PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in
Teams › NBA › Golden State Warriors← All teams

Golden State Warriors

USA NBA 8-5 · 7/15 Western Conference
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WWWWWWWWLL
Points / game
115.8
allowed 110.5
Over 229.5
42%
game total, 19 games
Game total
226.3
both teams per game
Win rate
63%
12-7
Margin / game
+5.3
points
1st half
56.4
points scored / game
Overtime
5%
games to overtime
Sections
Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors 2026-27 season stands at 8-4 overall, mirroring their 8-4 NBA record and placing them 6th in a 15-team table. After a strong 4-1 run in their last five, the Warriors lost 108-115 to the Houston Rockets away on 11 November before securing home victories 138-87 over the New Orleans Pelicans on 9 November and 126-119 over the Orlando Magic on 7 November. Their power rating shows a net rating of 4.5, ranking 6th out of 30 teams and moving up from 7th a few games ago. At home they are 6-1, averaging 120.6 points for and 105.3 against, while on the road they are 2-3, with 117.6 points for and 120.2 against. Team leaders include Stephen Curry with 22.9 points per game, Y. Lendeborg pulling down 8.2 rebounds, and Draymond Green dishing 7.1 assists. The next outing is an away game against the New Orleans Pelicans on 17 November, where Pythia projects a 56% win probability.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Golden State Warriors stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the NBA (this season) Golden State Warriors score 115.8 points a game and allow 110.5 across 19 games – 42% of their games go over 229.5 and they clear 114.5 team points in 58%. They win 63% (90% at home, 33% away), by +5.3 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

Golden State WarriorsLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
116-117
116
117
-1
112avg 105
H06/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
110-105
110
105
+5
104avg 105
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
103-119
103
119
-16
98avg 105
H10/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
118-124
118
124
-6
115avg 105
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
110-115
110
115
-5
102avg 105
A13/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
126-121
126
121
+5
122avg 105
A16/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
91avg 105
A18/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-127
105
127
-22
72avg 105
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
108-111
108
111
-3
69avg 105
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
122-131
122
131
-9
75avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 105
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 105
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 105
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 105
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
116-113
116
113
+3
92avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
120-100
120
100
+20
126avg 105
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
128avg 105
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
138-87
138
87
+51
144avg 105
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-115
108
115
-7
97avg 105
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
85-123
85
123
-38
69avg 105
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
22-29
29-37
34-25
25-26
41-27
19-28
25-24
23-28
26-25
24-29
30-37
27-32
24-31
38-19
29-42
26-25
22-27
33-31
29-32
22-31
31-30
30-28
43-32
15-33
30-17
24-28
27-33
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
19-31
32-26
42-36
23-20
26-29
27-24
