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Australia vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 97-61
25-17 23-14 20-16 29-14
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game61.2
Australia 🏆
vs
South Korea
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeAsia CupRound 1· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Australia v South Korea
06 Aug 2025
AUST97
SOUT61
22 Feb 2024
AUST85
SOUT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 98
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 98
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 98
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
122avg 98
H23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
170.0Avg total
98.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)102.261.2163.3+41.0100%
Season at home (3)102.764.3167.0+38.3100%
Season away (3)101.758.0159.7+43.7100%
Last 10 (10)98.471.6170.0+26.880%
Last 5 (5)105.659.2164.8+46.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.662.4151.0+26.189%
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 81
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 81
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
86avg 81
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
90-63
90
63
+27
85avg 81
A23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
31-16
20-15
13-22
12-20
17-30
15-16
26-18
20-21
28-19
15-26
19-23
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
24-23
31-20
17-19
19-28
24-17
25-7
24-23
17-16
160.0Avg total
82.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.879.3164.2+5.567%
Season at home (3)85.779.3165.0+6.367%
Season away (3)84.079.3163.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)82.377.7160.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.678.2165.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.691.3162.9-19.70%
vs Similar (5)81.280.6161.8+0.640%
vs Weaker (15)90.971.0161.9+19.993%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +9.5+9.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +9.5+9.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
AustraliaSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
85.3Avg total
49.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.132.679.6+14.590%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.232.278.4+14.188%-
Last 30 away (13)48.133.081.1+15.192%-
Last 10 (10)49.036.385.3+12.770%-
Last 5 (5)51.830.682.4+21.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.132.279.3+14.988%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A20/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A23/02
Asia Cup
82.3Avg total
44.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.381.2+4.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.938.981.8+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.737.880.5+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.437.982.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.484.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.945.280.1-10.320%-
vs Similar (5)43.437.881.2+5.660%-
vs Weaker (15)47.933.981.9+14.073%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 101.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.027.7
61.5%
49.3%55.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.7
32.8%
32.7%32.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
73.9%
70.1%14.2
They take 77.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.223.8
52.8%
49.3%47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.7%
32.7%26.0
🏀 Free throws15.210.2
67.0%
70.1%10.2
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 06 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWWWLWL
South Korea
WWLWWLWLLW
#1
League position
#8
+51.2
Net rating
+6.8
125.6
Offensive rating
103.0
74.5
Defensive rating
96.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
51.4%
39.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
12.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
40.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.8%
3-point %
32.7%
73.9%
Assist %
75.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence125.6 · 103.0Defence74.5 · 96.2Shooting56.3% · 51.4%3-point %32.8% · 32.7%Ball care12.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds40.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Australia   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Australia wins
0
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24South Korea v Australia75-98
22/02/24Australia v South Korea85-71
31/08/14South Korea v Australia55-89
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HThailand114-64
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89
27/08/23HGermany82-85
South Korealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AIndonesia90-63
20/02/25AThailand91-90
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
04/10/23AIran82-89
03/10/23AChina70-84
02/10/23HBahrain88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.2102.7101.7
Allowed / game61.264.358.0
Point differential+41.0+38.3+43.7
Avg total163.3167.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.885.784.0
Allowed / game79.379.379.3
Point differential+5.5+6.3+4.7
Avg total164.2165.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%102.261.2+41.0
2 Lebanon660100%90.774.7+16.0
3 Jordan770100%79.167.7+11.4
4 China76186%89.064.9+24.1
5 New Zealand76186%89.467.7+21.7
6 Iran65183%75.550.8+24.7
7 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
8 Chinese Taipei96367%87.979.8+8.1
9 South Korea64267%84.879.3+5.5
10 Qatar117464%70.566.3+4.3
11 Philippines74357%89.676.1+13.4
12 Saudi Arabia74357%73.771.9+1.9
13 Guam137654%72.778.1-5.4
14 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
15 Syria63350%77.777.2+0.5
16 Iraq147750%74.675.4-0.9
17 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 India93633%69.179.9-10.8
22 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia2523202997
South Korea1714161461
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