PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in
Teams › NBA › Minnesota Timberwolves← All teams

Minnesota Timberwolves

USA NBA 9-3 · 4/15 Western Conference
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WLLWLWWWWW
Points / game
118.3
allowed 110.0
Over 229.5
44%
game total, 18 games
Game total
228.3
both teams per game
Win rate
67%
12-6
Margin / game
+8.3
points
1st half
59.4
points scored / game
Overtime
6%
games to overtime
Sections
Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves enter the 2026-27 season with an 8-3 record, 8-3 in the NBA and 4-1 at home and 4-2 on the road, placing them fourth in the league's table of 15 teams. Their recent form is strong, with four wins from the last five games and victories over Utah Jazz, New Orleans Pelicans and Houston Rockets, the last three all in the NBA. Power-rating data shows a net rating of 5.8, ranking fifth among 30 teams, an improvement from 14th a few games ago, and the team is trending upward. Edwards Anthony leads the squad with 26.5 points per game, Rudy Gobert averages 10.3 rebounds, and LaMelo Ball discharges 5.9 assists. The next outing is a home game against the Chicago Bulls on 15 November 2026, where the Pythia model projects an 88% win probability.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Minnesota Timberwolves stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the NBA (this season) Minnesota Timberwolves score 118.3 points a game and allow 110.0 across 18 games – 44% of their games go over 229.5 and they clear 114.5 team points in 72%. They win 67% (71% at home, 64% away), by +8.3 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-125
113
125
-12
108avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
102avg 108
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-102
104
102
+2
91avg 108
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-133
95
133
-38
76avg 108
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
95avg 108
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
114-109
114
109
+5
103avg 108
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-126
97
126
-29
82avg 108
A13/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
109-139
109
139
-30
81avg 108
H16/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
131-106
131
106
+25
116avg 108
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 108
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
22-26
24-37
38-28
29-30
28-20
25-24
28-24
24-23
21-22
24-27
35-30
17-24
18-35
28-39
32-35
22-23
29-28
28-35
29-29
34-30
26-26
20-28
34-25
30-34
17-25
26-32
24-35
27-36
34-38
23-36
25-29
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
225.0Avg total
114.1Scored
110.9Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
29.8
26.4
+3.4
won 72%
Q2
29.6
28.3
+1.3
won 67%
Q3
28.5
27.2
+1.3
won 50%
Q4
29.7
27.2
+2.4
won 56%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 78% of 18 games, the 2nd half in 61%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=7AWAY n=11
117.7
Points / game
118.6
105.1
Allowed / game
113.1
222.9
Game total
231.7
29%
Over 229.5
55%
71%
Win %
64%
+12.6
Margin
+5.5
57.4
1st half scored
60.7
71%
Won the 1st half
82%
71%
Won by 10+
45%
Points scored per game
10%19%29%39%6%105-10922%110-11439%115-1196%120-12417%125-12911%130-134
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
6%11%17%22%17%90-946%95-9922%100-10417%105-1090%110-1146%115-11917%120-12411%125-1296%130-134
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 113.9 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)115.1112.4116.0107.8114.4116.460%
