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Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#16
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game118.2
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Cleveland Cavaliers
13 Jan 2027
ATL v CLE
upcoming
29 Oct 2026
ATL114
CLE111
10 Apr 2026
ATL124
CLE102
28 Nov 2025
ATL130
CLE123
29 Nov 2024
ATL117
CLE101
06 Mar 2024
ATL112
CLE101
20 Jan 2024
ATL95
CLE116
10 Oct 2023
ATL108
CLE107
28 Mar 2023
ATL120
CLE118
24 Feb 2023
ATL136
CLE119
31 Mar 2022
ATL131
CLE107
15 Feb 2022
ATL124
CLE116
06 Oct 2021
ATL96
CLE99
14 Mar 2021
ATL100
CLE82
02 Jan 2021
ATL91
CLE96
15 Apr 2020
ATL v CLE
upcoming
14 Mar 2020
ATL v CLE
upcoming
29 Dec 2018
ATL111
CLE108
09 Feb 2018
ATL107
CLE123
30 Nov 2017
ATL114
CLE121
09 Apr 2017
ATL126
CLE125
03 Mar 2017
ATL130
CLE135
10 Oct 2016
ATL99
CLE93
08 May 2016
ATL99
CLE100
06 May 2016
ATL108
CLE121
01 Apr 2016
ATL108
CLE110
22 May 2015
ATL82
CLE94
20 May 2015
ATL89
CLE97
06 Mar 2015
ATL106
CLE97
30 Dec 2014
ATL109
CLE101
04 Apr 2014
ATL117
CLE98
06 Dec 2013
ATL108
CLE89
01 Apr 2013
ATL102
CLE94
30 Nov 2012
ATL111
CLE113
21 Mar 2012
ATL103
CLE102
21 Jan 2012
ATL121
CLE94
22 Dec 2010
ATL98
CLE84
14 Apr 2010
ATL99
CLE83
29 Dec 2009
ATL84
CLE95
11 May 2009
ATL74
CLE84
09 May 2009
ATL82
CLE97
01 Mar 2009
ATL87
CLE88
13 Dec 2008
ATL97
CLE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Atlanta Hawks
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 117.1
116.6▼ 0.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 114.5
112.4▼ 2.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
54%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 28.6
32.5▲ 3.9
🔥 Form · Cleveland Cavaliers
4.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 116.0
118.0▲ 2.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 113.2
117.0▲ 3.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
59%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 26.2
26.0▼ 0.2
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
123-116
123
116
+7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
119-117
119
117
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
113-110
113
110
+3
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
135-111
135
111
+24
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
132-125
132
125
+7
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
128-81
128
81
+47
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
114-121
114
121
-7
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-120
110
120
-10
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
117-129
117
129
-12
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
114-111
114
111
+3
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-39
42-30
31-26
30-21
31-32
31-28
34-26
23-31
29-28
27-21
23-30
34-31
39-34
34-20
29-24
33-33
28-33
44-29
27-38
33-25
33-20
35-23
29-19
31-19
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
234.6Avg total
120.5Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)120.7115.7236.5+5.064%
Season at home (5)116.2120.6236.8-4.440%
Season away (6)124.5111.7236.2+12.883%
Last 10 (10)120.5114.1234.6+6.470%
Last 5 (5)116.6112.4229.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)106.6117.5224.1-10.929%
vs Similar (6)122.7115.7238.3+7.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)126.8111.1237.9+15.790%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
108-121
108
121
-13
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
93-130
93
130
-37
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
113-124
113
124
-11
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
119-105
119
105
+14
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
116-132
116
132
-16
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-121
125
121
+4
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
121-111
121
111
+10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
111-114
111
114
-3
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-37
27-23
28-31
26-30
26-38
23-30
22-30
22-32
29-32
33-39
34-28
17-25
32-28
29-22
29-25
29-30
28-35
24-37
31-36
33-24
35-18
34-27
21-37
16-32
35-30
33-24
28-26
29-41
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
233.6Avg total
113.9Scored
119.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)117.2118.2235.5-1.050%
Season at home (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Season away (3)111.0120.0231.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)113.9119.7233.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)118.0117.0235.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)107.9113.6221.5-5.636%
vs Similar (14)113.9113.9227.7+0.057%
vs Weaker (2)136.0121.5257.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Atlanta HawksCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
68-43
68
43
+25
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
118.1Avg total
60.9Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.4118.3+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.557.8113.3-2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)63.659.0122.6+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)60.957.2118.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)56.855.6112.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)54.961.1115.9-6.236%-
vs Similar (6)64.360.3124.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)64.153.6117.7+10.590%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
116.3Avg total
56.8Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.056.6111.6-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.958.6116.4-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)51.754.3106.0-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)56.859.5116.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)58.054.8112.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.055.9107.9-3.921%-
vs Similar (14)56.456.9113.2-0.536%-
vs Weaker (2)66.559.5126.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.726.9
53.1%
54.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.314.7
33.9%
34.9%44.1
🏀 Free throws25.219.6
77.8%
76.2%19.6
They take 94.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.3
54.6%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.7
33.1%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.5
75.3%
76.2%19.5
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWWWWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWWWLLWLLL
#6
League position
#16
-4.1
Net rating
-8.6
105.1
Offensive rating
101.0
109.3
Defensive rating
109.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
11.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.9%
3-point %
33.1%
70.2%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 101.0Defence109.3 · 109.6Shooting52.1% · 52.4%3-point %33.9% · 33.1%Ball care12.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.6% · 11.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121
23/10/26ACharlotte Hornets128-81
21/10/26AOrlando Magic132-125
17/10/26ADallas Mavericks135-111
12/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder113-110
10/10/26AIndiana Pacers119-117
09/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
24/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-121
22/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-114
13/10/26AOrlando Magic116-132
11/10/26HOrlando Magic119-105
08/10/26HBoston Celtics113-124
26/05/26HNew York Knicks93-130
24/05/26HNew York Knicks108-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%40%83%
Points / game120.7116.2124.5
Allowed / game115.7120.6111.7
Point differential+5.0-4.4+12.8
Avg total236.5236.8236.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game117.2121.0111.0
Allowed / game118.2117.2120.0
Point differential-1.0+3.8-9.0
Avg total235.5238.2231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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