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Baerum W vs Ammerud W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 84-67
11-21 31-8 16-21 26-17
Position#4
Record9-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game67.4
Baerum W 🏆
Norway
vs
Ammerud W
Norway
Position#5
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game54.6
Allowed / game76.7
NorwayKvinneligaen WKvinneligaen Women - Quarter-finals· Nadderudhallen
Women2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Baerum W v Ammerud W
15 Mar 2024
BAER84
AMME67
27 Feb 2024
BAER69
AMME37
12 Nov 2023
BAER67
AMME55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baerum W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ammerud W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baerum WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Asker W
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
48avg 51
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
62-47
62
47
+15
51avg 51
A14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
33avg 51
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
68-57
68
57
+11
64avg 51
A03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
68-93
68
93
-25
60avg 51
A04/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
67-88
67
88
-21
49avg 51
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
43avg 51
A14/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
69-37
69
37
+32
60avg 51
H27/02
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
70-54
70
54
+16
68avg 51
H03/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
41-96
41
96
-55
28avg 51
H10/03
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
12-16
24-13
10-15
13-14
13-9
21-10
15-14
11-17
16-6
6-12
11-22
21-16
18-12
16-10
13-19
18-35
17-29
16-19
17-10
17-24
18-25
18-22
14-17
11-16
17-20
8-21
13-22
12-8
30-14
11-3
16-12
18-20
20-8
13-16
19-10
12-27
6-25
6-24
17-20
126.2Avg total
59.7Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)60.567.4127.9-7.045%
Season at home (10)61.165.2126.3-4.150%
Season away (10)59.869.6129.4-9.840%
Last 10 (10)59.766.5126.2-6.850%
Last 5 (5)59.270.8130.0-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)54.574.0128.5-19.521%
vs Similar (2)72.071.0143.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)68.749.5118.2+19.293%
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ammerud WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bergen W
#6
L
62-67
62
67
-5
44avg 45
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
62-109
62
109
-47
44avg 45
A07/01
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
32avg 45
H14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
36-89
36
89
-53
27avg 45
A24/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
71-56
71
56
+15
74avg 45
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
38-69
38
69
-31
29avg 45
H03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
55-118
55
118
-63
51avg 45
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
L
37-69
37
69
-32
25avg 45
A27/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
56-90
56
90
-34
42avg 45
A02/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
43-94
43
94
-51
39avg 45
H09/03
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
13-20
13-23
22-11
2-42
22-18
18-26
20-23
14-13
9-13
10-21
14-15
9-28
2-15
17-23
8-23
21-14
16-18
14-8
20-16
13-14
8-19
8-15
9-21
11-33
14-26
16-34
14-25
8-12
14-30
3-11
12-16
19-25
11-24
16-15
10-26
14-23
10-23
8-25
11-23
133.0Avg total
50.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)54.676.7131.3-22.020%
Season at home (10)53.274.2127.4-21.030%
Season away (10)56.179.1135.2-23.010%
Last 10 (10)50.782.3133.0-31.610%
Last 5 (5)45.888.0133.8-42.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)51.379.7131.0-28.45%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)63.851.4115.2+12.378%
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -9.2-9.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.9-5.9
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -9.2-9.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -8.7-8.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.9-5.9
Baerum WAmmerud W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Baerum WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Asker W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A04/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A14/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H27/02
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H03/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
18-52
18
52
-34
H10/03
Kvinneligaen W
66.7Avg total
31.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.730.862.5+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.431.064.4+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)30.030.560.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)31.335.466.7-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.469.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)27.537.565.0-10.021%-
vs Similar (2)36.533.570.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.223.658.9+11.686%-
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ammerud WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bergen W
#6
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A07/01
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
11-43
11
43
-32
A24/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
25-59
25
59
-34
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A27/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A02/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H09/03
Kvinneligaen W
66.7Avg total
24.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)26.836.863.6-10.129%-
Last 30 at home (14)26.633.660.2-7.136%-
Last 30 away (14)26.940.066.9-13.121%-
Last 10 (10)24.442.366.7-17.910%-
Last 5 (5)24.445.870.2-21.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)24.140.564.6-16.410%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (7)34.725.760.4+9.086%-
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baerum Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum W: 59.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.917.4
39.6%
41.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.85.3
25.5%
28.3%15.9
🏀 Free throws12.28.6
70.5%
68.5%8.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ammerud Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ammerud W: 49.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.612.6
32.6%
41.9%25.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.15.2
23.5%
28.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws13.08.7
66.9%
68.5%8.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baerum W
LWWLLLWLWW
Ammerud W
LLLLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#5
-8.9
Net rating
-39.7
74.7
Offensive rating
61.7
83.6
Defensive rating
101.4
39.2%
Effective FG%
33.6%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
27.5%
Turnover %
32.3%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.21
25.5%
3-point %
23.5%
58.1%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence74.7 · 61.7Defence83.6 · 101.4Shooting39.2% · 33.6%3-point %25.5% · 23.5%Ball care27.5% · 32.3%Off. rebounds30.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Baerum W   ■ Ammerud W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Baerum W wins
1
Ammerud W wins
DateGameScore
27/02/24Baerum W v Ammerud W69-37
14/01/24Ammerud W v Baerum W47-62
12/11/23Baerum W v Ammerud W67-55
22/10/23Ammerud W v Baerum W78-47
Baerum Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HUlriken W41-96
03/03/24HBergen W70-54
27/02/24HAmmerud W69-37
14/02/24AUllern W49-79
11/02/24HAsker W67-88
04/02/24AUlriken W68-93
03/02/24ABergen W68-57
28/01/24HUllern W44-57
14/01/24AAmmerud W62-47
06/01/24AAsker W59-57
Ammerud Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HUllern W43-94
02/03/24AAsker W56-90
27/02/24ABaerum W37-69
11/02/24HUlriken W55-118
03/02/24HAsker W38-69
28/01/24HBergen W71-56
24/01/24AUllern W36-89
14/01/24HBaerum W47-62
07/01/24AUlriken W62-109
06/01/24ABergen W62-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baerum W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game60.561.159.8
Allowed / game67.465.269.6
Point differential-7.0-4.1-9.8
Avg total127.8126.3129.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ammerud W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%30%10%
Points / game54.653.256.1
Allowed / game76.774.279.1
Point differential-22.0-21.0-23.0
Avg total131.3127.4135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulriken W2019195%92.455.7+36.7
2 Ullern W2017385%74.154.2+19.9
3 Asker W21111052%69.665.3+4.3
4 Baerum W2091145%60.567.4-7.0
5 Ammerud W2041620%54.676.7-22.0
6 Bergen W211205%50.781.3-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baerum W1131162684
Ammerud W218211767
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