Atyrau 2 vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 86-55

27-7 20-17 20-14 19-17

Position#6

Record12-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game69.1

Atyrau 2 🏆

Pavlodar

Position#14

Record1-10

FormLLLLW

Points / game53.0

Allowed / game90.1

Higher League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Atyrau 2 v Pavlodar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau 2 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atyrau 2

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 Form2

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

81-80 OT

65avg 73

A09/11

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

56-78

-22

46avg 73

H10/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

71-60

+11

63avg 73

A11/11

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

92-51

+41

84avg 73

A12/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

57-99

-42

no box

A22/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

72-71

59avg 73

H23/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

72-95

-23

62avg 73

A24/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

69-63

no box

H25/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

92-35

+57

97avg 73

H15/12

Higher League

Karaganda

80-72

77avg 73

A16/12

Higher League

22-19

14-23

15-20

22-11

17-15

16-16

15-27

8-20

22-11

14-13

16-17

19-19

27-11

23-11

18-20

24-9

15-25

15-27

14-31

13-16

20-15

20-25

17-17

15-14

15-22

29-26

17-19

11-28

17-18

13-15

18-21

21-9

27-11

23-11

20-8

22-5

23-20

9-25

26-13

22-14

144.6Avg total

74.2Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	76.5	69.1	145.6	+7.4	75%
Season at home (7)	75.0	62.4	137.4	+12.6	86%
Season away (9)	77.7	74.2	151.9	+3.4	67%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	70.4	144.6	+3.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	67.2	144.2	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	55.5	61.5	116.9	-6.0	31%
vs Similar (3)	48.0	56.0	104.0	-8.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	78.4	69.3	147.6	+9.1	79%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPavlodar

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

38-87

-49

18avg 53

H15/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

49-68

-19

25avg 53

A16/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

43-86

-43

23avg 53

H17/11

Higher League

Karaganda

60-80

-20

50avg 53

H18/11

Higher League

Turan

60-126

126

-66

45avg 53

H27/11

Higher League

Shymkent

52-109

109

-57

28avg 53

A28/11

Higher League

Turan

35-94

-59

15avg 53

H29/11

Higher League

Shymkent

63-111

111

-48

53avg 53

A30/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

35-92

-57

25avg 53

A15/12

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

93-63

+30

89avg 53

H16/12

Higher League

11-28

10-22

8-14

9-23

6-19

14-16

9-21

20-12

14-27

11-26

12-16

6-17

23-16

18-18

13-21

6-25

9-36

21-22

16-40

14-28

8-35

10-27

18-36

16-11

7-22

14-28

7-22

15-31

11-26

13-31

24-23

11-27

11-23

8-20

5-22

21-17

26-14

22-14

24-18

144.4Avg total

52.8Scored

91.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	53.0	90.1	143.1	-37.1	9%
Season at home (6)	54.8	89.3	144.2	-34.5	17%
Season away (5)	50.8	91.0	141.8	-40.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	52.8	91.6	144.4	-38.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	55.6	93.8	149.4	-38.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	65.8	87.9	153.7	-22.2	14%
vs Similar (1)	93.0	63.0	156.0	+30.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Atyrau 2Pavlodar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.6	14.0	33.6	+5.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.7	37.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	19.4	36.8	-1.9	55%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.3	24.0	39.3	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.2	23.7	38.9	-8.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (18)	15.4	24.2	39.6	-8.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.5	25.8	38.3	-13.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.4	26.4	38.8	-14.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	15.1	24.2	39.3	-9.1	17%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.6	16.6	34.2	+1.0	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.2	17.3	33.5	-1.1	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	12.0	23.5	35.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.7	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	21.1	38.2	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	19.9	37.8	-2.1	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.6	21.9	38.6	-5.3	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.9	21.6	35.5	-7.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	22.4	35.4	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	16.8	21.4	38.2	-4.6	24%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	14.0	40.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Atyrau 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

36-42

-6

A09/11

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

33-31

H10/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

36-24

+12

A11/11

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

50-22

+28

A12/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

30-52

-22

A22/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

40-40

H23/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

44-48

-4

A24/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

30-33

-3

H25/11

Higher League

Pavlodar

#14

50-22

+28

H15/12

Higher League

Karaganda

32-45

-13

A16/12

Higher League

74.0Avg total

38.1Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.0	35.2	72.3	+1.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.2	30.6	67.8	+6.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	38.9	75.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	35.9	74.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.6	76.8	+1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	33.6	36.6	70.3	-3.0	45%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.5	41.0	73.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.4	33.3	73.6	+7.1	64%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

