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Bulgaria W vs Ukraine W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-66
22-10 26-22 21-15 12-19
Position#8
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game52.5
Bulgaria W 🏆
vs
Ukraine W
Position#20
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game64.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· Kolodruma
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukraine W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bulgaria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland W
#27
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
141-48
141
48
+93
A12/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A15/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H18/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
120-40
120
40
+80
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
11-10
8-17
22-25
17-14
19-21
16-27
11-16
20-23
31-10
15-18
17-17
21-27
7-32
32-12
12-14
24-23
21-23
17-23
21-25
18-22
16-19
23-16
21-21
30-15
26-12
48-12
37-9
30-16
20-15
14-10
16-19
18-21
14-15
20-14
14-12
34-12
24-13
31-5
31-10
156.4Avg total
86.5Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)101.852.5154.2+49.2100%
Season at home (2)93.051.0144.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)110.554.0164.5+56.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.569.9156.4+16.660%
Last 5 (5)99.859.8159.6+40.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.583.0155.5-10.520%
vs Similar (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.861.5149.2+26.275%
This opponent (Ukraine W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukraine WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#14
L
40-82
40
82
-42
A09/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
98-49
98
49
+49
A07/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
53-79
53
79
-26
H10/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A06/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H09/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H15/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
98-34
98
34
+64
H18/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H11/03
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-26
10-23
8-17
14-16
20-17
10-12
19-14
14-35
26-13
26-13
27-7
19-16
18-27
14-23
19-11
2-18
17-16
12-13
11-13
17-18
22-12
15-18
21-18
16-24
18-16
15-18
21-13
17-18
16-30
15-20
10-14
19-16
25-12
20-8
30-7
23-7
21-28
17-10
15-18
8-23
135.3Avg total
67.5Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.564.5137.0+8.050%
Season at home (3)73.064.3137.3+8.733%
Season away (1)71.065.0136.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.567.8135.3-0.340%
Last 5 (5)72.866.0138.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.979.4144.3-14.518%
vs Similar (2)66.573.0139.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (9)83.960.4144.3+23.4100%
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
Bulgaria WUkraine W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bulgaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland W
#27
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
56-27
56
27
+29
A12/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A15/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
58-25
58
25
+33
H11/03
European Championship Women
79.1Avg total
42.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.537.876.2+0.745%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.236.275.4+3.040%-
Last 30 away (10)37.739.377.0-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.679.1+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.032.078.0+14.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.742.679.3-5.930%-
vs Similar (2)29.534.564.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.932.575.4+10.475%-
This opponent (Ukraine W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukraine WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#14
L
18-49
18
49
-31
A09/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H12/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A07/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H10/11
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A06/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/02
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H15/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
45-20
45
20
+25
H18/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
European Championship Women
70.0Avg total
34.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)39.336.876.1+2.555%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.537.077.5+3.558%-
Last 30 away (10)37.936.574.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.570.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.741.676.4-6.918%-
vs Similar (2)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (9)44.630.274.8+14.3100%-
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria W: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.3
43.0%
-32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.8
32.3%
-20.5
🏀 Free throws26.822.2
82.6%
-22.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukraine Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine W: 63.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.014.2
54.5%
-28.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.2
25.9%
-24.5
🏀 Free throws15.710.3
66.0%
-10.3
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria W
WWWWWLLWLL
Ukraine W
LWLWWLLWLL
#8
League position
#20
-6.5
Net rating
-7.8
94.4
Offensive rating
84.6
100.8
Defensive rating
92.4
44.9%
Effective FG%
45.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
30.2%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.3%
3-point %
25.9%
74.8%
Assist %
83.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Bulgaria W   ■ Ukraine W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bulgaria W wins
0
Ukraine W wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Ukraine W v Bulgaria W60-80
Bulgaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HAzerbaijan W120-40
18/11/25HMontenegro W66-62
15/11/25AUkraine W80-60
12/11/25AAzerbaijan W141-48
09/02/25HHungary W92-89 OT
06/02/25HSlovenia W83-94
10/11/24AFinland W72-85
07/11/24AHungary W83-68
12/11/23ASlovenia W63-78
09/11/23HFinland W65-75
Ukraine Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HMontenegro W61-79
18/11/25HAzerbaijan W98-34
15/11/25HBulgaria W60-80
12/11/25AMontenegro W71-65
09/02/25HNorth Macedonia W74-72
06/02/25APortugal W57-60
10/11/24HSerbia W53-79
07/11/24ANorth Macedonia W98-49
12/11/23HPortugal W63-78
09/11/23ASerbia W40-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.893.0110.5
Allowed / game52.551.054.0
Point differential+49.2+42.0+56.5
Avg total154.2144.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukraine W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game72.573.071.0
Allowed / game64.564.365.0
Point differential+8.0+8.7+6.0
Avg total137.0137.3136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W440100%101.852.5+49.2
2 Poland W440100%76.850.8+26.0
3 Serbia W330100%84.358.7+25.7
4 Austria W440100%81.565.2+16.2
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Israel W440100%90.578.2+12.2
7 Latvia W43175%80.859.8+21.0
8 Great Britain W43175%83.563.8+19.8
9 Luxembourg W43175%73.560.5+13.0
10 Netherlands W43175%81.874.0+7.8
11 Montenegro W53260%80.859.0+21.8
12 Denmark W53260%91.274.2+17.0
13 Slovakia W53260%68.656.8+11.8
14 Greece W53260%89.077.6+11.4
15 Slovenia W53260%75.470.0+5.4
16 Croatia W53260%79.074.2+4.8
17 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
18 Ukraine W42250%72.564.5+8.0
19 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
20 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
21 Romania W42250%61.874.0-12.2
22 Ireland W41325%76.578.5-2.0
23 Switzerland W41325%67.873.0-5.2
24 North Macedonia W51420%64.497.6-33.2
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W5050%55.478.2-22.8
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Estonia W5050%59.487.8-28.4
30 Norway W4040%45.876.5-30.8
31 Azerbaijan W5050%43.8111.4-67.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bulgaria W2226211281
Ukraine W1022151966
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