Sassari vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 78-75

18-21 20-23 19-14 21-17

Position#4

Record4-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game81.8

Sassari 🏆

Avellino

Position#12

Record3-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game77.7

Lega ARound 7

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Sassari v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

83-69

+14

H20/10

Lega A

Bilbao

#19

94-100 OT

100

-6

H23/10

Eurocup

Pistoia

100-87

100

+13

H27/10

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#36

102-87

102

+15

H29/10

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

74-86

-12

A03/11

Lega A

Cedevita

#21

83-94

-11

A06/11

Eurocup

Varese

#10

105-74

105

+31

H10/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#49

94-78

+16

H13/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

82-77

A17/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#26

82-74

H20/11

Eurocup

18-17

18-23

15-14

32-15

18-25

23-21

20-11

21-25

24-18

25-23

28-22

23-24

20-27

38-27

18-16

26-17

20-21

13-25

27-23

14-17

32-22

23-26

24-14

4-32

28-16

26-19

20-13

31-26

29-23

20-24

22-13

23-18

24-19

18-25

20-16

20-17

20-21

14-15

21-15

27-23

172.5Avg total

89.9Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	88.7	81.8	170.5	+6.8	67%
Season at home (3)	96.0	76.7	172.7	+19.3	100%
Season away (3)	81.3	87.0	168.3	-5.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	89.9	82.6	172.5	+7.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	79.4	168.6	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (17)	85.1	81.9	167.0	+3.1	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	92.8	87.2	180.0	+5.5	69%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

69-78

-9

H14/04

Lega A

Caserta

#12

85-75

+10

A21/04

Lega A

Venezia

79-91

-12

H28/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

95-80

+15

A05/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

77-80

-3

H13/10

Lega A

Pistoia

83-75

A20/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

84-82

H27/10

Lega A

Varese

#10

68-85

-17

A03/11

Lega A

Cantu

67-74

-7

A10/11

Lega A

Caserta

76-70

H16/11

Lega A

21-18

16-24

18-18

14-18

23-17

6-16

23-26

33-16

18-27

21-16

23-21

17-27

27-15

20-15

20-24

28-26

21-25

19-17

25-20

12-18

19-15

29-20

20-16

15-24

15-19

23-12

19-17

27-34

13-20

18-24

19-25

18-16

14-11

11-17

21-26

21-20

15-17

22-15

15-12

24-26

157.3Avg total

78.3Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	75.8	77.7	153.5	-1.8	50%
Season at home (3)	79.0	77.3	156.3	+1.7	67%
Season away (3)	72.7	78.0	150.7	-5.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	79.0	157.3	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	77.2	152.8	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	71.1	78.9	150.0	-7.9	43%
vs Similar (13)	80.9	82.8	163.8	-1.9	54%
vs Weaker (3)	76.0	78.0	154.0	-2.0	33%

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	21.7	44.6	+1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	20.2	46.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (17)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.4	31.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.6	23%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.1	43.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	24.1	43.5	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (17)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.2	39.4	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	18.6	38.2	+0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	67%	-

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

36-40

-4

H20/10

Lega A

Bilbao

#19

41-46

-5

H23/10

Eurocup

Pistoia

49-41

H27/10

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#36

58-54

H29/10

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

33-46

-13

A03/11

Lega A

Cedevita

#21

55-48

A06/11

Eurocup

Varese

#10

54-35

+19

H10/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#49

49-47

H13/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

42-44

-2

A17/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#26

34-36

-2

H20/11

Eurocup

88.8Avg total

45.1Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	42.7	85.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	39.9	83.4	+3.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	45.9	88.1	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	43.7	88.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	42.0	88.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (17)	41.4	41.3	82.6	+0.1	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	45.0	44.5	89.5	+0.5	54%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

