Avellino vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 103-92

24-22 29-18 21-24 29-28

Position#12

Record6-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game79.7

Avellino 🏆

Sutor Montegranaro

Position#16

Record4-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game88.1

Lega ARound 14

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Avellino v Sutor Montegranaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

68-85

-17

A03/11

Lega A

Cantu

67-74

-7

A10/11

Lega A

Caserta

76-70

H16/11

Lega A

Sassari

75-78

-3

A24/11

Lega A

Cremona

#14

77-72

H01/12

Lega A

Siena

75-85

-10

H08/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

69-84

-15

A15/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

78-74

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

85-83

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

58-94

-36

A29/12

Lega A

13-20

18-24

19-25

18-16

14-11

11-17

21-26

21-20

15-17

22-15

15-12

24-26

21-18

23-20

14-19

17-21

18-15

19-17

18-17

22-23

25-19

21-20

14-12

15-34

20-16

16-26

20-16

13-26

25-18

12-20

22-20

19-16

18-22

24-29

24-21

19-11

18-23

19-22

12-19

9-30

152.7Avg total

72.8Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	74.8	79.7	154.5	-4.9	46%
Season at home (6)	79.0	78.7	157.7	+0.3	67%
Season away (7)	71.1	80.6	151.7	-9.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	79.9	152.7	-7.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	84.0	157.0	-11.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	71.4	75.5	146.9	-4.1	50%
vs Similar (14)	79.4	82.1	161.5	-2.8	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	77.0	76.0	153.0	+1.0	50%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

73-96

-23

A03/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

95-90

H10/11

Lega A

Siena

73-84

-11

A17/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

88-83

H23/11

Lega A

Caserta

77-94

-17

H01/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

85-101

101

-16

A08/12

Lega A

Sassari

69-88

-19

H14/12

Lega A

Brindisi

80-76

A22/12

Lega A

Pistoia

87-93

-6

H26/12

Lega A

Cantu

78-89

-11

A29/12

Lega A

13-27

16-18

24-21

20-30

27-23

15-24

21-18

32-25

15-30

15-16

25-15

18-23

14-21

23-23

29-14

22-25

26-24

18-25

24-21

9-24

30-26

16-23

8-29

31-23

22-28

11-20

20-24

16-16

16-24

15-9

18-24

31-19

19-15

20-21

22-28

26-29

19-27

27-24

17-17

15-21

169.9Avg total

80.5Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	79.0	88.1	167.1	-9.1	31%
Season at home (7)	81.4	85.3	166.7	-3.9	43%
Season away (6)	76.2	91.3	167.5	-15.2	17%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	89.4	169.9	-8.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	89.4	169.2	-9.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	79.1	88.7	167.8	-9.6	24%
vs Similar (8)	91.1	83.4	174.5	+7.8	62%
vs Weaker (1)	86.0	73.0	159.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	20.5	39.9	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	21.2	40.5	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.2	42.8	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	24.5	44.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.7	23.0	42.8	-3.3	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	17.8	39.8	+4.1	85%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.4	41.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.2	54%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	23.0	13.5	36.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.0	20.6	39.5	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.6	19.2	43.9	+5.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	11.0	34.0	+12.0	100%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

31-44

-13

A03/11

Lega A

Cantu

25-28

-3

A10/11

Lega A

Caserta

37-32

H16/11

Lega A

Sassari

44-38

A24/11

Lega A

Cremona

#14

37-32

H01/12

Lega A

Siena

46-39

H08/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

36-42

-6

A15/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

37-38

-1

A22/12

Lega A

Brindisi

42-51

-9

H26/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-45

-8

A29/12

Lega A

76.1Avg total

37.2Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.3	39.0	80.3	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	39.7	77.2	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.9	76.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.0	82.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	40.0	40.3	80.3	-0.3	54%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	43.0	34.5	77.5	+8.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

