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Azerbaijan W vs Ukraine W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 55-73
6-18 17-21 16-20 16-14
Position#38
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game43.8
Allowed / game111.4
Azerbaijan W
vs
Ukraine W 🏆
Position#20
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Baku Sports Palace
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Azerbaijan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukraine W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Azerbaijan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
28-136
28
136
-108
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
51-105
51
105
-54
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
47-108
47
108
-61
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
24-97
24
97
-73
A06/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
34-88
34
88
-54
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
48-141
48
141
-93
H12/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
62-104
62
104
-42
H15/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
L
34-98
34
98
-64
A18/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
40-120
40
120
-80
A11/03
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
35-94
35
94
-59
A14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-25
4-38
6-39
12-34
16-32
15-32
10-20
10-21
16-23
13-30
13-24
5-31
5-27
7-25
4-29
8-16
2-18
13-21
11-32
8-17
15-30
12-26
12-48
9-37
18-36
16-25
9-28
19-15
12-25
8-20
7-30
7-23
12-34
13-24
5-31
10-31
7-22
8-20
12-27
8-25
149.4Avg total
40.3Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)43.8111.4155.2-67.60%
Season at home (2)55.0122.5177.5-67.50%
Season away (3)36.3104.0140.3-67.70%
Last 10 (10)40.3109.1149.4-68.80%
Last 5 (5)43.8111.4155.2-67.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.3108.2150.5-65.90%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukraine W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukraine WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal W
#12
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
98-49
98
49
+49
A07/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
53-79
53
79
-26
H10/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A06/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H09/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H15/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
98-34
98
34
+64
H18/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H11/03
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A14/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
10-12
19-14
14-35
26-13
26-13
27-7
19-16
18-27
14-23
19-11
2-18
17-16
12-13
11-13
17-18
22-12
15-18
21-18
16-24
18-16
15-18
21-13
17-18
16-30
15-20
10-14
19-16
25-12
20-8
30-7
23-7
21-28
17-10
15-18
8-23
10-22
22-26
15-21
19-12
137.8Avg total
70.1Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.267.8139.0+3.440%
Season at home (3)73.064.3137.3+8.733%
Season away (2)68.573.0141.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)70.167.7137.8+2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.267.8139.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.079.5144.5-14.517%
vs Similar (2)66.573.0139.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.960.4144.3+23.4100%
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-27-14+0+14+27Q1Q1: -16.3-16.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -15.2-15.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -21.9-21.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -15.4-15.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
-27-14+0+14+27Q1Q1: -16.3-16.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -15.2-15.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -21.9-21.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -15.4-15.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
Azerbaijan WUkraine W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Azerbaijan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
10-63
10
63
-53
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
12-52
12
52
-40
A06/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
15-39
15
39
-24
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
27-56
27
56
-29
H12/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
34-61
34
61
-27
H15/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
L
20-45
20
45
-25
A18/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
25-58
25
58
-33
A11/03
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A14/03
European Championship Women
75.1Avg total
21.8Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)23.252.675.8-29.50%-
Last 30 at home (5)23.054.477.4-31.40%-
Last 30 away (6)23.351.274.5-27.80%-
Last 10 (10)21.853.375.1-31.50%-
Last 5 (5)24.252.476.6-28.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)23.252.675.8-29.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukraine W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukraine WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal W
#12
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A07/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H10/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H15/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H18/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A14/03
European Championship Women
71.3Avg total
35.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)39.037.376.3+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.537.077.5+3.558%-
Last 30 away (11)37.437.574.9-0.245%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.471.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.542.276.7-7.717%-
vs Similar (2)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.630.274.8+14.3100%-
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Azerbaijan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Azerbaijan W: 40.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers13.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.3 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.56.8
24.8%
-13.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.87.0
22.7%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws7.35.3
72.7%
-5.3
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukraine Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine W: 63.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.014.2
54.5%
-28.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.2
25.9%
-24.5
🏀 Free throws15.710.3
66.0%
-10.3
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Azerbaijan W
LLLLLLLLLL
Ukraine W
LLWLWWLLWL
#38
League position
#20
-81.0
Net rating
-7.8
50.2
Offensive rating
84.6
131.2
Defensive rating
92.4
29.7%
Effective FG%
45.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
30.9%
Turnover %
30.2%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.27
22.7%
3-point %
25.9%
56.6%
Assist %
83.6%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Azerbaijan W   ■ Ukraine W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Azerbaijan W wins
1
Ukraine W wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Ukraine W v Azerbaijan W98-34
Azerbaijan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AMontenegro W35-94
11/03/26ABulgaria W40-120
18/11/25AUkraine W34-98
15/11/25HMontenegro W62-104
12/11/25HBulgaria W48-141
09/02/25HPoland W34-88
06/02/25ABelgium W24-97
10/11/24HLithuania W47-108
07/11/24APoland W51-105
12/11/23HBelgium W28-136
Ukraine Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ABulgaria W66-81
11/03/26HMontenegro W61-79
18/11/25HAzerbaijan W98-34
15/11/25HBulgaria W60-80
12/11/25AMontenegro W71-65
09/02/25HNorth Macedonia W74-72
06/02/25APortugal W57-60
10/11/24HSerbia W53-79
07/11/24ANorth Macedonia W98-49
12/11/23HPortugal W63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Azerbaijan W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game43.855.036.3
Allowed / game111.4122.5104.0
Point differential-67.6-67.5-67.7
Avg total155.2177.5140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukraine W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game71.273.068.5
Allowed / game67.864.373.0
Point differential+3.4+8.7-4.5
Avg total139.0137.3141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W550100%97.655.2+42.4
2 Poland W550100%76.450.6+25.8
3 Serbia W440100%81.058.5+22.5
4 Israel W550100%87.673.0+14.6
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Latvia W54180%79.260.6+18.6
7 Great Britain W54180%83.465.2+18.2
8 Austria W54180%79.468.8+10.6
9 Montenegro W53260%80.859.0+21.8
10 Denmark W53260%91.274.2+17.0
11 Slovakia W53260%68.656.8+11.8
12 Greece W53260%89.077.6+11.4
13 Luxembourg W53260%69.263.6+5.6
14 Slovenia W53260%75.470.0+5.4
15 Croatia W53260%79.074.2+4.8
16 Netherlands W53260%78.273.8+4.4
17 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
18 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
19 Ukraine W52340%71.267.8+3.4
20 Ireland W52340%77.478.4-1.0
21 Switzerland W52340%70.472.0-1.6
22 Romania W52340%59.474.2-14.8
23 Portugal W31233%69.772.7-3.0
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%69.288.4-19.2
27 Cyprus W5050%55.478.2-22.8
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Norway W5050%50.277.4-27.2
30 Estonia W5050%59.487.8-28.4
31 Azerbaijan W5050%43.8111.4-67.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Azerbaijan W617161655
Ukraine W1821201473
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