes	71-99
04/11/26	H	Gimnasia	76-79
02/11/26	A	Larranaga	73-109
02/11/26	H	Racing de Chivilcoy	95-94 OT
31/10/26	H	Aguada	57-84
26/10/26	A	Union Atletica	82-73
24/10/26	H	Lanus	80-69
22/10/26	H	Nacional	77-90
20/10/26	A	Malvin	66-77
13/10/26	H	Ferro	91-86

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	San Martin	42-75
07/11/26	H	Regatas	70-65
28/10/26	H	Platense	58-80
18/10/26	H	Obera TC	73-78
17/10/26	H	Penarol	85-92
09/10/26	H	Gimnasia	89-73
18/04/26	A	Obras Sanitarias	70-76
15/04/26	A	Argentino	70-80
12/04/26	A	Racing de Chivilcoy	66-80
04/04/26	H	Boca Juniors	77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atenas

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	67%	75%	50%
Points / game	85.0	85.5	84.0
Allowed / game	83.0	82.0	85.0
Point differential	+2.0	+3.5	-1.0
Avg total	168.0	167.5	169.0
Over 154.25	83%	75%	100%
Win by 10+	17%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	17%	25%	0%

San Lorenzo

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	LLLWL	33%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	6	-
Win %	33%	33%	-
Points / game	69.5	69.5	-
Allowed / game	77.2	77.2	-
Point differential	-7.7	-7.7	-
Avg total	146.7	146.7	-
Over 154.25	33%	33%	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	8	7	1	88%	85.2	75.8	+9.5
2	Penarol	7	6	1	86%	81.7	74.6	+7.1
3	Instituto de Cordoba	8	6	2	75%	77.9	76.5	+1.4
4	Gimnasia	11	8	3	73%	78.0	75.5	+2.5
5	Atenas	6	4	2	67%	85.0	83.0	+2.0
6	Boca Juniors	8	5	3	62%	89.5	83.2	+6.2
7	Olimpico	8	4	4	50%	86.8	85.4	+1.4
8	Argentino	8	4	4	50%	77.9	79.5	-1.6
9	Platense	7	3	4	43%	79.6	80.1	-0.6
10	Obera TC	7	3	4	43%	80.0	83.1	-3.1
11	Lanus	11	4	7	36%	78.5	79.3	-0.7
12	Independiente de Oliva	3	1	2	33%	92.0	89.0	+3.0
13	Racing de Chivilcoy	9	3	6	33%	79.4	82.8	-3.3
14	La Union	6	2	4	33%	78.2	83.2	-5.0
15	San Lorenzo	6	2	4	33%	69.5	77.2	-7.7
16	Regatas	7	2	5	29%	73.3	75.7	-2.4
17	Ferro	7	2	5	29%	82.3	85.7	-3.4
18	San Martin	9	2	7	22%	81.6	87.4	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Atenas	19	19	21	32	91
San Lorenzo	32	15	23	8	78

← all games of the day

Atenas vs San Lorenzo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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