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7110.3121.098.7120.333%
vs Similar (11)113.6115.2110.8103.0115.3122.145%
vs Weaker (13)121.3106.2121.4104.9121.2107.785%
Over 229.5 (game total)37% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
8thof 3067%
Attack: points scored per game
5thof 30118.3
Defence: points allowed per game
7thof 30110.0
Game total: both teams' points per game
12thof 30228.3
Ranked against the 30 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏆 Win %
this season
1 Boston Celtics88%
2 Houston Rockets75%
3 Detroit Pistons73%
4 Portland Trail Blazers73%
5 Los Angeles Lakers72%
6 San Antonio Spurs72%
7 Memphis Grizzlies69%
8 Minnesota Timberwolves67%
9 Philadelphia 76ers65%
10 Golden State Warriors63%
11 Atlanta Hawks61%
12 Denver Nuggets60%
13 Miami Heat53%
14 Dallas Mavericks50%
15 Oklahoma City Thunder50%
16 Orlando Magic50%
17 Cleveland Cavaliers44%
18 New Orleans Pelicans41%
19 New York Knicks41%
20 Toronto Raptors41%
21 Brooklyn Nets40%
22 Phoenix Suns38%
23 Los Angeles Clippers36%
24 Indiana Pacers35%
25 Washington Wizards35%
26 Charlotte Hornets31%
27 Chicago Bulls31%
28 Utah Jazz24%
29 Milwaukee Bucks17%
30 Sacramento Kings6%
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
1 Miami Heat120.4
2 Atlanta Hawks119.4
3 Memphis Grizzlies119.3
4 Portland Trail Blazers119.1
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118.3
6 San Antonio Spurs118.1
7 Los Angeles Lakers117.9
8 Boston Celtics117.4
9 Houston Rockets117.2
10 Chicago Bulls116.8
11 Toronto Raptors116.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers116.6
13 Detroit Pistons116.3
14 Golden State Warriors115.8
15 New Orleans Pelicans115.1
16 Denver Nuggets114.9
17 Brooklyn Nets113.9
18 Dallas Mavericks113.4
19 Indiana Pacers113.2
20 Orlando Magic112.2
21 Los Angeles Clippers111.9
22 Philadelphia 76ers111.7
23 Phoenix Suns110.9
24 Oklahoma City Thunder110.8
25 Washington Wizards110.8
26 Utah Jazz108.8
27 New York Knicks108.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks107.1
29 Sacramento Kings106.6
30 Charlotte Hornets98.1
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
1 Boston Celtics104.3
2 San Antonio Spurs106.9
3 Houston Rockets108.4
4 Detroit Pistons109.2
5 New York Knicks109.7
6 Charlotte Hornets109.9
7 Minnesota Timberwolves110.0
8 Oklahoma City Thunder110.1
9 Golden State Warriors110.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies111.6
11 Philadelphia 76ers111.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers112.4
13 Los Angeles Lakers113.6
14 Denver Nuggets113.6
15 Orlando Magic113.8
16 Toronto Raptors114.0
17 Indiana Pacers114.4
18 Dallas Mavericks114.5
19 Washington Wizards115.3
20 Brooklyn Nets115.5
21 Los Angeles Clippers115.6
22 Phoenix Suns115.6
23 Utah Jazz116.5
24 Cleveland Cavaliers116.6
25 Atlanta Hawks116.9
26 Sacramento Kings119.9
27 Milwaukee Bucks120.1
28 Miami Heat120.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans122.0
30 Chicago Bulls123.7
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
1 Miami Heat241.1
2 Chicago Bulls240.4
3 New Orleans Pelicans237.1
4 Atlanta Hawks236.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers233.2
6 Portland Trail Blazers231.5
7 Los Angeles Lakers231.4
8 Memphis Grizzlies230.9
9 Toronto Raptors230.6
10 Brooklyn Nets229.4
11 Denver Nuggets228.5
12 Minnesota Timberwolves228.3
13 Dallas Mavericks227.9
14 Indiana Pacers227.6
15 Los Angeles Clippers227.5
16 Milwaukee Bucks227.2
17 Sacramento Kings226.5
18 Phoenix Suns226.5
