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Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#10
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Golden State Warriors
15 Jan 2027
ATL v GSW
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ATL126
GSW110
22 Mar 2025
ATL124
GSW115
03 Feb 2024
ATL141
GSW134
17 Mar 2023
ATL127
GSW119
25 Mar 2022
ATL121
GSW110
04 Apr 2021
ATL117
GSW111
02 Dec 2019
ATL104
GSW79
03 Dec 2018
ATL111
GSW128
02 Mar 2018
ATL109
GSW114
06 Mar 2017
ATL111
GSW119
22 Feb 2016
ATL92
GSW102
12 Jul 2015
ATL71
GSW70
06 Feb 2015
ATL124
GSW116
03 Jan 2014
ATL100
GSW101
15 Dec 2012
ATL93
GSW115
29 Feb 2012
ATL82
GSW85
29 Dec 2010
ATL103
GSW93
05 Mar 2010
ATL127
GSW122
19 Dec 2008
ATL115
GSW99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Atlanta Hawks
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 117.1
116.6▼ 0.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 114.1
112.4▼ 1.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
54%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 28.6
32.5▲ 3.9
🔥 Form · Golden State Warriors
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 113.9
119.0▲ 5.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.7
113.0▼ 2.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
62%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 28.6
26.0▼ 2.6
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
123-116
123
116
+7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
119-117
119
117
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
113-110
113
110
+3
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
135-111
135
111
+24
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
132-125
132
125
+7
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
128-81
128
81
+47
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
114-121
114
121
-7
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-120
110
120
-10
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
117-129
117
129
-12
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
114-111
114
111
+3
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-39
42-30
31-26
30-21
31-32
31-28
34-26
23-31
29-28
27-21
23-30
34-31
39-34
34-20
29-24
33-33
28-33
44-29
27-38
33-25
33-20
35-23
29-19
31-19
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
234.6Avg total
120.5Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)120.7115.7236.5+5.064%
Season at home (5)116.2120.6236.8-4.440%
Season away (6)124.5111.7236.2+12.883%
Last 10 (10)120.5114.1234.6+6.470%
Last 5 (5)116.6112.4229.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)106.6117.5224.1-10.929%
vs Similar ◀ (6)122.7115.7238.3+7.067%
vs Weaker (10)126.8111.1237.9+15.790%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
118-123
118
123
-5
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
111-106
111
106
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
128-118
128
118
+10
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
105-127
105
127
-22
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
108-111
108
111
-3
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
122-131
122
131
-9
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
134-114
134
114
+20
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
19-21
36-29
32-37
24-25
37-31
28-25
22-25
29-29
21-34
22-13
29-13
35-26
32-32
38-33
23-27
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
228.6Avg total
115.8Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.2110.8226.1+4.458%
Season at home (5)116.6105.6222.2+11.080%
Season away (7)114.3114.6228.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)115.8112.8228.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.0232.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.3116.6221.9-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.5113.4225.9-0.846%
vs Weaker (10)119.8116.4236.2+3.470%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Atlanta HawksGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A09/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A10/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H12/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A17/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A21/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
68-43
68
43
+25
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
118.1Avg total
60.9Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.4118.3+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.557.8113.3-2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)63.659.0122.6+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)60.957.2118.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)56.855.6112.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)54.961.1115.9-6.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)64.360.3124.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker (10)64.153.6117.7+10.590%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.7Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.657.2112.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.756.9115.6+1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)53.657.3110.9-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)56.757.4114.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.454.8112.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.156.6108.7-4.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.456.2111.6-0.823%-
vs Weaker (10)58.458.8117.2-0.450%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.726.9
53.1%
54.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.314.7
33.9%
34.9%44.1
🏀 Free throws25.219.6
77.8%
76.2%19.6
They take 94.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.2
51.8%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
34.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.1
78.1%
76.2%22.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWWWWWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWLLLWWWL
#6
League position
#10
-4.1
Net rating
+2.9
105.1
Offensive rating
102.7
109.3
Defensive rating
99.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
7.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.9%
3-point %
38.1%
70.2%
Assist %
68.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 102.7Defence109.3 · 99.8Shooting52.1% · 54.3%3-point %33.9% · 38.1%Ball care12.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 7.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121
23/10/26ACharlotte Hornets128-81
21/10/26AOrlando Magic132-125
17/10/26ADallas Mavericks135-111
12/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder113-110
10/10/26AIndiana Pacers119-117
09/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
22/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-127
17/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-118
14/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
11/10/26HSacramento Kings111-106
08/10/26APortland Trail Blazers118-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%40%83%
Points / game120.7116.2124.5
Allowed / game115.7120.6111.7
Point differential+5.0-4.4+12.8
Avg total236.5236.8236.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game115.2116.6114.3
Allowed / game110.8105.6114.6
Point differential+4.4+11.0-0.3
Avg total226.1222.2228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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