38-23
29-24
31-19
26-22
20-37
33-32
35-20
37-23
40-22
26-22
20-35
31-21
28-29
29-30
14-38
19-25
27-34
25-26
228.4Avg total
114.8Scored
113.7Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
27.7
29.5
-1.8
won 42%
Q2
28.6
25.8
+2.8
won 58%
Q3
30.6
28.7
+1.9
won 63%
Q4
27.9
25.9
+2.1
won 63%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 42% of 19 games, the 2nd half in 58%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=10AWAY n=9
120.7
Points / game
110.3
105.9
Allowed / game
115.6
226.6
Game total
225.9
30%
Over 229.5
56%
90%
Win %
33%
+14.8
Margin
-5.2
61.4
1st half scored
50.8
60%
Won the 1st half
22%
60%
Won by 10+
22%
Points scored per game
5%11%16%21%5%90-940%95-9911%100-10416%105-10911%110-11416%115-11921%120-12411%125-1295%130-1345%135-139
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
7%13%20%26%11%85-890%90-9411%95-9911%100-1045%105-10926%110-11416%115-11911%120-12411%125-129
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 113.9 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)114.2115.8116.9111.1111.8120.047%
vs Stronger (8)104.2118.4114.5122.0100.8117.212%
vs Similar (10)111.5115.7108.5110.8113.5119.030%
vs Weaker (12)123.0114.2121.8108.5125.5125.883%
Over 229.5 (game total)47% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
10thof 3063%
Attack: points scored per game
14thof 30115.8
Defence: points allowed per game
9thof 30110.5
Game total: both teams' points per game
19thof 30226.3
Ranked against the 30 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏆 Win %
this season
1 Boston Celtics88%
2 Houston Rockets75%
3 Detroit Pistons73%
4 Portland Trail Blazers73%
5 Los Angeles Lakers72%
6 San Antonio Spurs72%
7 Memphis Grizzlies69%
8 Minnesota Timberwolves67%
9 Philadelphia 76ers65%
10 Golden State Warriors63%
11 Atlanta Hawks61%
12 Denver Nuggets60%
13 Miami Heat53%
14 Dallas Mavericks50%
15 Oklahoma City Thunder50%
16 Orlando Magic50%
17 Cleveland Cavaliers44%
18 New Orleans Pelicans41%
19 New York Knicks41%
20 Toronto Raptors41%
21 Brooklyn Nets40%
22 Phoenix Suns38%
23 Los Angeles Clippers36%
24 Indiana Pacers35%
25 Washington Wizards35%
26 Charlotte Hornets31%
27 Chicago Bulls31%
28 Utah Jazz24%
29 Milwaukee Bucks17%
30 Sacramento Kings6%
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
1 Miami Heat120.4
2 Atlanta Hawks119.4
3 Memphis Grizzlies119.3
4 Portland Trail Blazers119.1
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118.3
6 San Antonio Spurs118.1
7 Los Angeles Lakers117.9
8 Boston Celtics117.4
9 Houston Rockets117.2
10 Chicago Bulls116.8
11 Toronto Raptors116.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers116.6
13 Detroit Pistons116.3
14 Golden State Warriors115.8
15 New Orleans Pelicans115.1
16 Denver Nuggets114.9
17 Brooklyn Nets113.9
18 Dallas Mavericks113.4
19 Indiana Pacers113.2
20 Orlando Magic112.2
21 Los Angeles Clippers111.9
22 Philadelphia 76ers111.7
23 Phoenix Suns110.9
24 Oklahoma City Thunder110.8
25 Washington Wizards110.8
26 Utah Jazz108.8
27 New York Knicks108.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks107.1
29 Sacramento Kings106.6
30 Charlotte Hornets98.1
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
1 Boston Celtics104.3
2 San Antonio Spurs106.9
3 Houston Rockets108.4
4 Detroit Pistons109.2
5 New York Knicks109.7
6 Charlotte Hornets109.9
7 Minnesota Timberwolves110.0
8 Oklahoma City Thunder110.1
9 Golden State Warriors110.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies111.6
11 Philadelphia 76ers111.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers112.4
13 Los Angeles Lakers113.6
14 Denver Nuggets113.6
15 Orlando Magic113.8
16 Toronto Raptors114.0
