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Denver Nuggets

USA NBA 6-4 · 9/15 Western Conference
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
LWLWWLWWLW
Points / game
114.9
allowed 113.2
Over 229.5
44%
game total, 16 games
Game total
228.2
both teams per game
Win rate
62%
10-6
Margin / game
+1.7
points
1st half
58.6
points scored / game
Overtime
6%
games to overtime
Sections
Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets 2026-27 season: the Nuggets sit 6-4 overall and 6-4 in the NBA, placing 9th of 15 teams. In their last five outings they went 3-2, with wins over Memphis Grizzlies 123-118 and Indiana Pacers 114-102, and a loss to Houston Rockets 100-110. Their power rating shows a net rating of 1.9, ranking 12th of 30 teams, a drop from 10th a few games ago. Home play has been even, 2-2, while on the road they are 4-2, averaging 108.7 points for and 106.2 against. Murray Jamal leads the club with 22.4 points per game, Jokic Nikola dominates with 9.2 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game. The Nuggets host the Phoenix Suns on 17 November, with a 71% projected win probability.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Denver Nuggets stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the NBA (this season) Denver Nuggets score 114.9 points a game and allow 113.2 across 16 games – 44% of their games go over 229.5 and they clear 114.5 team points in 50%. They win 62% (50% at home, 70% away), by +1.7 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

Denver NuggetsLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
140avg 113
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
124avg 113
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
126avg 113
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
112avg 113
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 113
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
75avg 113
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
80avg 113
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
123avg 113
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 113
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 113
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 113
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 113
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 113
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 113
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 113
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 113
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 113
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 113
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 113
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 113
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
227.7Avg total
114.8Scored
112.8Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
29.4
27.3
+2.1
won 56%
Q2
29.2
29.9
-0.7
won 31%
Q3
28.1
29.1
-0.9
won 31%
Q4
27.3
26.4
+0.9
won 38%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 56% of 16 games, the 2nd half in 56%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=6AWAY n=10
120.5
Points / game
111.6
122.2
Allowed / game
107.9
242.7
Game total
219.5
67%
Over 229.5
30%
50%
Win %
70%
-1.7
Margin
+3.7
59.0
1st half scored
58.3
17%
Won the 1st half
80%
17%
Won by 10+
40%
Points scored per game
6%12%19%25%6%85-890%90-946%95-9912%100-1040%105-10925%110-11412%115-11912%120-12412%125-1296%130-1346%135-139
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
8%16%23%31%6%90-946%95-996%100-10431%105-1096%110-11412%115-11912%120-1246%125-12912%130-134
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 114.0 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)119.5115.7126.6119.3111.4111.670%
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2118.5112.5111.5114.050%
vs Similar (14)113.9114.5122.0118.4105.9110.657%
vs Weaker (12)127.5118.0133.6122.1119.0112.292%
Over 229.5 (game total)63% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
11thof 3062%
Attack: points scored per game
15thof 30114.9
Defence: points allowed per game
13thof 30113.2
Game total: both teams' points per game
12thof 30228.2
Ranked against the 30 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
2ndof 3048.3%
2-point accuracy
3rdof 3057.9%
3-point accuracy
28thof 3032.5%
Free-throw accuracy
25thof 3073.3%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
48.3%+2.6pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#2 of 30 in NBA
✋ 2-pointers
57.9%+4.0pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#3 of 30 in NBA
🌟 3-pointers
32.5%-2.3pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#28 of 30 in NBA
🏹 Free throws
73.3%-3.7pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
7 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#25 of 30 in NBA

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver NuggetsLeague average
116.7
Offensive rating
106.3
111.6
Defensive rating
106.3
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.8%
3-point %
35.1%
40.3%
3-point attempt rate
43.2%
68.1%
Assist %
65.5%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 106.3Defence111.6 · 106.3Shooting56.7% · 53.4%3-point %37.8% · 35.1%Ball care11.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds23.4% · 26.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.30
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

Eastern Conference

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 229.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+13444%5-05-2100%WWWWW
2 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+2335%5-25-175%WLWLW
3 Detroit Pistons118373%115.5107.8+8550%3-25-175%WLLWW
4 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1767%3-34-3100%WWWLL
5 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+7324%4-32-320%WWWLL
6 Miami Heat126650%117.2120.1-3572%2-34-325%WLWWW
7 Cleveland Cavaliers136746%116.8115.8+1359%4-22-550%WLLWL
8 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1753%2-33-40%LWLLL
9 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-5344%1-44-3100%LLWWW
10 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2741%2-53-333%WLLWW
11 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-1326%3-41-433%LLLWL
12 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-7541%2-32-650%LLLLL
13 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5650%1-32-50%LWLLW
14 Chicago Bulls112918%114.4127.7-14776%1-41-50%LLLLW
15 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-18344%1-60-6100%LLLLL