19 Golden State Warriors226.3
20 Washington Wizards226.1
21 Orlando Magic226.0
22 Houston Rockets225.6
23 Detroit Pistons225.5
24 Utah Jazz225.4
25 San Antonio Spurs225.0
26 Philadelphia 76ers223.6
27 Boston Celtics221.7
28 Oklahoma City Thunder220.8
29 New York Knicks218.4
30 Charlotte Hornets208.0
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
8thof 3046.8%
2-point accuracy
18thof 3053.2%
3-point accuracy
4thof 3037.9%
Free-throw accuracy
26thof 3073.2%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
1 Los Angeles Lakers48.9%
2 Denver Nuggets48.3%
3 Washington Wizards47.6%
4 Memphis Grizzlies47.4%
5 Dallas Mavericks47.1%
6 Indiana Pacers47.0%
7 Phoenix Suns46.8%
8 Minnesota Timberwolves46.8%
9 Detroit Pistons46.7%
10 Cleveland Cavaliers46.5%
11 Houston Rockets46.4%
12 Portland Trail Blazers46.4%
13 Chicago Bulls46.3%
14 Oklahoma City Thunder46.1%
15 Los Angeles Clippers46.0%
16 Golden State Warriors45.9%
17 Miami Heat45.8%
18 Atlanta Hawks45.4%
19 Boston Celtics45.3%
20 Orlando Magic45.3%
21 Brooklyn Nets45.0%
22 San Antonio Spurs45.0%
23 Toronto Raptors44.9%
24 Utah Jazz44.8%
25 New Orleans Pelicans44.5%
26 Philadelphia 76ers44.0%
27 Milwaukee Bucks42.9%
28 Charlotte Hornets42.4%
29 Sacramento Kings42.4%
30 New York Knicks41.8%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
1 Los Angeles Lakers58.9%
2 Portland Trail Blazers58.6%
3 Denver Nuggets57.9%
4 Chicago Bulls57.1%
5 Indiana Pacers56.3%
6 Dallas Mavericks56.0%
7 Washington Wizards55.7%
8 Phoenix Suns55.5%
9 Miami Heat55.4%
10 Orlando Magic55.1%
11 Atlanta Hawks54.9%
12 Detroit Pistons54.9%
13 Boston Celtics54.1%
14 Houston Rockets53.8%
15 Cleveland Cavaliers53.6%
16 San Antonio Spurs53.4%
17 Memphis Grizzlies53.4%
18 Minnesota Timberwolves53.2%
19 Brooklyn Nets53.0%
20 Utah Jazz52.9%
21 Toronto Raptors52.4%
22 Golden State Warriors52.1%
23 Milwaukee Bucks52.0%
24 Oklahoma City Thunder51.7%
25 Los Angeles Clippers51.6%
26 Philadelphia 76ers51.5%
27 New Orleans Pelicans50.8%
28 New York Knicks50.4%
29 Charlotte Hornets49.9%
30 Sacramento Kings49.3%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
1 Memphis Grizzlies39.7%
2 Golden State Warriors38.9%
3 Los Angeles Clippers38.5%
4 Minnesota Timberwolves37.9%
5 Los Angeles Lakers37.0%
6 Oklahoma City Thunder36.8%
7 Brooklyn Nets36.4%
8 Cleveland Cavaliers36.2%
9 Boston Celtics35.8%
10 Detroit Pistons35.4%
11 Phoenix Suns35.4%
12 Portland Trail Blazers34.9%
13 Toronto Raptors34.9%
14 Charlotte Hornets34.8%
15 Houston Rockets34.7%
16 Dallas Mavericks34.6%
17 Indiana Pacers34.5%
18 Orlando Magic34.4%
19 Washington Wizards34.0%
20 Atlanta Hawks33.8%
21 Utah Jazz33.6%
22 Miami Heat33.4%
23 San Antonio Spurs33.2%
24 Chicago Bulls33.2%
25 Philadelphia 76ers32.8%
26 New Orleans Pelicans32.7%
27 Milwaukee Bucks32.7%
28 Denver Nuggets32.5%
29 New York Knicks31.4%
30 Sacramento Kings29.7%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
1 Memphis Grizzlies83.9%
2 New Orleans Pelicans81.3%
3 Charlotte Hornets81.3%
4 Houston Rockets80.3%
5 San Antonio Spurs80.2%
6 Philadelphia 76ers79.4%
7 Los Angeles Clippers79.1%
8 Los Angeles Lakers79.0%
9 Dallas Mavericks78.9%
10 Washington Wizards78.6%
11 Chicago Bulls78.4%
12 Atlanta Hawks78.2%
13 Utah Jazz78.2%
14 Cleveland Cavaliers77.9%
15 Golden State Warriors77.6%
16 Oklahoma City Thunder77.6%
17 Portland Trail Blazers77.3%
18 Boston Celtics76.1%
19 Brooklyn Nets75.8%
20 New York Knicks75.6%
21 Indiana Pacers75.1%
22 Detroit Pistons75.1%
23 Toronto Raptors74.3%
24 Orlando Magic74.2%
25 Denver Nuggets73.3%
26 Minnesota Timberwolves73.2%
