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Bulgaria W vs Azerbaijan W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 120-40
34-12 24-13 31-5 31-10
Position#8
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game56.7
Bulgaria W 🏆
vs
Azerbaijan W
Position#38
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game48.0
Allowed / game114.3
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Kolodruma
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Azerbaijan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bulgaria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
76-102
76
102
-26
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
141-48
141
48
+93
A12/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A15/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
17-22
24-30
13-28
24-23
11-10
8-17
22-25
17-14
19-21
16-27
11-16
20-23
31-10
15-18
17-17
21-27
7-32
32-12
12-14
24-23
21-23
17-23
21-25
18-22
16-19
23-16
21-21
30-15
26-12
48-12
37-9
30-16
20-15
14-10
16-19
18-21
14-15
20-14
14-12
158.2Avg total
82.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.756.7152.3+39.0100%
Season at home (1)66.062.0128.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)110.554.0164.5+56.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.176.1158.2+6.050%
Last 5 (5)92.470.6163.0+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.583.0155.5-10.520%
vs Similar (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.164.6147.7+18.671%
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Azerbaijan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
62-99
62
99
-37
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
28-136
28
136
-108
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
51-105
51
105
-54
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
47-108
47
108
-61
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
24-97
24
97
-73
A06/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
34-88
34
88
-54
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
48-141
48
141
-93
H12/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
62-104
62
104
-42
H15/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
L
34-98
34
98
-64
A18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-24
11-30
14-23
6-25
4-38
6-39
12-34
16-32
15-32
10-20
10-21
16-23
13-30
13-24
5-31
5-27
7-25
4-29
8-16
2-18
13-21
11-32
8-17
15-30
12-26
12-48
9-37
18-36
16-25
9-28
19-15
12-25
8-20
7-30
7-23
151.8Avg total
43.3Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)48.0114.3162.3-66.30%
Season at home (2)55.0122.5177.5-67.50%
Season away (1)34.098.0132.0-64.00%
Last 10 (9)43.3108.4151.8-65.10%
Last 5 (5)40.4105.6146.0-65.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.3108.4151.8-65.10%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-27-14+0+14+27Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -14.4-14.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -14.9-14.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -21.9-21.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -13.9-13.9
-27-14+0+14+27Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -14.4-14.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -14.9-14.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -21.9-21.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -13.9-13.9
Bulgaria WAzerbaijan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bulgaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
56-27
56
27
+29
A12/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A15/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/11
European Championship Women
79.1Avg total
40.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)37.438.475.8-1.042%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.137.474.6-0.333%-
Last 30 away (10)37.739.377.0-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.579.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.279.6+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.742.679.3-5.930%-
vs Similar (2)29.534.564.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.733.674.3+7.171%-
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Azerbaijan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
10-63
10
63
-53
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
12-52
12
52
-40
A06/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
15-39
15
39
-24
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
27-56
27
56
-29
H12/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
34-61
34
61
-27
H15/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
L
20-45
20
45
-25
A18/11
European Championship Women
77.1Avg total
23.9Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)23.953.277.1-29.30%-
Last 30 at home (5)23.054.477.4-31.40%-
Last 30 away (4)25.051.876.8-26.80%-
Last 10 (9)23.953.277.1-29.30%-
Last 5 (5)21.650.672.2-29.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)23.953.277.1-29.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria W: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.3
43.0%
-32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.8
32.3%
-20.5
🏀 Free throws26.822.2
82.6%
-22.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Azerbaijan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Azerbaijan W: 40.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers13.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.3 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.56.8
24.8%
-13.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.87.0
22.7%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws7.35.3
72.7%
-5.3
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria W
WWWWLLWLLL
Azerbaijan W
LLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#38
-6.5
Net rating
-81.0
94.4
Offensive rating
50.2
100.8
Defensive rating
131.2
44.9%
Effective FG%
29.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
30.9%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
17.4%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.13
32.3%
3-point %
22.7%
74.8%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/9)
0%

Profile

Form (last 10/9)50% · 0%
■ Bulgaria W   ■ Azerbaijan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bulgaria W wins
0
Azerbaijan W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Azerbaijan W v Bulgaria W48-141
Bulgaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HMontenegro W66-62
15/11/25AUkraine W80-60
12/11/25AAzerbaijan W141-48
09/02/25HHungary W92-89 OT
06/02/25HSlovenia W83-94
10/11/24AFinland W72-85
07/11/24AHungary W83-68
12/11/23ASlovenia W63-78
09/11/23HFinland W65-75
12/02/23HSerbia W76-102
Azerbaijan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25AUkraine W34-98
15/11/25HMontenegro W62-104
12/11/25HBulgaria W48-141
09/02/25HPoland W34-88
06/02/25ABelgium W24-97
10/11/24HLithuania W47-108
07/11/24APoland W51-105
12/11/23HBelgium W28-136
09/11/23ALithuania W62-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.766.0110.5
Allowed / game56.762.054.0
Point differential+39.0+4.0+56.5
Avg total152.3128.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Azerbaijan W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 9 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game48.055.034.0
Allowed / game114.3122.598.0
Point differential-66.3-67.5-64.0
Avg total162.3177.5132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W330100%95.756.7+39.0
2 Poland W440100%76.850.8+26.0
3 Serbia W220100%80.555.0+25.5
4 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
5 Austria W330100%81.769.0+12.7
6 Israel W440100%90.578.2+12.2
7 Great Britain W32167%85.765.7+20.0
8 Latvia W32167%81.362.0+19.3
9 Ukraine W32167%76.359.7+16.7
10 Luxembourg W32167%69.756.3+13.3
11 Greece W32167%90.381.0+9.3
12 Slovenia W32167%80.072.3+7.7
13 Netherlands W32167%80.073.0+7.0
14 Croatia W32167%78.772.3+6.3
15 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
16 Slovakia W42250%67.060.0+7.0
17 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
18 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
19 Montenegro W31233%77.066.3+10.7
20 Ireland W31233%77.776.3+1.3
21 Switzerland W31233%71.071.7-0.7
22 Denmark W31233%83.384.3-1.0
23 North Macedonia W31233%72.787.3-14.7
24 Romania W31233%57.378.7-21.3
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W3030%57.780.3-22.7
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W2020%64.592.0-27.5
29 Norway W3030%43.075.0-32.0
30 Estonia W3030%55.389.3-34.0
31 Azerbaijan W3030%48.0114.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bulgaria W34243131120
Azerbaijan W121351040
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