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Indonesia vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 63-90
17-24 7-25 23-24 16-17
Position#29
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game97.2
vs
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeAsia Cup· Indonesia Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Indonesia v South Korea
23 Feb 2025
INDO63
SOUT90
20 Feb 2020
INDO76
SOUT109
14 Aug 2018
INDO65
SOUT104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indonesia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIndonesia
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-95
55
95
-40
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
57-70
57
70
-13
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
56-73
56
73
-17
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
28avg 49
H25/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
65avg 49
A21/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
71-112
71
112
-41
58avg 49
H24/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
58-109
58
109
-51
44avg 49
A20/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
21-18
20-22
11-24
14-21
10-14
17-25
28-23
8-20
23-30
13-22
11-23
15-21
19-17
16-14
7-18
18-14
19-19
19-21
11-20
8-17
17-18
10-25
21-13
12-22
21-27
2-22
16-35
15-19
25-21
23-18
15-28
21-26
21-32
18-36
11-18
4-22
18-28
17-27
19-32
153.0Avg total
63.8Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)62.897.2160.0-34.40%
Season at home (2)61.0109.0170.0-48.00%
Season away (3)64.089.3153.3-25.30%
Last 10 (10)63.889.2153.0-25.40%
Last 5 (5)62.897.2160.0-34.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)64.486.4150.8-22.019%
vs Similar (2)71.579.0150.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (7)98.464.6163.0+33.9100%
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
108avg 87
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
86-78
86
78
+8
89avg 87
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
64avg 87
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
86avg 87
A20/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-20
16-18
24-22
24-20
31-16
20-15
13-22
12-20
17-30
15-16
26-18
20-21
28-19
15-26
19-23
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
19-15
21-25
18-23
28-15
19-19
13-35
26-17
17-27
24-23
31-20
17-19
19-28
160.7Avg total
81.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.882.6166.4+1.260%
Season at home (3)85.779.3165.0+6.367%
Season away (2)81.087.5168.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)81.079.7160.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.882.6166.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.691.3162.9-19.70%
vs Similar (6)81.779.2160.8+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.071.6162.6+19.493%
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
IndonesiaSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IndonesiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Thailand
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A26/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H28/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#12
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H25/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H24/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A20/02
Asia Cup
75.9Avg total
33.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.876.1-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.177.4+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)34.340.574.9-6.233%-
Last 10 (10)33.342.675.9-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)32.446.478.8-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.741.873.5-10.114%-
vs Similar (2)41.035.576.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (7)53.030.983.9+22.1100%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H21/11
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H24/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A20/02
Asia Cup
83.0Avg total
43.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.081.5+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.938.981.8+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.139.181.3+3.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.945.280.1-10.320%-
vs Similar (6)42.838.881.7+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.934.682.5+13.271%-
This opponent (Indonesia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indonesiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indonesia: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.116.7
45.0%
49.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.8
36.9%
32.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.310.7
69.9%
70.1%10.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.024.0
52.2%
49.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.0
30.1%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.211.0
67.9%
70.1%11.0
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indonesia
LLLLLLLLLL
South Korea
WLWWLWLLWL
#29
League position
#8
-8.8
Net rating
+1.9
98.5
Offensive rating
100.4
107.2
Defensive rating
98.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.9%
3-point %
30.1%
64.7%
Assist %
76.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 100.4Defence107.2 · 98.4Shooting49.5% · 49.6%3-point %36.9% · 30.1%Ball care18.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds24.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Indonesia   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Indonesia wins
5
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
21/11/24South Korea v Indonesia86-78
26/09/23South Korea v Indonesia95-55
17/06/21South Korea v Indonesia104-81
20/02/20Indonesia v South Korea76-109
14/08/18Indonesia v South Korea65-104
Indonesialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25AAustralia58-109
24/11/24HThailand71-112
21/11/24ASouth Korea78-86
25/02/24HAustralia51-106
22/02/24AThailand56-73
30/09/23HQatar67-74
28/09/23HJapan57-70
26/09/23ASouth Korea55-95
16/05/23AThailand69-83
15/05/23HPhilippines76-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25AThailand91-90
24/11/24HAustralia75-98
21/11/24HIndonesia86-78
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
04/10/23AIran82-89
03/10/23AChina70-84
02/10/23HBahrain88-73
30/09/23AJapan77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indonesia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.861.064.0
Allowed / game97.2109.089.3
Point differential-34.4-48.0-25.3
Avg total160.0170.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Korea
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.885.781.0
Allowed / game82.679.387.5
Point differential+1.2+6.3-6.5
Avg total166.4165.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%102.261.2+41.0
2 Lebanon550100%90.672.0+18.6
3 Jordan550100%78.064.6+13.4
4 China65183%88.361.0+27.3
5 New Zealand65183%87.766.0+21.7
6 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
7 Iran54180%73.052.0+21.0
8 Philippines64267%90.073.0+17.0
9 Thailand138562%84.979.7+5.2
10 Qatar106460%69.566.8+2.7
11 Iraq106460%73.771.4+2.3
12 South Korea53260%83.882.6+1.2
13 Saudi Arabia53260%67.067.8-0.8
14 Guam116555%71.274.6-3.5
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
17 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
18 Syria52340%75.475.2+0.2
19 United Arab Emirates104640%69.372.9-3.6
20 Bahrain52340%72.880.6-7.8
21 Kazakhstan52340%55.263.6-8.4
22 Chinese Taipei52340%72.483.0-10.6
23 Palestine103730%68.871.8-3.0
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong102820%63.981.2-17.3
26 India51420%59.878.6-18.8
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia5050%62.897.2-34.4
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indonesia177231663
South Korea2425241790
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