27 Miami Heat73.0%
28 Phoenix Suns72.4%
29 Sacramento Kings72.0%
30 Milwaukee Bucks70.4%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
46.8%+1.1pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#8 of 30 in NBA
✋ 2-pointers
53.2%-0.8pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#18 of 30 in NBA
🌟 3-pointers
37.9%+3.0pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#4 of 30 in NBA
🏹 Free throws
73.2%-3.8pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
7 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#26 of 30 in NBA

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLeague average
109.4
Offensive rating
106.3
108.9
Defensive rating
106.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
35.1%
38.7%
3-point attempt rate
43.2%
58.3%
Assist %
65.5%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 106.3Defence108.9 · 106.3Shooting52.5% · 53.4%3-point %35.5% · 35.1%Ball care13.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.5% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.30
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

Eastern Conference

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 229.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+13444%5-05-2100%WWWWW
2 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+2335%5-25-175%WLWLW
3 Detroit Pistons118373%115.5107.8+8547%3-25-175%WLLWW
4 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1767%3-34-3100%WWWLL
5 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+7324%4-32-320%WWWLL
6 Miami Heat126650%117.2120.1-3571%2-34-325%WLWWW
7 Cleveland Cavaliers136746%116.8115.8+1356%4-22-550%WLLWL
8 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1753%2-33-40%LWLLL
9 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-5344%1-44-3100%LLWWW
10 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2741%2-53-333%WLLWW
11 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-1326%3-41-433%LLLWL
12 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-7541%2-32-650%LLLLL
13 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5647%1-32-50%LWLLW
14 Chicago Bulls112918%114.4127.7-14781%1-41-50%LLLLW
15 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-18344%1-60-6100%LLLLL

Western Conference

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 229.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+17228%5-26-050%WWWWW
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+10361%5-16-1100%WWWWW
3 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+11444%7-13-233%LLWWW
4 Minnesota Timberwolves129375%119.3105.9+16144%5-14-233%WWWWW
5 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+9340%3-26-1100%LLWWW
6 Memphis Grizzlies128467%119.9111.8+9744%2-46-043%LLWLW
7 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+5642%6-12-450%WWWLL
8 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+4917%5-03-540%WWLLL
9 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1247%2-24-2100%LWWLW
10 Dallas Mavericks127558%113.2112.2+1231%5-22-360%LWWWL
11 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4844%5-30-350%WWLWW
12 New Orleans Pelicans134931%116.5125.6-11959%3-51-460%LLLLL
13 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5850%3-30-567%LLWLW
14 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-15341%0-71-40%LLLLL
15 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-14535%1-60-667%LLLLL
Playoffs Play-in
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 229.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-125
113
125
-12
