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Sutor Montegranaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-83
14-21 23-23 29-14 22-25
Position#16
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.7
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Varese
23 Nov 2013
SMO88
VAR83
07 Apr 2013
SMO93
VAR91
29 Jan 2012
SMO63
VAR60
09 Jan 2011
SMO107
VAR77
01 Nov 2009
SMO73
VAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
94-108
94
108
-14
H21/04
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H28/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
68-102
68
102
-34
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H27/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A03/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H10/11
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
15-30
17-16
15-19
30-27
23-28
18-28
23-25
18-29
19-21
25-23
28-21
20-18
13-27
13-24
18-13
20-27
25-17
12-15
18-19
13-21
18-18
19-40
18-23
18-12
18-11
13-19
30-29
13-27
16-18
24-21
20-30
27-23
15-24
21-18
32-25
15-30
15-16
25-15
18-23
166.2Avg total
77.2Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.286.8164.0-9.733%
Season at home (3)83.079.7162.7+3.367%
Season away (3)71.394.0165.3-22.70%
Last 10 (10)77.289.0166.2-11.820%
Last 5 (5)77.688.6166.2-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.990.1168.9-11.217%
vs Similar (10)90.084.2174.2+5.860%
vs Weaker (2)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A20/10
Lega A
Levallois
#38
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H27/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H30/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H03/11
Lega A
Valencia
#9
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A06/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
A10/11
Lega A
Ulm
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H13/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H17/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
H20/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
25-26
14-24
20-20
24-15
24-15
21-24
8-17
16-17
23-21
24-17
21-17
19-22
18-29
20-16
21-18
20-13
24-18
25-19
16-18
14-21
17-25
16-23
17-29
16-28
19-26
13-20
26-31
18-17
22-20
26-22
11-19
18-27
11-22
22-18
20-18
25-10
11-24
14-20
21-17
159.3Avg total
76.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.279.7157.8-1.550%
Season at home (4)80.872.2153.0+8.575%
Season away (2)73.094.5167.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)76.482.9159.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)73.689.8163.4-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.082.7155.7-9.714%
vs Similar (13)75.775.6151.3+0.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.877.2161.0+6.575%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.3-2.3
Sutor MontegranaroVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Siena
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H28/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/11
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/11
Lega A
80.9Avg total
36.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.682.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.039.383.3+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.982.4-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.544.480.9-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.073.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.543.281.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (10)47.139.786.8+7.460%-
vs Weaker (2)37.036.573.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/10
Lega A
Levallois
#38
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H30/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/11
Lega A
Valencia
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A10/11
Lega A
Ulm
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H17/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H20/11
Eurocup
78.7Avg total
37.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.178.3+0.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.737.678.3+3.272%-
Last 30 away (12)36.941.478.3-4.558%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.078.7-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.244.078.2-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.340.375.6-5.043%-
vs Similar (13)40.238.478.5+1.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.641.484.0+1.275%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sutor Montegranaro wins
4
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/13ASiena73-84
10/11/13HPesaro95-90
03/11/13AVirtus Bologna73-96
27/10/13HReggiana79-71
20/10/13AVenezia68-102
13/10/13HVirtus Roma75-78
05/05/13AVirtus Roma64-82
28/04/13HSiena90-94
21/04/13HPesaro94-108
14/04/13ACantu61-85
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/13HPetrol Olimpija82-83 OT
17/11/13HBrindisi71-85
13/11/13HUlm77-78
10/11/13ASassari74-105
06/11/13AValencia64-98
03/11/13HAvellino85-68
30/10/13HLyon-Villeurbanne78-85
27/10/13HVenezia84-72
23/10/13HLevallois77-71
20/10/13AOlimpia Milano72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game77.283.071.3
Allowed / game86.879.794.0
Point differential-9.7+3.3-22.7
Avg total164.0162.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game78.280.873.0
Allowed / game79.772.294.5
Point differential-1.5+8.5-21.5
Avg total157.8153.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena65183%82.068.3+13.7
2 Brindisi65183%81.274.2+7.0
3 Virtus Bologna65183%85.780.7+5.0
4 Sassari64267%88.781.8+6.8
5 Cantu64267%82.780.5+2.2
6 Olimpia Milano63350%78.876.5+2.3
7 Reggiana63350%69.368.0+1.3
8 Virtus Roma63350%76.075.3+0.7
9 Varese63350%78.279.7-1.5
10 Avellino63350%75.877.7-1.8
11 Caserta62433%74.375.0-0.7
12 Venezia62433%77.279.0-1.8
13 Cremona62433%80.385.0-4.7
14 Sutor Montegranaro62433%77.286.8-9.7
15 Pesaro61517%79.789.0-9.3
16 Pistoia61517%69.278.7-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutor Montegranaro1423292288
Varese2123142583
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