29-45

-16

A03/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

42-47

-5

H10/11

Lega A

Siena

30-46

-16

A17/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

37-44

-7

H23/11

Lega A

Caserta

44-49

-5

H01/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

46-49

-3

A08/12

Lega A

Sassari

33-48

-15

H14/12

Lega A

Brindisi

31-33

-2

A22/12

Lega A

Pistoia

39-36

H26/12

Lega A

Cantu

46-51

-5

A29/12

Lega A

82.5Avg total

37.7Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	42.1	83.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	40.3	84.3	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	43.9	82.3	-5.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	44.8	82.5	-7.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	38.7	43.6	82.3	-5.0	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	48.4	39.2	87.6	+9.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	32.0	71.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	20.0	39.0	-0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	18.9	38.2	+0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.8	39.8	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.7	36.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	24.4	41.4	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	22.0	53.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	22.3	40.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	23.4	38.4	-8.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	23.1	43.3	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	15.0	18.5	33.5	-3.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.6	45.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.6	23.6	47.2	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	41.3	78.7	-4.0	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.2	39.6	76.8	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	42.8	80.2	-5.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	41.0	76.6	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	41.0	74.4	-7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	33.5	39.6	73.2	-6.1	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.4	42.9	84.4	-1.5	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	34.0	41.5	75.5	-7.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	44.3	85.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	43.7	85.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	44.8	84.5	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	44.6	87.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	46.0	86.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.9	44.5	84.4	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.8	44.1	86.9	-1.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	41.0	88.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/13	Sutor Montegranaro v Avellino	95-71
30/09/12	Avellino v Sutor Montegranaro	74-82
22/01/12	Avellino v Sutor Montegranaro	93-84
09/10/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Avellino	85-76
26/02/11	Avellino v Sutor Montegranaro	83-75
14/11/10	Sutor Montegranaro v Avellino	93-98
02/05/10	Sutor Montegranaro v Avellino	81-89
10/01/10	Avellino v Sutor Montegranaro	80-69
22/03/09	Avellino v Sutor Montegranaro	92-70
30/11/08	Sutor Montegranaro v Avellino	81-76

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/13	A	Olimpia Milano	58-94
26/12/13	H	Brindisi	85-83
22/12/13	A	Virtus Bologna	78-74
15/12/13	A	Venezia	69-84
08/12/13	H	Siena	75-85
01/12/13	H	Cremona	77-72
24/11/13	A	Sassari	75-78
16/11/13	H	Caserta	76-70
10/11/13	A	Cantu	67-74
03/11/13	A	Varese	68-85

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/13	A	Cantu	78-89
26/12/13	H	Pistoia	87-93
22/12/13	A	Brindisi	80-76
14/12/13	H	Sassari	69-88
08/12/13	A	Olimpia Milano	85-101
01/12/13	H	Caserta	77-94
23/11/13	H	Varese	88-83
17/11/13	A	Siena	73-84
10/11/13	H	Pesaro	95-90
03/11/13	A	Virtus Bologna	73-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	46%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	46%	67%	29%
Points / game	74.8	79.0	71.1
Allowed / game	79.7	78.7	80.6
Point differential	-4.9	+0.3	-9.4
Avg total	154.5	157.7	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	75% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	31%
Home	WWLLL	43%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	31%	43%	17%
Points / game	79.0	81.4	76.2
Allowed / game	88.1	85.3	91.3
Point differential	-9.1	-3.9	-15.2
Avg total	167.1	166.7	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cantu	14	10	4	71%	82.4	78.9	+3.6
2	Siena	13	9	4	69%	78.8	71.0	+7.8
3	Sassari	13	9	4	69%	84.2	76.8	+7.5
4	Brindisi	13	9	4	69%	77.5	73.8	+3.7
5	Virtus Roma	13	9	4	69%	75.1	72.7	+2.4
6	Olimpia Milano	13	8	5	62%	80.2	72.4	+7.8
7	Reggiana	14	7	7	50%	75.4	72.0	+3.4
8	Virtus Bologna	14	7	7	50%	80.6	80.1	+0.4
9	Caserta	13	6	7	46%	75.1	73.8	+1.3
10	Varese	13	6	7	46%	82.2	81.8	+0.3
11	Venezia	13	6	7	46%	78.2	79.6	-1.4
12	Avellino	13	6	7	46%	74.8	79.7	-4.9
13	Pistoia	14	6	8	43%	76.8	80.6	-3.8
14	Sutor Montegranaro	13	4	9	31%	79.0	88.1	-9.1
15	Cremona	13	2	11	15%	75.5	84.0	-8.5
16	Pesaro	13	2	11	15%	79.1	90.0	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	24	29	21	29	103
Sutor Montegranaro	22	18	24	28	92

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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