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-102
104
102
+2
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-133
95
133
-38
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
114-109
114
109
+5
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-126
97
126
-29
A13/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
109-139
109
139
-30
H16/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
131-106
131
106
+25
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
115-93
115
93
+22
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
127-101
127
101
+26
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
117-107
117
107
+10
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
133-94
133
94
+39
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-34
22-26
24-37
38-28
29-30
28-20
25-24
28-24
24-23
21-22
24-27
35-30
17-24
18-35
28-39
32-35
22-23
29-28
28-35
29-29
34-30
26-26
20-28
34-25
30-34
17-25
26-32
24-35
27-36
34-38
23-36
25-29
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
225.0Avg total
114.1Scored
110.9Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 229.5
Last 30 (30)115.1112.4227.5+2.860%37%
Last 30 at home (14)116.0107.8223.8+8.271%29%
Last 30 away (16)114.4116.4230.8-2.050%44%
Last 10 (10)118.6107.2225.8+11.470%30%
Last 5 (5)118.4102.0220.4+16.4100%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%17%
vs Similar (11)113.6115.2228.8-1.545%55%
vs Weaker (13)121.3106.2227.5+15.285%31%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 229.5 = the league line
Over 229.537%
n=30
Under 229.563%
n=30
Won the game60%
n=30
Lost the game40%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, NBA games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 229.5)Team points (line 114.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (18)228.3222.9231.7118.3117.7118.6+8.3+12.6+5.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)230.8233.5228.0112.0110.0114.0-6.8-13.5+0.0
vs Weaker (14)227.6218.6232.6120.1120.8119.7+12.6+23.0+6.8
% over line / win44%29%55%72%57%82%67%71%64%
% under line / loss56%71%45%28%43%18%33%29%36%
Scoring dials
Points / game118.3
League avg 113.9 · above by 4.4
Allowed / game110.0
League avg 113.9 · below by 3.9
1st half scored59.4
League avg 57.4 · above by 2.0
3-pointers made13.7
League avg 13.3 · above by 0.4
Free throws made22.2
League avg 20.5 · above by 1.7
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 109.5 pts94%
🔥 70%+n=18
Under 109.5 pts6%
n=18
Over 114.5 pts72%
🔥 70%+n=18
Under 114.5 pts28%
n=18
Over 119.5 pts33%
n=18
Under 119.5 pts67%
n=18
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 219.572%
🔥 70%+n=18
Under 219.528%
n=18
Over 229.544%
n=18
Under 229.556%
n=18
Over 239.517%
n=18
Under 239.583%
🔥 70%+n=18
Result markets
Win67%
n=18
Win by 6+ (-5.5)61%
n=18
Cover +5.578%
🔥 70%+n=18
Win by 10+56%
n=18
Win the 1st half78%
🔥 70%+n=18
Overtime6%
n=18
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
77.2%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.029.4
54.4%
54.0%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.3
33.6%
35.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws25.419.5
76.8%
77.2%19.5
Their opponents take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
McDaniels JadenNBA16030.116.45.93.153.3%39.4%
Dosunmu AyoNBA16027.915.84.13.150.8%46.0%
Kuminga JonathanNBA15027.711.74.92.744.3%39.0%
Ball LaMeloNBA16025.516.33.36.145.5%40.8%
Gobert RudyNBA15026.97.310.01.454.7%0.0%
J. BeringerNBA18017.76.96.40.457.1%-
Lyles TreyNBA17017.45.63.80.944.6%33.3%
Terrence Jr. ShannonNBA14020.110.02.82.939.8%36.7%
