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Avellaneda W vs Ferro W Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Projected 60-76
Projected total 136.2
Scheduled
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game57.8
Allowed / game69.8
Avellaneda W
Argentina
Vs
92%
■ AVEL 8%■ FERR 92%
Pythia win probability
Ferro W
Argentina
Position#12
Record4-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game62.2
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Náutico Sportivo Avellaneda Arena
Women2027
Meetings · Avellaneda W v Ferro W
19 Nov 2026
AVEL v FERR
upcoming
22 Jan 2025
AVEL47
FERR75
26 Oct 2024
AVEL60
FERR87
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Avellaneda W will host Ferro W in the Liga Femenina Women on 19 November 2026, and the Pythia model designates Ferro W as the clear favourite, giving it a 92% win probability versus 8% for Avellaneda W, a reflection of Ferro W's 4-4 record, 72.1 points per game and 62.2 allowed per game compared with Avellaneda W's 1-7 record, 57.8 points per game and 69.8 allowed per game. Avellaneda W has struggled at home, 1-3 with 58.5 points scored and 62.0 allowed, and has lost its last five games, including a 43-50 defeat at home to Union Florida W on 6 November 2026. Ferro W, meanwhile, has won three of its last five games, including a 85-45 victory over Avellaneda W on 29 October 2026, and has a 2-2 road record with 69.2 points scored and 64.8 allowed. In the six meetings between the clubs, Ferro W has won all six, most recently 85-45. The Pythia model projects a final score of 60-76 for Avellaneda W versus Ferro W, a total of 136.2 points, and an overtime probability of 2%.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellaneda W win
7.5%fair 13.32
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro W win
92.5%fair 1.08
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellaneda WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H18/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
45-85
45
85
-40
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#9
L
56-87
56
87
-31
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H07/11
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A09/11
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A10/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
15-16
17-17
13-16
18-23
9-20
12-10
12-21
16-11
20-13
23-6
23-14
13-18
11-14
13-22
16-13
11-18
16-27
6-22
12-18
15-24
15-15
13-10
15-14
23-24
12-16
10-24
11-23
10-16
11-15
11-7
11-12
16-21
19-22
26-27
17-18
9-25
12-13
20-25
6-11
128.4Avg total
57.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)57.869.8127.5-12.012%
Season at home (4)58.562.0120.5-3.525%
Season away (4)57.077.5134.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)57.570.9128.4-13.410%
Last 5 (5)56.472.4128.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)56.775.6132.4-18.90%
vs Similar (10)65.659.3124.9+6.370%
vs Weaker (6)74.752.5127.2+22.283%
This opponent (Ferro W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferro WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A21/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A23/05
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H13/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A20/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
91-49
91
49
+42
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#9
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H12/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
8-22
18-7
13-13
14-17
26-16
14-19
21-17
20-18
28-17
11-22
11-14
19-27
21-20
12-6
12-24
16-10
13-14
24-19
19-12
25-10
20-10
15-14
31-15
10-11
28-15
21-25
15-17
18-11
27-16
22-6
18-12
15-16
17-19
23-15
6-15
13-16
15-10
16-18
16-24
133.7Avg total
70.8Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.162.2134.4+9.950%
Season at home (4)75.059.8134.8+15.250%
Season away (4)69.264.8134.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)70.862.9133.7+7.950%
Last 5 (5)74.259.0133.2+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.069.0137.0-1.033%
vs Similar (11)74.766.4141.1+8.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)73.261.9135.1+11.475%
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 121
Over 121
83.1%
Under 121
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 126
Over 126
73.9%
Under 126
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131
Over 131
62.6%
Under 131
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Avellaneda W total 60.5
Over 60.5
46.6%
Under 60.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellaneda W total 64.5
Over 64.5
31.4%
Under 64.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellaneda W total 68.5
Over 68.5
19.1%
Under 68.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro W total 58
Over 58
97.1%
Under 58
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro W total 62
Over 62
93.3%
Under 62
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferro W total 66
Over 66
86.2%
Under 66
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Avellaneda W -3
AVEL -3
4.9%
FERR +3
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
AVEL
No market prices yet.
FERR
No market prices yet.
Spread Avellaneda W 0
AVEL 0
7.5%
FERR 0
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
AVEL
No market prices yet.
FERR
No market prices yet.