Western Conference

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 229.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+17228%5-26-050%WWWWW
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+10361%5-16-1100%WWWWW
3 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+11444%7-13-233%LLWWW
4 Minnesota Timberwolves129375%119.3105.9+16142%5-14-233%WWWWW
5 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+9340%3-26-1100%LLWWW
6 Memphis Grizzlies128467%119.9111.8+9747%2-46-043%LLWLW
7 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+5642%6-12-450%WWWLL
8 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+4917%5-03-540%WWLLL
9 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1244%2-24-2100%LWWLW
10 Dallas Mavericks127558%113.2112.2+1235%5-22-360%LWWWL
11 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4844%5-30-350%WWLWW
12 New Orleans Pelicans134931%116.5125.6-11956%3-51-460%LLLLL
13 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5850%3-30-567%LLWLW
14 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-15341%0-71-40%LLLLL
15 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-14535%1-60-667%LLLLL
Playoffs Play-in
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 229.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
227.7Avg total
114.8Scored
112.8Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 229.5
Last 30 (30)119.5115.7235.2+3.870%63%
Last 30 at home (16)126.6119.3245.9+7.381%81%
Last 30 away (14)111.4111.6223.0-0.357%43%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%50%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%50%
vs Similar (14)113.9114.5228.4-0.657%57%
vs Weaker (12)127.5118.0245.5+9.592%75%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 229.5 = the league line
Over 229.563%
n=30
Under 229.537%
n=30
Won the game70%
🔥 70%+n=30
Lost the game30%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, NBA games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 229.5)Team points (line 114.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (16)228.2242.7219.5114.9120.5111.6+1.7-1.7+3.7
vs Stronger (3)226.3228.0225.5111.0110.0111.5-4.3-8.0-2.5
vs Similar (5)221.6242.5207.7112.2121.0106.3+2.8-0.5+5.0
vs Weaker (8)233.0247.7224.2118.1123.7114.8+3.2-0.3+5.4
% over line / win44%67%30%50%50%50%62%50%70%
% under line / loss56%33%70%50%50%50%38%50%30%
Scoring dials
Points / game114.9
League avg 114.0 · above by 0.9
Allowed / game113.2
League avg 114.0 · below by 0.7
1st half scored58.6
League avg 57.4 · above by 1.1
3-pointers made10.7
League avg 13.3 · below by 2.6
Free throws made18.1
League avg 20.5 · below by 2.4
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 109.5 pts75%
🔥 70%+n=16
Under 109.5 pts25%
n=16
Over 114.5 pts50%
n=16
Under 114.5 pts50%
n=16
Over 119.5 pts38%
n=16
Under 119.5 pts62%
n=16
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 219.569%
n=16
Under 219.531%
n=16
Over 229.544%
n=16
Under 229.556%
n=16
Over 239.531%
n=16
Under 239.569%
n=16
Result markets
Win62%
n=16
Win by 6+ (-5.5)50%
n=16
Cover +5.562%
n=16
Win by 10+31%
n=16
Win the 1st half56%
n=16
Overtime6%
n=16
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.2%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.028.9
54.5%
54.0%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.0
35.4%
35.1%39.0
🏀 Free throws20.517.1
83.4%
77.2%17.1
Their opponents take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Jokic NikolaNBA15031.219.29.28.551.6%28.0%
Murray JamalNBA14032.422.44.45.350.7%47.8%
Braun ChristianNBA15029.110.44.11.846.9%31.7%
Gordon AaronNBA14025.112.45.11.644.1%31.6%
Johnson CameronNBA12024.211.23.21.452.0%45.8%
DeRozan DeMarNBA13020.79.11.82.841.6%16.7%
III Marvin BagleyNBA14013.16.44.20.653.1%12.5%
Jones TyusNBA15012.22.60.83.336.8%26.3%
Whitmore CamNBA7011.97.31.30.447.4%23.1%
Strawther JulianNBA4018.513.22.81.046.3%43.5%
R. NembhardNBA709.93.40.72.147.4%40.0%
T. BrazileNBA4016.05.24.50.856.2%28.6%
Holmes DaRon IINBA807.23.81.50.647.6%20.0%
Jones SpencerNBA3019.05.32.30.350.0%50.0%
Nnaji ZekeNBA607.84.22.00.237.5%16.7%
B. HopkinsNBA3011.37.71.70.372.7%100.0%
IV Lonnie WalkerNBA208.52.01.51.020.0%20.0%
Miller EmanuelNBA203.02.51.00.050.0%0.0%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.3
13 rated players
Nnaji Zeke4.2 pts8.7
Jones Tyus2.6 pts6.7
Murray Jamal22.5 pts6.7
Jones Spencer5.0 pts6.6
Johnson Cameron11.3 pts4.7
Whitmore Cam7.3 pts3.8
Jokic Nikola19.6 pts3.5
R. Nembhard3.4 pts3.4
Braun Christian10.8 pts3.4
Holmes DaRon II3.8 pts3.1
DeRozan DeMar9.1 pts0.8
Gordon Aaron12.3 pts0.7
Player market rates – share of games
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
69%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
64-29favourite won / lost
Across 93 games of Denver Nuggets, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 69% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Denver Nuggets
v
Phoenix Suns
Tue 17 Nov, 02:00 UTC
Pythia: Denver Nuggets 71%
home 71%away 29%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns Tue 17 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=107
2023-24
n=99
2024-25
n=101
2025-26
n=93
2026-27
n=16
Trend
Points scored / game115.2113.2118.3120.4114.9
Points allowed / game111.2108.9116.4116.1113.2
Game total226.4222.1234.7236.5228.2
Over 219.570%55%74%80%69%
Over 229.544%32%57%67%44%
Over 239.522%18%42%51%31%
Team points over 114.554%45%60%72%50%
Win %67%68%57%63%62%
Home win %83%78%61%67%50%
Away win %51%58%54%60%70%
Margin / game+4.0+4.2+1.9+4.3+1.7
Won by 10+36%33%34%32%31%
Close games won (5 or fewer)69%54%54%52%100%
Overtime %4%2%8%10%6%
1st half total116.4112.7119.5117.3115.8
Won the 1st half54%59%47%54%56%
3-point attempt rate36%36%36%41%38%
Effective FG%57%56%56%57%54%
Pace99.798.1102.3101.297.2
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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