Clark JaylenNBA17014.55.12.20.943.3%35.9%
Hyland BonesNBA17013.49.41.52.845.3%40.3%
Edwards AnthonyNBA8028.226.53.42.945.6%41.4%
Williams CodyNBA1309.83.00.90.533.3%17.6%
Pullin ZyonNBA8015.28.62.12.060.5%12.5%
Kenyon Martin Jr.NBA5013.46.61.40.257.9%33.3%
Reeves AntonioNBA4013.06.81.81.070.6%42.9%
N. OmierNBA608.01.83.21.321.4%33.3%
Timme DrewNBA4010.86.01.81.260.0%40.0%
R. ZikarskyNBA309.01.31.70.725.0%0.0%
Freeman EnriqueNBA305.71.31.30.016.7%0.0%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
5.7
16 rated players
Hyland Bones9.4 pts9.4
Reeves Antonio6.8 pts7.6
Ball LaMelo16.3 pts7.1
Dosunmu Ayo15.8 pts6.9
Timme Drew6.0 pts6.9
McDaniels Jaden16.4 pts6.5
J. Beringer6.9 pts6.5
Edwards Anthony26.5 pts6.0
Clark Jaylen5.1 pts5.6
R. Zikarsky1.3 pts5.3
Terrence Jr. Shannon10.0 pts5.1
Pullin Zyon8.6 pts4.9
Lyles Trey5.6 pts4.6
Gobert Rudy7.3 pts4.4
Kuminga Jonathan11.7 pts4.3
N. Omier1.8 pts3.0
Williams Cody3.0 pts0.0
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
Edwards Anthony100%
McDaniels Jaden94%
Ball LaMelo88%
Dosunmu Ayo81%
Kuminga Jonathan67%
Terrence Jr. Shannon50%
Hyland Bones47%
J. Beringer39%
Pullin Zyon38%
Reeves Antonio25%
15+ points
Games with 15 or more points
Edwards Anthony88%
McDaniels Jaden62%
Dosunmu Ayo56%
Ball LaMelo50%
Kuminga Jonathan33%
Timme Drew25%
Hyland Bones24%
Terrence Jr. Shannon21%
Pullin Zyon12%
Williams Cody8%
20+ points
Games with 20 or more points
Edwards Anthony62%
Ball LaMelo44%
Dosunmu Ayo25%
McDaniels Jaden19%
Pullin Zyon12%
Hyland Bones12%
Kuminga Jonathan7%
Gobert Rudy0%
Terrence Jr. Shannon0%
J. Beringer0%
5+ rebounds
Games with 5 or more rebounds
McDaniels Jaden81%
Gobert Rudy80%
J. Beringer78%
Kuminga Jonathan47%
Lyles Trey35%
Dosunmu Ayo31%
Timme Drew25%
Ball LaMelo19%
N. Omier17%
Terrence Jr. Shannon14%
5+ assists
Games with 5 or more assists
Ball LaMelo81%
Kuminga Jonathan27%
Dosunmu Ayo19%
McDaniels Jaden12%
Pullin Zyon12%
Hyland Bones12%
Terrence Jr. Shannon7%
Clark Jaylen6%
Edwards Anthony0%
Gobert Rudy0%
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
Edwards Anthony75%
Ball LaMelo75%
Kuminga Jonathan53%
McDaniels Jaden50%
Dosunmu Ayo44%
Terrence Jr. Shannon43%
Hyland Bones41%
Reeves Antonio25%
Clark Jaylen24%
Lyles Trey18%
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
Edwards Anthony100%
McDaniels Jaden88%
Ball LaMelo81%
Dosunmu Ayo62%
Kuminga Jonathan60%
Gobert Rudy53%
Terrence Jr. Shannon29%
Pullin Zyon25%
Timme Drew25%
Hyland Bones24%
3+ three-pointers
Games with 3 or more threes made
Ball LaMelo56%
Edwards Anthony50%
Hyland Bones35%
Dosunmu Ayo31%
Terrence Jr. Shannon21%
Kuminga Jonathan20%
McDaniels Jaden12%
Clark Jaylen6%
Gobert Rudy0%
J. Beringer0%
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Pullin Zyon61%
J. Beringer57%
Gobert Rudy55%
McDaniels Jaden53%
Dosunmu Ayo51%
Edwards Anthony46%
Ball LaMelo45%
Hyland Bones45%
Lyles Trey45%
Kuminga Jonathan44%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Pullin Zyon73%
Lyles Trey70%
McDaniels Jaden60%
J. Beringer57%
Gobert Rudy57%
Clark Jaylen54%
Ball LaMelo53%
Hyland Bones53%
Dosunmu Ayo53%
Edwards Anthony49%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Dosunmu Ayo46%
Edwards Anthony41%
Ball LaMelo41%
Hyland Bones40%
McDaniels Jaden39%
Kuminga Jonathan39%
Terrence Jr. Shannon37%
Clark Jaylen36%
Lyles Trey33%
Williams Cody18%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
McDaniels Jaden88%
Dosunmu Ayo87%
Hyland Bones86%
Ball LaMelo83%
Edwards Anthony83%
Terrence Jr. Shannon75%
Williams Cody75%
Pullin Zyon73%