17 Indiana Pacers114.4
18 Dallas Mavericks114.5
19 Washington Wizards115.3
20 Brooklyn Nets115.5
21 Los Angeles Clippers115.6
22 Phoenix Suns115.6
23 Utah Jazz116.5
24 Cleveland Cavaliers116.6
25 Atlanta Hawks116.9
26 Sacramento Kings119.9
27 Milwaukee Bucks120.1
28 Miami Heat120.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans122.0
30 Chicago Bulls123.7
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
1 Miami Heat241.1
2 Chicago Bulls240.4
3 New Orleans Pelicans237.1
4 Atlanta Hawks236.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers233.2
6 Portland Trail Blazers231.5
7 Los Angeles Lakers231.4
8 Memphis Grizzlies230.9
9 Toronto Raptors230.6
10 Brooklyn Nets229.4
11 Denver Nuggets228.5
12 Minnesota Timberwolves228.3
13 Dallas Mavericks227.9
14 Indiana Pacers227.6
15 Los Angeles Clippers227.5
16 Milwaukee Bucks227.2
17 Sacramento Kings226.5
18 Phoenix Suns226.5
19 Golden State Warriors226.3
20 Washington Wizards226.1
21 Orlando Magic226.0
22 Houston Rockets225.6
23 Detroit Pistons225.5
24 Utah Jazz225.4
25 San Antonio Spurs225.0
26 Philadelphia 76ers223.6
27 Boston Celtics221.7
28 Oklahoma City Thunder220.8
29 New York Knicks218.4
30 Charlotte Hornets208.0
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
16thof 3045.9%
2-point accuracy
22ndof 3052.1%
3-point accuracy
2ndof 3038.9%
Free-throw accuracy
15thof 3077.6%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
1 Los Angeles Lakers48.9%
2 Denver Nuggets48.3%
3 Washington Wizards47.6%
4 Memphis Grizzlies47.4%
5 Dallas Mavericks47.1%
6 Indiana Pacers47.0%
7 Phoenix Suns46.8%
8 Minnesota Timberwolves46.8%
9 Detroit Pistons46.7%
10 Cleveland Cavaliers46.5%
11 Houston Rockets46.4%
12 Portland Trail Blazers46.4%
13 Chicago Bulls46.3%
14 Oklahoma City Thunder46.1%
15 Los Angeles Clippers46.0%
16 Golden State Warriors45.9%
17 Miami Heat45.8%
18 Atlanta Hawks45.4%
19 Boston Celtics45.3%
20 Orlando Magic45.3%
21 Brooklyn Nets45.0%
22 San Antonio Spurs45.0%
23 Toronto Raptors44.9%
24 Utah Jazz44.8%
25 New Orleans Pelicans44.5%
26 Philadelphia 76ers44.0%
27 Milwaukee Bucks42.9%
28 Charlotte Hornets42.4%
29 Sacramento Kings42.4%
30 New York Knicks41.8%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
1 Los Angeles Lakers58.9%
2 Portland Trail Blazers58.6%
3 Denver Nuggets57.9%
4 Chicago Bulls57.1%
5 Indiana Pacers56.3%
6 Dallas Mavericks56.0%
7 Washington Wizards55.7%
8 Phoenix Suns55.5%
9 Miami Heat55.4%
10 Orlando Magic55.1%
11 Atlanta Hawks54.9%
12 Detroit Pistons54.9%
13 Boston Celtics54.1%
14 Houston Rockets53.8%
15 Cleveland Cavaliers53.6%
16 San Antonio Spurs53.4%
17 Memphis Grizzlies53.4%
18 Minnesota Timberwolves53.2%
19 Brooklyn Nets53.0%
20 Utah Jazz52.9%
21 Toronto Raptors52.4%
22 Golden State Warriors52.1%
23 Milwaukee Bucks52.0%
24 Oklahoma City Thunder51.7%
25 Los Angeles Clippers51.6%
26 Philadelphia 76ers51.5%
27 New Orleans Pelicans50.8%
28 New York Knicks50.4%
29 Charlotte Hornets49.9%
30 Sacramento Kings49.3%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
1 Memphis Grizzlies39.7%
2 Golden State Warriors38.9%
3 Los Angeles Clippers38.5%
4 Minnesota Timberwolves37.9%
5 Los Angeles Lakers37.0%
6 Oklahoma City Thunder36.8%
7 Brooklyn Nets36.4%
8 Cleveland Cavaliers36.2%
9 Boston Celtics35.8%
10 Detroit Pistons35.4%
11 Phoenix Suns35.4%
12 Portland Trail Blazers34.9%
13 Toronto Raptors34.9%
14 Charlotte Hornets34.8%
15 Houston Rockets34.7%
16 Dallas Mavericks34.6%
17 Indiana Pacers34.5%
18 Orlando Magic34.4%
19 Washington Wizards34.0%
20 Atlanta Hawks33.8%
21 Utah Jazz33.6%
22 Miami Heat33.4%
23 San Antonio Spurs33.2%
24 Chicago Bulls33.2%
25 Philadelphia 76ers32.8%
26 New Orleans Pelicans32.7%