Spread Avellaneda W +3
AVEL +3
10.5%
FERR -3
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
AVEL
No market prices yet.
FERR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Avellaneda WFerro W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellaneda WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H18/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H07/11
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/11
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A10/11
Liga Femenina Women
66.7Avg total
28.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.734.164.8-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.532.966.4+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)27.635.563.1-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)28.837.966.7-9.110%-
Last 5 (5)28.438.266.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)27.739.066.7-11.37%-
vs Similar (10)31.032.463.4-1.430%-
vs Weaker (6)37.325.562.8+11.883%-
This opponent (Ferro W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferro WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A23/05
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H13/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A20/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H23/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#9
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A24/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/11
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#4
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H12/11
Liga Femenina Women
68.5Avg total
37.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.731.268.9+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.330.168.3+8.280%-
Last 30 away (15)37.132.469.5+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)37.031.568.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.626.864.4+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.029.067.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (11)36.532.368.8+4.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.430.969.3+7.475%-
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellaneda Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellaneda W: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.2%
42.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.1
23.8%
27.6%15.3
🏀 Free throws20.512.2
59.5%
63.8%12.2
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferro Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.015.3
41.4%
42.8%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.111.3
48.9%
27.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.2
66.3%
63.8%11.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellaneda W
LLLLLLLWLL
Ferro W
LLWWWWLLWL
#18
League position
#12
+10.4
Net rating
+23.9
100.9
Offensive rating
109.8
90.4
Defensive rating
85.8
48.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
38.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
23.8%
3-point %
48.9%
44.9%
Assist %
54.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 109.8Defence90.4 · 85.8Shooting48.4% · 53.7%3-point %23.8% · 48.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Avellaneda W   ■ Ferro W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellaneda W wins
6
Ferro W wins
DateGameScore
29/10/26Ferro W v Avellaneda W85-45
14/02/25Ferro W v Avellaneda W78-59
22/01/25Avellaneda W v Ferro W47-75
14/12/24Ferro W v Avellaneda W90-51
15/11/24Ferro W v Avellaneda W76-64
26/10/24Avellaneda W v Ferro W60-87
Avellaneda Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26AEl Talar W47-74
09/11/26AObras Sanitarias W78-88
07/11/26HUnion Florida W43-50
06/11/26HBerazategui W56-87
30/10/26ARegatas San Nicolas W58-63
29/10/26AFerro W45-85
16/10/26HEl Talar W53-67
11/10/26HRegatas San Nicolas W82-44
25/04/26AObras Sanitarias W51-74
18/04/26HObras Sanitarias W62-77
Ferro Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HEl Talar W60-68
05/11/26AObras Sanitarias W61-65
29/10/26HAvellaneda W85-45
24/10/26ABerazategui W74-68
23/10/26HRegatas San Nicolas W91-49
20/10/26AUnion Florida W72-55
13/10/26HObras Sanitarias W64-77
10/10/26AEl Talar W70-71
23/05/26AObras Sanitarias W75-69
21/05/26AObras Sanitarias W56-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellaneda W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game57.858.557.0
Allowed / game69.862.077.5
Point differential-12.0-3.5-20.5
Avg total127.5120.5134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.175.069.2
Allowed / game62.259.864.8
Point differential+9.9+15.2+4.5
Avg total134.4134.8134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Obras Sanitarias W76186%73.668.7+4.9
3 Independiente Neuquen W76186%63.759.0+4.7
4 El Talar W65183%72.058.0+14.0
5 Boca W86275%74.958.9+16.0
6 Hindu W75271%69.354.4+14.9
7 Instituto W75271%69.059.3+9.7
8 Velez Sarsfield W75271%62.457.3+5.1
9 Berazategui W64267%77.062.8+14.2
10 Quilmes W64267%67.260.0+7.2
11 Union Florida W74357%63.359.3+4.0
12 Ferro W84450%72.162.2+9.9
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Deportivo Chanares W61517%63.265.2-2.0
15 Penarol W61517%53.264.3-11.2
16 El Bigua W71614%58.667.9-9.3
17 Union Bahia W71614%51.166.6-15.4
18 Avellaneda W81712%57.869.8-12.0
19 Regatas San Nicolas W81712%52.078.8-26.8
20 Sociedad Espanola W5050%29.281.8-52.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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