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Australia vs Indonesia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 109-58
22-4 28-18 27-17 32-19
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game61.2
Australia 🏆
vs
Indonesia
Position#29
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game94.2
EuropeAsia Cup· Gippsland Regional Indoor Sports Stadium
Other2023
Meetings · Australia v Indonesia
20 Feb 2025
AUST109
INDO58
16 Jul 2022
AUST78
INDO53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indonesia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#47
W
98-53
98
53
+45
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 92
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
111avg 92
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 92
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 92
A24/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
25-14
33-11
19-15
17-21
28-19
25-14
28-18
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
167.6Avg total
95.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.561.2158.8+36.2100%
Season at home (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season away (3)101.758.0159.7+43.7100%
Last 10 (10)95.771.9167.6+23.880%
Last 5 (5)98.065.8163.8+32.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.262.9150.1+24.389%
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndonesia
Date
Competition
Thailand
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-95
55
95
-40
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
57-70
57
70
-13
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
56-73
56
73
-17
40avg 48
A22/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
28avg 48
H25/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
65avg 48
A21/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
71-112
71
112
-41
58avg 48
H24/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
15-16
27-15
33-16
24-20
21-18
20-22
11-24
14-21
10-14
17-25
28-23
8-20
23-30
13-22
11-23
15-21
19-17
16-14
7-18
18-14
19-19
19-21
11-20
8-17
17-18
10-25
21-13
12-22
21-27
2-22
16-35
15-19
25-21
23-18
15-28
21-26
21-32
18-36
11-18
151.9Avg total
66.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.094.2158.2-30.20%
Season at home (2)61.0109.0170.0-48.00%
Season away (2)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)66.785.2151.9-18.510%
Last 5 (5)64.690.2154.8-25.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)64.084.8148.9-20.819%
vs Similar (2)71.579.0150.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (7)98.464.6163.0+33.9100%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: -5.4-5.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: -5.4-5.4
AustraliaIndonesia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#47
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
84.8Avg total
47.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.333.179.4+13.290%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.833.278.0+11.688%-
Last 30 away (13)48.133.081.1+15.192%-
Last 10 (10)47.537.384.8+10.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.634.683.2+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.232.879.0+13.488%-
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndonesiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thailand
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H25/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H24/11
Asia Cup
75.2Avg total
33.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.275.5-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.177.4+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)34.339.273.5-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)33.841.475.2-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.443.078.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.740.972.6-9.114%-
vs Similar (2)41.035.576.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (7)53.030.983.9+22.1100%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.824.2
58.1%
49.3%48.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.8
35.2%
32.7%32.2
🏀 Free throws22.215.7
70.8%
70.1%15.8
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indonesiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indonesia: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.2
44.9%
49.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.4
38.6%
32.7%34.3
🏀 Free throws14.110.0
70.9%
70.1%10.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/9 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWLWLWW
Indonesia
LLLLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#29
+45.1
Net rating
-2.1
121.8
Offensive rating
101.5
76.7
Defensive rating
103.6
55.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
40.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.2%
3-point %
38.6%
73.6%
Assist %
65.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence121.8 · 101.5Defence76.7 · 103.6Shooting55.9% · 50.6%3-point %35.2% · 38.6%Ball care14.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds38.3% · 25.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Australia   ■ Indonesia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Australia wins
0
Indonesia wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Indonesia v Australia51-106
16/07/22Australia v Indonesia78-53
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89
27/08/23HGermany82-85
25/08/23AFinland98-72
26/02/23HKazakhstan98-53
Indonesialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HThailand71-112
21/11/24ASouth Korea78-86
25/02/24HAustralia51-106
22/02/24AThailand56-73
30/09/23HQatar67-74
28/09/23HJapan57-70
26/09/23ASouth Korea55-95
16/05/23AThailand69-83
15/05/23HPhilippines76-84
14/05/23HThailand87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.585.0101.7
Allowed / game61.271.058.0
Point differential+36.2+14.0+43.7
Avg total158.8156.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indonesia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.061.067.0
Allowed / game94.2109.079.5
Point differential-30.2-48.0-12.5
Avg total158.2170.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia440100%97.561.2+36.2
2 Philippines440100%96.565.0+31.5
3 Lebanon440100%92.270.5+21.8
4 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
5 Japan440100%82.270.5+11.8
6 China43175%86.057.5+28.5
7 New Zealand43175%86.868.8+18.0
8 Iran43175%64.851.2+13.5
9 Saudi Arabia43175%66.865.2+1.5
10 Thailand118373%86.475.5+10.8
11 Guam96367%71.373.4-2.1
12 Iraq95456%74.072.8+1.2
13 Qatar95456%67.066.3+0.7
14 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
15 Kazakhstan42250%51.256.5-5.2
16 Bahrain42250%71.579.8-8.2
17 Mongolia115645%77.079.7-2.7
18 United Arab Emirates94544%70.271.4-1.2
19 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
20 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
21 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
22 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
23 Syria41325%72.878.8-6.0
24 India41325%61.071.8-10.8
25 Chinese Taipei41325%67.882.8-15.0
26 Hong Kong92722%65.380.0-14.7
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia4040%64.094.2-30.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia22282732109
Indonesia418171958
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