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South Korea vs Indonesia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 86-78
19-15 21-25 18-23 28-15
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game73.5
South Korea 🏆
vs
Indonesia
Position#29
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.5
Allowed / game89.5
EuropeAsia Cup· Goyang Gymnasium
Other2023
Meetings · South Korea v Indonesia
21 Nov 2024
SOUT86
INDO78
26 Sep 2023
SOUT95
INDO55
17 Jun 2021
SOUT104
INDO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indonesia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
95-55
95
55
+40
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
55avg 82
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
108avg 82
H25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-14
14-20
18-28
20-8
30-23
22-13
23-11
22-13
21-16
24-18
9-17
17-23
20-20
16-18
24-22
24-20
31-16
20-15
13-22
12-20
17-30
15-16
26-18
20-21
28-19
15-26
19-23
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
154.5Avg total
80.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.573.5157.0+10.050%
Season at home (1)96.062.0158.0+34.0100%
Season away (1)71.085.0156.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)80.773.8154.5+6.950%
Last 5 (5)78.675.0153.6+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.290.6161.8-19.30%
vs Similar (7)82.078.0160.0+4.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.969.6160.5+21.293%
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndonesia
Date
Competition
Laos
#8
W
141-37
141
37
+104
no box
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-95
55
95
-40
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
57-70
57
70
-13
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
56-73
56
73
-17
40avg 34
A22/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
28avg 34
H25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-7
37-9
36-8
33-13
16-24
28-17
15-18
29-23
12-22
15-16
27-15
33-16
24-20
21-18
20-22
11-24
14-21
10-14
17-25
28-23
8-20
23-30
13-22
11-23
15-21
19-17
16-14
7-18
18-14
19-19
19-21
11-20
8-17
17-18
10-25
21-13
12-22
21-27
2-22
16-35
152.0Avg total
74.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)53.589.5143.0-36.00%
Season at home (1)51.0106.0157.0-55.00%
Season away (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)74.777.3152.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)57.283.6140.8-26.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.984.3148.2-20.520%
vs Similar (2)71.579.0150.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (8)97.466.0163.4+31.4100%
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
South KoreaIndonesia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
80.5Avg total
44.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.779.3+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.979.0+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.238.479.6+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.436.180.5+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.479.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.244.279.4-9.022%-
vs Similar (7)40.638.378.9+2.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.333.179.4+13.179%-
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IndonesiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laos
#8
W
72-16
72
16
+56
H10/05
Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A12/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H14/05
Southeast Asian Games
Philippines
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H25/02
Asia Cup
74.5Avg total
37.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.275.5-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.675.8+4.550%-
Last 30 away (16)34.940.475.3-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.237.374.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.041.073.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.940.671.5-9.715%-
vs Similar (2)41.035.576.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (8)52.432.985.2+19.5100%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.0
51.0%
49.3%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.5
33.3%
32.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.510.0
74.1%
70.1%10.0
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indonesiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indonesia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.4
48.3%
49.3%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.1
38.6%
32.7%33.4
🏀 Free throws14.910.0
67.3%
70.1%10.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/7 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South Korea
WLWLLWLWWL
Indonesia
LLLLLLLWWW
#8
League position
#29
+12.3
Net rating
+6.7
101.6
Offensive rating
104.6
89.3
Defensive rating
97.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.3%
3-point %
38.6%
73.8%
Assist %
64.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 104.6Defence89.3 · 97.9Shooting50.7% · 52.5%3-point %33.3% · 38.6%Ball care18.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ South Korea   ■ Indonesia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South Korea wins
0
Indonesia wins
DateGameScore
26/09/23South Korea v Indonesia95-55
17/06/21South Korea v Indonesia104-81
20/02/20Indonesia v South Korea76-109
14/08/18Indonesia v South Korea65-104
South Korealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
04/10/23AIran82-89
03/10/23AChina70-84
02/10/23HBahrain88-73
30/09/23AJapan77-83
28/09/23AQatar76-64
26/09/23HIndonesia95-55
21/07/22HNew Zealand78-88
Indonesialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HAustralia51-106
22/02/24AThailand56-73
30/09/23HQatar67-74
28/09/23HJapan57-70
26/09/23ASouth Korea55-95
16/05/23AThailand69-83
15/05/23HPhilippines76-84
14/05/23HThailand87-69
12/05/23AVietnam88-82
10/05/23HLaos141-37

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Korea
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.596.071.0
Allowed / game73.562.085.0
Point differential+10.0+34.0-14.0
Avg total157.0158.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indonesia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game53.551.056.0
Allowed / game89.5106.073.0
Point differential-36.0-55.0-17.0
Avg total143.0157.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines220100%100.058.5+41.5
2 Australia220100%95.561.0+34.5
3 New Zealand220100%88.559.0+29.5
4 Jordan220100%76.055.0+21.0
5 Lebanon220100%90.570.5+20.0
6 Iran220100%81.063.5+17.5
7 Japan330100%82.068.0+14.0
8 Kazakhstan220100%68.059.0+9.0
9 Guam76186%73.068.1+4.9
10 Thailand97278%87.873.2+14.6
11 Iraq75271%77.773.7+4.0
12 China21150%76.562.5+14.0
13 South Korea21150%83.573.5+10.0
14 Syria21150%78.075.0+3.0
15 Mongolia105550%79.578.7+0.8
16 Saudi Arabia21150%64.068.5-4.5
17 Bahrain21150%66.579.0-12.5
18 United Arab Emirates73443%66.466.7-0.3
19 Palestine73443%68.969.6-0.7
20 Qatar73443%65.166.7-1.6
21 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
22 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
23 Hong Kong72529%68.477.4-9.0
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
26 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
27 India2020%51.574.5-23.0
28 Indonesia2020%53.589.5-36.0
29 Chinese Taipei2020%61.097.5-36.5
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Korea1921182886
Indonesia1525231578
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