27 Milwaukee Bucks32.7%
28 Denver Nuggets32.5%
29 New York Knicks31.4%
30 Sacramento Kings29.7%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
1 Memphis Grizzlies83.9%
2 New Orleans Pelicans81.3%
3 Charlotte Hornets81.3%
4 Houston Rockets80.3%
5 San Antonio Spurs80.2%
6 Philadelphia 76ers79.4%
7 Los Angeles Clippers79.1%
8 Los Angeles Lakers79.0%
9 Dallas Mavericks78.9%
10 Washington Wizards78.6%
11 Chicago Bulls78.4%
12 Atlanta Hawks78.2%
13 Utah Jazz78.2%
14 Cleveland Cavaliers77.9%
15 Golden State Warriors77.6%
16 Oklahoma City Thunder77.6%
17 Portland Trail Blazers77.3%
18 Boston Celtics76.1%
19 Brooklyn Nets75.8%
20 New York Knicks75.6%
21 Indiana Pacers75.1%
22 Detroit Pistons75.1%
23 Toronto Raptors74.3%
24 Orlando Magic74.2%
25 Denver Nuggets73.3%
26 Minnesota Timberwolves73.2%
27 Miami Heat73.0%
28 Phoenix Suns72.4%
29 Sacramento Kings72.0%
30 Milwaukee Bucks70.4%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
45.9%+0.2pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#16 of 30 in NBA
✋ 2-pointers
52.1%-1.8pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#22 of 30 in NBA
🌟 3-pointers
38.9%+4.1pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#2 of 30 in NBA
🏹 Free throws
77.6%+0.6pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#15 of 30 in NBA

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State WarriorsLeague average
111.8
Offensive rating
106.3
114.8
Defensive rating
106.3
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.3%
3-point %
35.1%
47.0%
3-point attempt rate
43.2%
69.4%
Assist %
65.5%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 106.3Defence114.8 · 106.3Shooting55.2% · 53.4%3-point %36.3% · 35.1%Ball care15.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.30
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

Eastern Conference

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 229.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+13444%5-05-2100%WWWWW
2 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+2335%5-25-175%WLWLW
3 Detroit Pistons118373%115.5107.8+8547%3-25-175%WLLWW
4 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1767%3-34-3100%WWWLL
5 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+7324%4-32-320%WWWLL
6 Miami Heat126650%117.2120.1-3571%2-34-325%WLWWW
7 Cleveland Cavaliers136746%116.8115.8+1356%4-22-550%WLLWL
8 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1753%2-33-40%LWLLL
9 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-5344%1-44-3100%LLWWW
10 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2741%2-53-333%WLLWW
11 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-1326%3-41-433%LLLWL
12 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-7541%2-32-650%LLLLL
13 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5647%1-32-50%LWLLW
14 Chicago Bulls112918%114.4127.7-14781%1-41-50%LLLLW
15 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-18344%1-60-6100%LLLLL

Western Conference

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 229.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+17228%5-26-050%WWWWW
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+10361%5-16-1100%WWWWW
3 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+11444%7-13-233%LLWWW
4 Minnesota Timberwolves129375%119.3105.9+16144%5-14-233%WWWWW
5 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+9340%3-26-1100%LLWWW
6 Memphis Grizzlies128467%119.9111.8+9744%2-46-043%LLWLW
7 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+5642%6-12-450%WWWLL
8 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+4917%5-03-540%WWLLL
9 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1247%2-24-2100%LWWLW