J. Beringer69%
Clark Jaylen64%
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
66%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
65-34favourite won / lost
Across 99 games of Minnesota Timberwolves, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 66% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Minnesota Timberwolves
v
Chicago Bulls
Sun 15 Nov, 01:00 UTC
Pythia: Minnesota Timberwolves 90%
home 90%away 10%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Minnesota Timberwolves v Chicago Bulls Sun 15 Nov
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
1st half: Over 109.578.9%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+16.3pp
Q1: Chicago Bulls over 23.575.9%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+12.9pp
1st half: Minnesota Timberwolves over 59.570.9%1.58
1xBet
1.63
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.52		--+12.5pp
Minnesota Timberwolves -682.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+11.8pp
2nd half: Minnesota Timberwolves win78.8%1.40
Betano
1.40		----+11.0pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 200 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=94		2023-24
n=102		2024-25
n=102		2025-26
n=99		2026-27
n=18		Trend
Points scored / game115.1112.1113.8116.8118.3
Points allowed / game115.1105.9109.3114.9110.0
Game total230.2218.0223.1231.6228.3
Over 219.568%45%58%73%72%
Over 229.548%23%38%52%44%
Over 239.529%12%17%31%17%
Team points over 114.545%38%50%55%72%
Win %51%68%59%57%67%
Home win %53%68%62%62%71%
Away win %49%67%56%51%64%
Margin / game-0.1+6.2+4.5+1.9+8.3
Won by 10+19%37%37%32%56%
Close games won (5 or fewer)57%54%48%50%33%
Overtime %7%5%5%6%6%
1st half total115.2109.6109.3113.5114.2
Won the 1st half54%54%52%48%78%
3-point attempt rate38%39%45%41%42%
Effective FG%56%56%55%55%55%
Pace103.698.699.7103.0101.3
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
13 NovMinnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks NBA133-94W
09 NovMinnesota Timberwolves v Utah Jazz NBA115-100W
07 NovNew Orleans Pelicans v Minnesota Timberwolves NBA109-115W
05 NovHouston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves NBA107-117W
03 NovMinnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks NBA112-100W
01 NovSan Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves NBA121-111L
31 OctMinnesota Timberwolves v Los Angeles Clippers NBA127-101W
29 OctMinnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors NBA114-119L
26 OctCleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves NBA127-125 OTL
25 OctMinnesota Timberwolves v Toronto Raptors NBA117-94W
Upcoming games
01:00SunMinnesota Timberwolves v Chicago Bulls90%10%MIN1.11CHI7.9001:00TueMinnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers63%37%MIN-POR-01:00WedMinnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers65%35%MIN-POR-01:00FriMinnesota Timberwolves v New York Knicks66%34%MIN-NYK-01:00SunMinnesota Timberwolves v Memphis Grizzlies73%27%MIN-MEM-00:30TueMinnesota Timberwolves v Brooklyn Nets84%16%MIN-BKN-00:30ThuOklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolvesno forecast yetOKC-MIN-01:30SatMinnesota Timberwolves v Memphis Grizzliesno forecast yetMIN-MEM-02:00MonSacramento Kings v Minnesota Timberwolvesno forecast yetSAC-MIN-03:00WedPortland Trail Blazers v Minnesota Timberwolvesno forecast yetPOR-MIN-03:30ThuLos Angeles Clippers v Minnesota Timberwolvesno forecast yetLAC-MIN-02:00SunPhoenix Suns v Minnesota Timberwolvesno forecast yetPHX-MIN-
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.