21-50

-29

H15/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

#10

20-35

-15

A16/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

25-53

-28

H17/11

Higher League

Karaganda

41-34

H18/11

Higher League

Turan

30-58

-28

H27/11

Higher League

Shymkent

18-62

-44

A28/11

Higher League

Turan

14-44

-30

H29/11

Higher League

Shymkent

26-57

-31

A30/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

22-50

-28

A15/12

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

47-31

+16

H16/12

Higher League

73.8Avg total

26.4Scored

47.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.4	45.1	77.5	-12.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	33.1	43.6	76.7	-10.5	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	32.0	46.1	78.1	-14.1	11%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	47.4	73.8	-21.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	48.8	74.2	-23.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	31.9	45.6	77.5	-13.7	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	47.0	31.0	78.0	+16.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Atyrau 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.6	18.1	35.7	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.5	15.1	32.6	+2.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.5	38.1	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.6	35.2	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.1	17.8	33.9	-1.7	45%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	16.5	40.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	21.0	37.9	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.8	19.8	36.7	-3.0	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-4.9	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.3	24.1	37.4	-10.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	25.8	40.8	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.6	31%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	14.0	36.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.7	16.0	33.7	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.8	15.0	30.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	16.7	36.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	14.5	32.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.0	32.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.8	14.5	30.4	+1.3	55%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	16.5	32.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.6	37.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	14.7	21.9	36.6	-7.3	17%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.1	20.1	33.2	-7.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.2	34.4	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	16.7	20.7	37.4	-4.0	38%	-
vs Similar (1)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	35.3	34.0	69.4	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	33.2	30.1	63.3	+3.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	33.8	69.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	29.6	67.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.9	32.4	64.3	-0.5	55%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.5	33.0	72.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	37.4	35.5	72.9	+1.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.8	41.6	75.5	-7.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	31.5	41.8	73.2	-10.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.4	41.6	76.9	-6.2	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	44.2	70.6	-17.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	45.0	75.2	-14.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)	33.4	42.0	75.4	-8.6	28%	-
vs Similar (1)	46.0	32.0	78.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Atyrau 2 wins

Pavlodar wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/25	Atyrau 2 v Pavlodar	92-35
08/04/23	Pavlodar v Atyrau 2	80-70
17/11/22	Pavlodar v Atyrau 2	94-89 OT
22/10/22	Pavlodar v Atyrau 2	73-68
25/03/21	Pavlodar v Atyrau 2	82-68
23/02/21	Pavlodar v Atyrau 2	81-84 OT
16/12/20	Atyrau 2 v Pavlodar	65-68
22/11/20	Atyrau 2 v Pavlodar	62-81
27/02/20	Atyrau 2 v Pavlodar	54-93
30/01/20	Pavlodar v Atyrau 2	96-74

Atyrau 2last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/25	A	Karaganda	80-72
15/12/25	H	Pavlodar	92-35
25/11/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	69-63
24/11/25	A	ChelSU Kostanay	72-95
23/11/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	72-71
22/11/25	A	ChelSU Kostanay	57-99
12/11/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau 2	92-51
11/11/25	A	CHAMP1ON	71-60
10/11/25	H	BC Almaty 2	56-78
09/11/25	A	CHAMP1ON	81-80 OT

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau 2	93-63
15/12/25	A	Atyrau 2	35-92
30/11/25	A	Shymkent	63-111
29/11/25	H	Turan	35-94
28/11/25	A	Shymkent	52-109
27/11/25	H	Turan	60-126
18/11/25	H	Karaganda	60-80
17/11/25	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	43-86
16/11/25	A	Tigers-KazATU	49-68
15/11/25	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	38-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau 2

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	75%
Home	WLWWW	86%
Away	WWLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	75%	86%	67%
Points / game	76.5	75.0	77.7
Allowed / game	69.1	62.4	74.2
Point differential	+7.4	+12.6	+3.4
Avg total	145.6	137.4	151.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	57%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Pavlodar

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	9%
Home	LLLLW	17%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	9%	17%	0%
Points / game	53.0	54.8	50.8
Allowed / game	90.1	89.3	91.0
Point differential	-37.1	-34.5	-40.2
Avg total	143.1	144.2	141.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turan	17	17	0	100%	89.8	59.5	+30.3
2	Aktobe	12	11	1	92%	84.6	68.8	+15.8
3	Shymkent	17	15	2	88%	98.9	70.4	+28.5
4	Atyrau 2	16	12	4	75%	76.5	69.1	+7.4
5	Bars Petropavlovsk	15	11	4	73%	83.9	62.4	+21.5
6	Arlans	7	4	3	57%	75.0	71.6	+3.4
7	ChelSU Kostanay	14	8	6	57%	76.4	78.7	-2.3
8	BC Almaty 2	12	4	8	33%	73.8	76.9	-3.1
9	Karaganda	12	4	8	33%	76.3	80.2	-3.9
10	Tigers-KazATU	15	5	10	33%	67.5	81.9	-14.4
11	CHAMP1ON	12	3	9	25%	67.6	76.3	-8.8
12	Tobol Kostanay 2	14	2	12	14%	70.1	84.9	-14.8
13	AiRom	7	1	6	14%	66.4	83.9	-17.4
14	Pavlodar	11	1	10	9%	53.0	90.1	-37.1
15	Kaspiy Aktau 2	17	1	16	6%	57.1	85.4	-28.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Atyrau 2	27	20	20	19	86
Pavlodar	7	17	14	17	55

← all games of the day

Atyrau 2 vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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