10 Dallas Mavericks127558%113.2112.2+1231%5-22-360%LWWWL
11 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4844%5-30-350%WWLWW
12 New Orleans Pelicans134931%116.5125.6-11959%3-51-460%LLLLL
13 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5850%3-30-567%LLWLW
14 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-15341%0-71-40%LLLLL
15 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-14535%1-60-667%LLLLL
Playoffs Play-in
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 229.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
116-117
116
117
-1
H06/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
110-105
110
105
+5
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
103-119
103
119
-16
H10/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
118-124
118
124
-6
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
110-115
110
115
-5
A13/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
126-121
126
121
+5
A16/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
A18/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-127
105
127
-22
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
108-111
108
111
-3
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
122-131
122
131
-9
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
134-114
134
114
+20
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
124-112
124
112
+12
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
116-113
116
113
+3
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
120-100
120
100
+20
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
138-87
138
87
+51
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-115
108
115
-7
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
85-123
85
123
-38
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
22-29
29-37
34-25
25-26
41-27
19-28
25-24
23-28
26-25
24-29
30-37
27-32
24-31
38-19
29-42
26-25
22-27
33-31
29-32
22-31
31-30
30-28
43-32
15-33
30-17
24-28
27-33
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
19-31
32-26
42-36
23-20
26-29
27-24
38-23
29-24
31-19
26-22
20-37
33-32
35-20
37-23
40-22
26-22
20-35
31-21
28-29
29-30
14-38
19-25
27-34
25-26
228.4Avg total
114.8Scored
113.7Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 229.5
Last 30 (30)114.2115.8230.0-1.747%47%
Last 30 at home (14)116.9111.1228.0+5.964%36%
Last 30 away (16)111.8120.0231.8-8.231%56%
Last 10 (10)118.2109.2227.4+9.080%40%
Last 5 (5)115.4108.8224.2+6.660%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)104.2118.4222.6-14.112%38%
vs Similar (10)111.5115.7227.2-4.230%40%
vs Weaker (12)123.0114.2237.2+8.883%58%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 229.5 = the league line
Over 229.547%
n=30
Under 229.553%
n=30
Won the game47%
n=30
Lost the game53%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, NBA games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 229.5)Team points (line 114.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (19)226.3226.6225.9115.8120.7110.3+5.3+14.8-5.2
vs Stronger (1)208.0-208.085.0-85.0-38.0--38.0
vs Similar (9)223.7223.5223.8113.7118.0110.2+3.7+12.5-3.4
vs Weaker (9)230.9228.7235.3121.3122.5119.0+11.8+16.3+2.7
% over line / win42%30%56%58%70%44%63%90%33%
% under line / loss58%70%44%42%30%56%37%10%67%
Scoring dials
Points / game115.8
League avg 113.9 · above by 1.9
Allowed / game110.5
League avg 113.9 · below by 3.4
1st half scored56.4
League avg 57.4 · below by 1.0
3-pointers made15.8
League avg 13.3 · above by 2.5
Free throws made20.3
League avg 20.5 · below by 0.2
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 109.5 pts68%
n=19
Under 109.5 pts32%
n=19