37-42

-5

H14/04

Lega A

Caserta

#12

29-33

-4

A21/04

Lega A

Venezia

39-43

-4

H28/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

47-30

+17

A05/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

40-42

-2

H13/10

Lega A

Pistoia

48-35

+13

A20/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

38-31

H27/10

Lega A

Varese

#10

31-44

-13

A03/11

Lega A

Cantu

25-28

-3

A10/11

Lega A

Caserta

37-32

H16/11

Lega A

73.1Avg total

37.1Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	39.9	78.1	-1.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	39.2	79.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	40.5	76.7	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	36.0	73.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	34.0	69.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.3	39.3	77.6	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	36.7	77.0	+3.7	33%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	15.7	37.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	14.2	35.6	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (17)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.1	20.5	44.5	+3.6	85%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.9	38.4	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.2	22.2	40.3	-4.0	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	20.3	44.9	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (17)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.8	23%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.3	23.5	44.8	-2.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.7	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	40.7	85.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.9	38.3	84.2	+7.6	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	43.4	86.3	-0.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	37.1	80.7	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.4	79.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (17)	43.0	39.6	82.6	+3.4	76%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	46.4	42.2	88.5	+4.2	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	39.8	77.7	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	45.1	84.1	-6.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	43.0	84.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.2	83.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.6	42.5	78.1	-6.8	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.1	42.8	84.9	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	35.7	41.3	77.0	-5.7	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
10/03/13	Avellino v Sassari	86-78
11/11/12	Sassari v Avellino	102-81
25/02/12	Sassari v Avellino	87-73
06/11/11	Avellino v Sassari	96-79
23/04/11	Avellino v Sassari	92-87
02/01/11	Sassari v Avellino	71-80

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/13	H	Oldenburg	82-74
17/11/13	A	Pesaro	82-77
13/11/13	H	Spirou Charleroi	94-78
10/11/13	H	Varese	105-74
06/11/13	A	Cedevita	83-94
03/11/13	A	Cremona	74-86
29/10/13	H	Chalon/Saone	102-87
27/10/13	H	Pistoia	100-87
23/10/13	H	Bilbao	94-100 OT
20/10/13	H	Cantu	83-69

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/13	H	Caserta	76-70
10/11/13	A	Cantu	67-74
03/11/13	A	Varese	68-85
27/10/13	H	Virtus Roma	84-82
20/10/13	A	Pistoia	83-75
13/10/13	H	Pesaro	77-80
05/05/13	A	Pesaro	95-80
28/04/13	H	Venezia	79-91
21/04/13	A	Caserta	85-75
14/04/13	H	Reggiana	69-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	67%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	67%	100%	33%
Points / game	88.7	96.0	81.3
Allowed / game	81.8	76.7	87.0
Point differential	+6.8	+19.3	-5.7
Avg total	170.5	172.7	168.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	50%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	75.8	79.0	72.7
Allowed / game	77.7	77.3	78.0
Point differential	-1.8	+1.7	-5.3
Avg total	153.5	156.3	150.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	6	5	1	83%	82.0	68.3	+13.7
2	Brindisi	6	5	1	83%	81.2	74.2	+7.0
3	Virtus Bologna	6	5	1	83%	85.7	80.7	+5.0
4	Sassari	6	4	2	67%	88.7	81.8	+6.8
5	Cantu	6	4	2	67%	82.7	80.5	+2.2
6	Olimpia Milano	6	3	3	50%	78.8	76.5	+2.3
7	Reggiana	6	3	3	50%	69.3	68.0	+1.3
8	Virtus Roma	6	3	3	50%	76.0	75.3	+0.7
9	Avellino	6	3	3	50%	75.8	77.7	-1.8
10	Varese	7	3	4	43%	78.9	80.9	-2.0
11	Sutor Montegranaro	7	3	4	43%	78.7	86.3	-7.6
12	Caserta	6	2	4	33%	74.3	75.0	-0.7
13	Venezia	6	2	4	33%	77.2	79.0	-1.8
14	Cremona	6	2	4	33%	80.3	85.0	-4.7
15	Pesaro	6	1	5	17%	79.7	89.0	-9.3
16	Pistoia	6	1	5	17%	69.2	78.7	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sassari	18	20	19	21	78
Avellino	21	23	14	17	75

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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