Over 114.5 pts58%
n=19
Under 114.5 pts42%
n=19
Over 119.5 pts42%
n=19
Under 119.5 pts58%
n=19
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 219.568%
n=19
Under 219.532%
n=19
Over 229.542%
n=19
Under 229.558%
n=19
Over 239.526%
n=19
Under 239.574%
🔥 70%+n=19
Result markets
Win63%
n=19
Win by 6+ (-5.5)47%
n=19
Cover +5.579%
🔥 70%+n=19
Win by 10+42%
n=19
Win the 1st half42%
n=19
Overtime5%
n=19
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.716.7
41.0%
35.1%50.1
🏀 Free throws23.819.0
79.8%
77.2%19.0
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Golden State Warriors: 113.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.027.6
56.3%
54.0%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.413.7
34.8%
35.1%41.1
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
77.2%16.9
Their opponents take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Podziemski BrandinNBA15030.116.34.73.547.0%39.6%
Melton De'AnthonyNBA17021.28.63.42.237.9%40.0%
Curry StephenNBA15023.722.93.13.748.8%44.8%
Green DraymondNBA14024.63.44.97.144.7%33.3%
Niang GeorgesNBA17019.47.92.71.242.1%33.3%
W. RichardNBA17017.65.91.90.845.8%48.7%
Santos GuiNBA14019.56.93.91.445.1%25.9%
Williams BrandonNBA15016.411.11.92.345.9%30.6%
Horford AlNBA13017.85.33.62.036.8%35.4%
Bassey CharlesNBA16013.97.86.00.767.1%0.0%
II Gary PaytonNBA15014.34.92.10.548.5%19.2%
Y. LendeborgNBA4032.522.08.23.255.2%50.0%
L.J. CryerNBA1408.24.10.30.937.0%31.6%
Leons MalevyNBA1208.41.81.40.324.2%16.7%
Terry DalenNBA5014.26.43.42.848.0%50.0%
M. KellyNBA3013.710.72.32.350.0%53.3%
G. IkeNBA305.72.72.01.050.0%0.0%
T. BurtonNBA105.00.00.00.00.0%-
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.5
13 rated players
Bassey Charles7.9 pts8.5
W. Richard5.9 pts7.4
Curry Stephen22.9 pts7.1
Niang Georges7.7 pts6.4
L.J. Cryer5.1 pts5.3
Terry Dalen6.4 pts4.7
Melton De'Anthony8.6 pts4.3
Podziemski Brandin15.8 pts3.9
Green Draymond3.4 pts3.8
Horford Al4.9 pts3.2
Leons Malevy2.1 pts3.2
II Gary Payton4.8 pts2.6
Williams Brandon11.1 pts2.3
Santos Gui6.9 pts0.9
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
Curry Stephen87%
Y. Lendeborg80%
Podziemski Brandin75%
Williams Brandon60%
Bassey Charles35%
Melton De'Anthony33%
Niang Georges33%
M. Kelly33%
Santos Gui27%
Terry Dalen20%
15+ points
Games with 15 or more points
Y. Lendeborg80%
Curry Stephen73%
Podziemski Brandin69%
M. Kelly33%
Williams Brandon27%
Melton De'Anthony22%
Terry Dalen20%
Horford Al7%
Santos Gui7%
L.J. Cryer7%
20+ points
Games with 20 or more points
Curry Stephen67%
Y. Lendeborg60%
M. Kelly33%
Podziemski Brandin25%
Terry Dalen20%
Melton De'Anthony11%
Williams Brandon7%
L.J. Cryer7%
Green Draymond0%
Santos Gui0%
5+ rebounds
Games with 5 or more rebounds
Y. Lendeborg100%
Bassey Charles65%
Podziemski Brandin56%
Green Draymond47%
Horford Al43%
Terry Dalen40%
Melton De'Anthony33%
Santos Gui33%
M. Kelly33%
Curry Stephen27%
5+ assists
Games with 5 or more assists
Green Draymond80%
Curry Stephen40%
M. Kelly33%
Podziemski Brandin25%
Y. Lendeborg20%
Terry Dalen20%
Horford Al7%
Williams Brandon7%
L.J. Cryer7%
Melton De'Anthony6%
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
Curry Stephen93%
Podziemski Brandin81%
M. Kelly67%
Y. Lendeborg60%
Melton De'Anthony44%
Niang Georges33%
W. Richard33%
L.J. Cryer33%
Horford Al29%
Williams Brandon27%
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
Y. Lendeborg80%
Curry Stephen73%
Podziemski Brandin69%
Williams Brandon33%
M. Kelly33%
Bassey Charles29%
Melton De'Anthony22%
Terry Dalen20%
Green Draymond13%
Niang Georges11%
3+ three-pointers
Games with 3 or more threes made
Curry Stephen73%
Podziemski Brandin56%
M. Kelly33%
Melton De'Anthony28%
Niang Georges22%
Horford Al21%
Y. Lendeborg20%
Terry Dalen20%
W. Richard17%
L.J. Cryer13%
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Bassey Charles67%
Curry Stephen49%
II Gary Payton48%
Y. Lendeborg46%
W. Richard46%
Williams Brandon46%
Podziemski Brandin46%
Santos Gui44%
Green Draymond44%
Niang Georges42%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Bassey Charles69%
II Gary Payton67%
Santos Gui55%
Curry Stephen55%
Niang Georges54%
Green Draymond54%
Podziemski Brandin53%
Williams Brandon52%
Y. Lendeborg47%
W. Richard43%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
M. Kelly53%
W. Richard49%
Y. Lendeborg45%
Curry Stephen45%
Podziemski Brandin40%
Melton De'Anthony40%
L.J. Cryer37%
Horford Al35%
Niang Georges34%
Williams Brandon31%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Curry Stephen98%
W. Richard89%
Williams Brandon85%
Melton De'Anthony83%
Niang Georges80%
Bassey Charles74%
Santos Gui70%
Podziemski Brandin68%
Y. Lendeborg67%
Green Draymond62%
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
63%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
56-33favourite won / lost
Across 89 games of Golden State Warriors, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 63% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
New Orleans Pelicans
v
Golden State Warriors
Tue 17 Nov, 01:00 UTC
Pythia: Golden State Warriors 56%
home 44%away 56%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: New Orleans Pelicans v Golden State Warriors Tue 17 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=100		2023-24
n=88		2024-25
n=100		2025-26
n=89		2026-27
n=19		Trend
Points scored / game117.9117.7112.8114.6115.8
Points allowed / game116.0115.3109.3115.1110.5
Game total233.9233.0222.1229.7226.3
Over 219.579%76%55%67%68%
Over 229.560%59%40%53%42%
Over 239.537%30%19%33%26%
Team points over 114.563%59%46%51%58%
Win %53%57%60%46%63%
Home win %76%52%60%55%90%
Away win %30%61%60%38%33%
Margin / game+1.9+2.4+3.5-0.5+5.3
Won by 10+29%28%34%22%42%
Close games won (5 or fewer)40%45%60%44%50%
Overtime %5%7%2%6%5%
1st half total118.8115.1108.6113.0111.7
Won the 1st half55%57%47%47%42%
3-point attempt rate47%42%47%50%47%
Effective FG%56%56%54%55%55%
Pace104.2102.3100.2101.6101.8
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
14 NovSan Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors NBA123-85L
12 NovHouston Rockets v Golden State Warriors NBA115-108L
10 NovGolden State Warriors v New Orleans Pelicans NBA138-87W
08 NovGolden State Warriors v Orlando Magic NBA126-119 OTW
06 NovGolden State Warriors v Miami Heat NBA120-100W
03 NovGolden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns NBA116-113W
02 NovGolden State Warriors v Los Angeles Clippers NBA124-112W
31 OctGolden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers NBA112-95W
29 OctMinnesota Timberwolves v Golden State Warriors NBA114-119W
27 OctDenver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors NBA114-134W
Upcoming games
01:00TueNew Orleans Pelicans v Golden State Warriors44%56%NOP-GSW-02:30ThuDallas Mavericks v Golden State Warriors44%56%DAL-GSW-01:00FriMemphis Grizzlies v Golden State Warriors43%57%MEM-GSW-01:30MonGolden State Warriors v Boston Celtics45%55%GSW-BOS-03:00ThuGolden State Warriors v Sacramento Kingsno forecast yetGSW-SAC-02:30SatPortland Trail Blazers v Golden State Warriorsno forecast yetPOR-GSW-01:30MonGolden State Warriors v Los Angeles Clippersno forecast yetGSW-LAC-04:00WedGolden State Warriors v Utah Jazzno forecast yetGSW-UTA-01:00SunCleveland Cavaliers v Golden State Warriorsno forecast yetCLE-GSW-
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.